NFLX 2X Long ETF

NFXL
10.7800.19% ( -0.020 )
Closed: Oct 30, 16:00:00 (EDT)
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  • G
    gedebe

    $Intel(INTC.US)

    Context: Intel really disappointed me. Despite all the high hope of reemerge to become a tech giant again especially in chip fabrication, its foundry business continues to bleed at US$1.9 billion for this 3rd quarter. The Intel CEO could blame the lack for raw material and the sluggish demand of PC CPU for the shortfall in revenue but the elephant in the room is still the losses in the foundry business. Until it can attract more customers to manufacture chips from its fab, Intel will continue to bleed. The rest of the problems like raw material and lower demand on CPU can be cyclical, these problems can be solved.

    My trade: sell on Intel

    Takeaway: The company share has been dragged into the worst drop since 1974 at 29%, Lip Bu Tan, please buck up or you will have the same fate as Pat Gelsinger.$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

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  • T
    TheRaccoonAnalysis

    However, the reduced advertising revenue forecast and narrower 2026 guidance warrant attention to monetization and growth expectations. The approximately 1,000 layoffs may reflect cost or organizational adjustments, although their precise financial impact is not specified. Overall, Netflix’s revenue growth remains positive, but sustaining user engagement and expanding advertising revenue will be important to maintaining its growth trajectory amid intensifying competition.

  • T
    TheRaccoonAnalysis

    Netflix’s results indicate continued financial growth, with third-quarter revenue rising nearly 12% year-over-year, but engagement trends and advertising performance present potential challenges. Declining viewing time and app-open frequency, alongside slightly weaker U.S. viewership, suggest that content appeal, interface changes and competition from free platforms may be affecting user behavior. Churn remaining near 2% indicates that these engagement declines have not translated into a substantial reported increase in cancellations.

  • A
    amit

    A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

    Here's a full recap:

    1. SpaceX $SpaceX(SPCX.US) has signed a binding commitment letter with an Apollo Global Management-managed entity for a massive $40B GPU financing arrangement to support its expanding AI data center infrastructure. Under the proposed agreement, Apollo's entity would purchase GPU pods and related data center equipment and lease them to SpaceX, with approximately $40B in aggregate principal payments spread across lease terms of 5 to 5.25 years. The transaction is expected to close before year-end, with GPU deliveries and lease payments beginning in the first half of 2027. Importantly, the $40B figure excludes interest and additional financing costs, with the final borrowing rate still to be determined, highlighting the enormous capital requirements behind SpaceX's AI infrastructure expansion.

    2. Anthropic has reportedly filed its S-1 for a U.S. IPO, seeking to list on the Nasdaq under ticker $Anthropic(ANT.US), with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan leading the offering. The filing shows explosive growth, with H1 2026 revenue surging to $16.3B from $1.16B a year earlier, including $13.1B in consumption-based revenue and $3.2B from subscriptions. Anthropic now has more than 11,900 customers spending $100K+ annually, including 1,900 spending over $1M and approximately 250 spending over $10M, while net revenue retention reached roughly 900% as of September 30. Despite the growth, Anthropic reported an $80.7B net loss, largely driven by a $72.4B noncash fair-value charge tied to convertible notes, while its operating loss narrowed to $693M. The biggest revelation is the company's enormous AI infrastructure commitments extending as far as 2045, including approximately $161B in Broadcom TPU leases, $120.5B with SpaceXAI, $114.5B with Google, $110B with Amazon, $44.9B with Microsoft, and tens of billions more with Nscale, Lambda, and AMD, alongside roughly $245B in additional agreements signed after June 30. Anthropic also disclosed $131.7B in cash and short-term investments, plans to allocate 5% of its shares to a public benefit fund, and a governance structure preserving 50.1% voting control for its founders, highlighting both the extraordinary scale of its growth and the capital intensity of the frontier AI industry.

    3. Barclays upgraded Tesla $Tesla(TSLA.US) to Overweight from Equal Weight, raising its price target to $450 from $370, as analyst Dan Levy sees an increasingly attractive risk/reward profile. Levy noted that much of the recent discussion surrounding Tesla has focused on a potential merger with SpaceX $SpaceX(SPCX.US), which he believes could result in a premium for Tesla shareholders. However, his bullish thesis extends beyond a possible combination, citing improving automotive demand, strong growth in Tesla's energy business, and a sharp acceleration in Robotaxi miles driven. Barclays also highlighted FSD adoption exceeding 75% of new North American vehicle deliveries, suggesting growing monetization opportunities for Tesla's autonomous driving technology. Together, these factors underpin the firm's more constructive outlook on Tesla's long-term growth potential.

    4. Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT.US) is offering voluntary buyouts to approximately 60,000 employees, representing more than 25% of its global workforce, as the company moves to restructure parts of its operations. The program reportedly covers select teams across the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, and India, with eligible employees receiving severance packages in exchange for voluntarily leaving the company. Employees have until early December to decide whether to participate, with departures expected to take place by year-end. The move could represent one of Microsoft's largest workforce restructuring initiatives, although the final number of departures will depend on employee participation.

    5. Samsung and SK Hynix are reportedly targeting Q2 2027 to begin mass production and shipments of 8-layer HBM4 memory for NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA.US), according to ZDNet Korea. The advanced memory is expected to be used in NVIDIA's next-generation Rubin Ultra rack-scale AI systems, supporting the growing memory requirements of increasingly powerful AI accelerators. While 12-layer HBM4 remains the primary focus throughout 2026, the share of 8-layer HBM4 shipments is expected to increase significantly beginning in mid-2027. The development highlights the continued expansion of the high-bandwidth memory market as Samsung and SK Hynix prepare additional capacity for NVIDIA's next generation of AI infrastructure.

    6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 3.4M contracts, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 3.1M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 1.6M contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 1.3M contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 1.3M contracts, $Meta Platforms(META.US) with 979K contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 884K contracts, $Netflix(NFLX.US) with 624K contracts, $Intel(INTC.US) with 598K contracts, and $AMD(AMD.US) with 550K contracts.

    7. Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US) announced plans to raise approximately $35B through new equity offerings, including $22.5B in Class A common stock through forward sale agreements and $12.5B in depositary shares tied to mandatory convertible preferred stock. The company is also considering a separate $60B offering program for its new nonvoting Class C shares beginning in Q1 2027, potentially bringing its total equity financing capacity to $95B, approximately $10B more than Google's $85B equity offering earlier this year. Interestingly, NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA.US), AMD $AMD(AMD.US), and Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO.US) have expressed nonbinding interest in purchasing up to $5B of Meta shares combined, potentially giving major AI chip suppliers direct equity exposure to one of their largest customers. The proposed financing comes as Meta prepares for unprecedented AI infrastructure spending, while its new Class C share structure, introduced alongside an effective 2-for-1 stock split, would allow the company to raise additional capital without issuing new voting rights. The full $95B remains potential financing capacity rather than a completed capital raise.

    8. DoorDash $Doordash(DASH.US) is reportedly in advanced negotiations to acquire Instacart $Instacart(Maplebear)(CART.US), with a potential agreement expected as early as this week, according to the Wall Street Journal. The discussions follow earlier reports that Instacart had attracted takeover interest from both DoorDash and Uber $Uber Tech(UBER.US), although talks with Uber are reportedly no longer active. A combination would significantly expand DoorDash's presence in online grocery delivery, combining Instacart's grocery partnerships and fulfillment technology with DoorDash's restaurant delivery network and logistics infrastructure. The potential acquisition could strengthen DoorDash's competitive position across local commerce, although no final agreement has been announced and negotiations could still fall apart.

    9. The 10 largest U.S. leveraged equity ETFs attracted approximately $12B in net inflows over the past month, even as their combined market capitalization declined by $20B, highlighting aggressive dip-buying despite the broader market selloff. The surge was led by the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF $SOXL, which attracted a record $9B in inflows over just two weeks, while the ProShares UltraPro QQQ $TQQQ, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to the Nasdaq 100, recorded $1.3B in inflows, its second-largest two-week intake of 2026. Over the past five months, the 10 largest leveraged equity ETFs have collectively attracted $19B, suggesting that speculative investors are continuing to increase leveraged exposure to semiconductors and technology stocks even as market volatility and downside risks remain elevated.

    10. Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson expects the current U.S. equity market correction to eventually give way to a rebound as several major uncertainties begin to clear, including the midterm elections, AI infrastructure financing concerns, and tightening financial conditions. Wilson sees potential near-term downside for the S&P 500 $SPX to 7,100–7,200, but maintains a year-end base-case target of 8,000, suggesting meaningful recovery potential if market conditions improve. He identified liquidity constraints as the biggest immediate risk, while arguing that a potential Federal Reserve policy pivot could provide an important catalyst for equities. Morgan Stanley also pointed to historically strong 6–12-month stock market returns following midterm elections, supporting its view that the current correction could ultimately create buying opportunities rather than mark the end of the broader market cycle.

    11. UBS pushed back against concerns that CoreWeave $Coreweave(CRWV.US) could face a debt spiral as credit markets tighten, arguing that the company has multiple financing alternatives to support its AI infrastructure expansion. UBS highlighted opportunities to reduce reliance on traditional debt through private credit, vendor financing, and additional equity investments, similar to CoreWeave's recent transaction with Jane Street. Following meetings with private credit executives and data center developers, UBS said it “did NOT come away with a view that capital will be scarce in 2027,” suggesting financing conditions may remain more supportive than investors fear. Separately, Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its Overweight rating and $176 price target on CoreWeave, citing the potential for delayed-draw term loan (DDTL) credit enhancements to attract additional lenders and new financing facilities to ease concerns over the company's access to capital.

    12. The United States and Canada are reportedly negotiating a potential agreement to ease tariffs on Canadian steel and automobiles, according to Reuters, citing six sources familiar with the discussions. Negotiations are focused on Section 232 tariffs, including duties of up to 50% on Canadian steel and 25% on automobiles, with one Canadian source suggesting a deal could be reached before the November 3 midterm elections. U.S. officials are reportedly seeking additional concessions from Canada. The discussions come as President Trump has threatened to raise steel and auto tariffs to 50% beginning January 1, 2027, although he recently suggested the trade dispute could be resolved “soon.” Canadian officials described the negotiations as constructive, but no agreement has been finalized.

    WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

    Source: amit

  • G
    gedebe

    $Tesla(TSLA.US)

    Context: Tesla still proves that it can benefit from the current high price of gasoline fuel by selling more EV cars and it is also spending less resulting in a free cash surplus of US$1.53 billion. This is surprising as the analyst has expected a massive cash deficit of US$4.92 billion. The market is always in a dilemma, on 1 side, it wants to preserve as much free cash as possible on the other side, having too much free cash can mean having less to invest into AI or other high impact investments. So it needs a good balancing act.

    My trade: add more Tesla stocks

    Takeaway: Tesla is a US1.4 trillion company and is the most valuable automobile company globally. It has also invested heavily in self-driving software, battery technology, robotics technology and robotaxis. All these have a high potential to outgrow EV car sales.

    $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

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  • S
    StockMarket.News

    4 major companies have now announced about 10,500 job cuts in just 10 days

    $American Express(AXP.US) is cutting 5% of its global workforce, about 3,500 jobs, and took a $336M restructuring charge, CEO Stephen Squeri said Friday

    $Barclays(BCS.US) Barclays is cutting about 5,000 jobs, or 5% of staff, with 60% in support functions including fewer developers as AI makes staff more productive

    $eBay(EBAY.US) confirmed it is cutting about 9% of its workforce, roughly 1,000 jobs, its second round of layoffs this year

    $Netflix(NFLX.US) is laying off about 6% of staff, roughly 1,000 jobs, its biggest cuts since 2022

    What stands out is that none of these companies are in trouble. $American Express(AXP.US) just raised its 2026 profit guide, Barclays grew pretax profit 12% and $eBay(EBAY.US) says Q3 will beat its own forecast. This is cost cutting from a position of strength, and AI is increasingly the reason given. That's a very different signal than the layoffs of a typical slowdown

    Source: StockMarket.News

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  • G
    gedebe

    $Apple(AAPL.US)

    Context: For being late to join the AI bandwagon, Apple actually saves itself from the recent AI stock rout since it has not spent too much on AI build up. However it sales for Iphone 18 dropped, it China you no longer need to wait to get a Iphone Pro or Pro Max compared to last year where you need to wait 6 to 25 days for Iphone 17 Pro and Pro Max at that time. But Iphone Duo is saving Apple and the wait time in China is now 90 days.

    My trade: neutral on Apple stock

    Takeaway: sometimes being late is better than being early. But while Apple can count its blessings, the AI world will still punish Apple if it can't catch up. Apple is chasing hard, they are partnering with Google, Meta and Openai, let sit back and watch. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

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  • A
    amit

    I have been psychologically short $Netflix(NFLX.US) for years and believe this year has vindicated that psychological short.

    Unfortunately I was way too much of a chicken to actually short/buy puts 😂

    In all seriousness, my bear case has always been that they cannot keep up content spend to justify their growth without massive hits. The massive hits have faded away which has significantly hurt the type of subscriber/adgrowth needed for the stock to expand from its premium multiple.

    YouTube’s algorithm was another bear case. How does Netflix compete with a creator economy that is growing rapidly without spending even more money? The move to buy Warner Bros, live sports, podcasting…all of it was to hide that they just don’t have the massive hits needed to keep growing.

    HOWEVER…at some point, the company becomes too cheap. Valuation is 5 year low and they are buying back a ton of stock. I genuinely don’t see how they get back to massive growth again without a MAJOR hit like Squid Games…all the ads/NFL/videogames/buybacks in the world won’t get the street excited without hits.

    But I wonder if the margin of safety has finally gotten to the point where their most is being meaningfully discounted (I do think they have a large moat with huge barriers to entry) and if the stock price is officially reflecting that.

    Are you buying the dip?

    $Netflix(NFLX.US) -5%

    Source: amit

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  • A
    Ally

    SREITS still has abit more room for share prices to go up. Several SREITS are far below their book Net Asset Value

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SpaceX Turns a Profit and Opens Tesla Merger Talks

    SpaceX made money for the first time, and immediately put a Tesla merger on the table. At home, the STI is up and the banks are leading. Let's dig in 👇💬 Would a SpaceX-Tesla merger be a good deal for ...

  • G
    gedebe

    $Netflix(NFLX.US)

    Context: Netflix is yet again down 5% in post market trading after reporting Q3 earnings that match analysts expectations$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US). The underwhelming response was due to Netflix's lack of blockbuster shows. Youtube and other content media are also stealing Netflix viewing time from its audiences. Netflix is trying hard to buck up, it has fired the head film division and replaced the chief content officer with an executive from Disney Television. On top of that, it is retrenching 1000 employees in various departments. The advertisement revenue is still growing at US$2.7 billion but not as fast as they expected.

    My trade: buy Netflix

    Takeaway: The effort looks promising, we will wait for the earning numbers to prove to us

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