NFLX 1X Short ETF

$Netflix(NFLX.US) showing signs of bounce/reversal. ER this month but have time to take some coin from the trade if price wants it.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context: Microsoft needs to work harder to make its AI standout among the crowded AI names. Satya Nadella managed to transform Microsoft from just being a software company to the 2nd largest cloud computing company. However Microsoft AI products were not well received by the consumer. Copilot seemed like a product that Microsoft forced onto others by incorporating it in Windows and Microsoft think that Copilot can be a jack of all trades but really became master of none. Despite having a head start with OpenAI, Microsoft could not fulfill OpenAI's tremendous processing power. On 27 Apr 2026, Microsoft renegotiated OpenAi to end Microsoft exclusivity to OpenAI. OpenAI is now free to find cloud compute platform in Microsoft rivals like Amazon and Oracle. OpenAI is also allowed to sell its services to Microsoft rivals.

My trade: sell Microsoft for now.

Takeaway: Still Satya Nadella is a smart guy that has proven that it can adapt to changes, he must prove it again.$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Netflix(NFLX.US)

Context: Netflix subscribers are not expanding as expected this was admitted by Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos recently. In the 2nd quarter results, although revenue went up 13% YOY to US$12.5 billion but crack already appeared, viewing hours just increase a mere 2% and top 10 originals viewership fell 4%. YTD, this stock already fell 25%!

My trade: sell Netflix

Takeaway: The Internet is flooded with more content creators than ever and most of them are free. Take for example the influx of Chinese micro dramas which only last 1-2 minutes have even inspired the western counterpart to copy them, 1st time I ever heard that the west copy the east in film making! Those content creator might not be as profitable as Netflix but if they manage to attract audiences this itself already dent Netflix market share$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US).

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context: Nvidia wants to use it's GPU for loan collateral . Jensen Huang thinks so highly of his product that he feels his GPU can last as long as 10 years. Electronic product usually depreciate fast and investing in it force the investor to run against time as they need to extract as much profit as possible from it before the product become obsolete. Electronic products productive life span typically are just 3-4 years. Jensen Huang claims that by using GPU as collateral, he can solve the problem of circular financing where Nvidia is investing in company that is buying it's product.

My trade: sell Nvidia

Takeaway: No electronics product can last until 10 years before a better version replaces it, couple with the recent historic high of Nvidia shares on last Friday closing, the signal is dump Nvidia.$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

Breaking: He refuses to give up on this

$Netflix(NFLX.US) stocks in hand. Other than you, you old thief, everything else is rising. tnnd

$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)Context: Netflix is falling because Youtube is eating it's lunch. Since walking away from the merger with Warner Bros. Discovery 7 months ago, the share rose 10.4% but it has been on the downtrend ever since. Youtube is proving more popular as it's viewership was growing 14.2% in this July versus Netflix which shrunk by 7.8%. This has resulted in major Investment house like HSBC, and Well Fargo downgrading this stock.

My trade: sell

Takeaway: Netflix has endured 2 major falls, in 2011 72% drop and in 2008 37% drop and each time it came back stronger. Coming back this time around looks harder as it need to fight with Youtube which is offering mostly free content. Can Netflix fight back, let's continue watching Netflix!

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context: despite being the most valuable company in this world, the valuation of Nvidia is dropping. The forward PE is now just only 17x compare to AMD which is 40x. The low valuation is due to:

1. More in house GPU being developed by the like of Meta and Alphabet. Both companies has successfully launched their own AI chips.

2. The rising cost of memory chip is squeezing Nvidia profit margin by more than 3%.

My trade: observe for any sign of deteriorating profit before selling

Takeaway: Jensen Huang claim that this Nvidia is "incredibly misunderstood" but we prefer Nvidia earnings report to clear this misunderstanding. $Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Intel(INTC.US)

Context: Intel stock is trending higher and it has been shedding some of it's unwanted baggage:

1. Management layer has been reduced to 6 from 12

2. 250 vice presidents have been cut, remaining only 200

3. The workforce has been shrunk to 39,700 and compensation to attrition has fallen 89% to $161 million.

However, the foundry business is still losing billons each quarters.

My trade: I am still bullish on Intel, having confident CEO Lip-Bu Tan has the discipline to bring Intel to another level.

Takeaway: Intel foundry business will need drastic improvement in both technology breakthrough and customers onboarding$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)