VanEck Semiconductor ETF

SMH
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  • N
    Newbee2025

    $Broadcom(AVGO.US)

    Background:

    AVGO’s fundamentals are still excellent: Q3 revenue +86% YoY, AI semiconductor revenue +221%, and Q4 revenue guidance +93%. Management also sees AI revenue reaching $115B in FY2027.

    My trade: Bought at an average cost of $354.

    Takeaway:

    Hold for now, but sell on strength. My $354 entry is good, but AVGO is already around $363 and the stock has a lot of AI expectations priced in. If chip makers' stock cannot make it, Semicon cannot make it, the index will never make it.

    图片 1,共 1 张
    Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
  • J
    Jim

    Well Well Well....

    October 1st - Prices are going UP!

    $Nebius(NBIS.US)

    $SMH $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $AMD(AMD.US)

    Nebius Pricing Update — Key Takeaways

    Nebius raised on-demand pricing for its top AI GPUs effective October 1, 2026.

    The biggest takeaway is that older AI GPUs are still holding value, not getting commoditized as quickly as many expected.

    On-Demand GPU Price Changes

    H100: $3.85 → $4.50 (+17%)

    H200: $4.50 → $5.40 (+20%)

    B200: $7.15 → $8.50 (+19%)

    B300: $7.85 → $9.50 (+21%)

    What Stood Out

    H100 pricing rising is the big signal.

    H100 is an older generation GPU, yet Nebius increased pricing instead of discounting it.

    That suggests AI compute demand remains strong, even for older high-end accelerators.

    What Did NOT Move:

    RTX Pro 6000: unchanged at $1.80

    L40S with Intel CPU: unchanged from $1.55

    L40S with AMD CPU: unchanged from $1.82

    Spot / Preemptive Pricing

    Spot pricing remains much cheaper than on-demand:

    H100: from $0.79

    H200: from $0.79

    B200: from $0.99

    B300: from $0.99

    CPU-Only Pricing

    AMD EPYC Genoa: from $0.10 → $0.13

    Intel Ice Lake: from $0.05 → $0.06

    Why It Matters

    Nebius is showing pricing power in premium AI compute.

    High-end accelerators are seeing stronger demand than lower-tier products.

    If older GPUs like H100 and H200 can keep earning attractive rental rates for years 4, 5, and 6, then:

    AI infrastructure economics improve

    depreciation risk may be lower than feared

    lifetime ROIC on AI data centers could be materially better

    Bottom Line

    Big signal:

    Nebius raising H100 pricing by 17% is evidence that older AI GPUs still have real economic value.

    That supports the view that:

    AI demand is still strong

    Premium GPU capacity remains tight

    Older AI hardware may stay profitable longer than many bears expected.

    @aleabitoreddit @jukan05 @Banana3Stocks @fundstrat @WarrenPies @thejefflutz @TradexWhisperer @smartertrader @RyanDetrick @Micro2Macr0 @cantonmeow @dannycheng2022 @DivesTech @StockOptionCole @Mr_Derivatives @BeardoTrader @SuperLuckeee @blondebroker1 @StockPatternPro @StockMKTNewz @amitisinvesting

    $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $SMH

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  • N
    NewUser_ThinkSwim

    If semiconductor stocks continue to rally maybe I can look at smh or soxx etf. However if only sndk and mu stocks rallies then dram memory theme etf will increase. Not financial advice and DCA slowly into the etf because these etf can also be affected by macro or even AI news posts (example the slowing down and regulating news last week) note to self.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SanDisk Rockets to $2,400 Street-High Target as Burry Shorts It

    Wall Street just handed SanDisk its highest price target yet, even as Michael Burry doubles down shorting the same chip sector. Meanwhile Alibaba's AI blitz from Apsara is cooling off this morning, an...

  • H
    Heroic Lifesaver

    A quick reminder to myself!

    The market rallies for a few days… and suddenly we’re all geniuses again 😂

    Funny how quickly investing psychology changes.

    A few red days and I’m questioning every position in my portfolio.

    A few green days and suddenly I’m thinking:

    “Yes. Exactly as I predicted.” 😂

    Of course, nothing has magically changed about my investing ability.

    That’s probably one of the things about a strong market.

    When everything is going up, it becomes very easy to confuse a rising tide with stock-picking skill.

    So whenever my portfolio starts looking particularly clever, I try to remind myself:

    The thesis still matters.

    Valuation still matters.

    Position sizing still matters.

    And perhaps most importantly…

    The market has a wonderful way of humbling anyone who starts feeling a little too intelligent. 😂

    Enjoy the green days.

    Just don’t let them go to your head.

    I am watching $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH.US)and $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)closely as a proxy to my portfolio. 👀

    @Captain Leo

    Nvidia Breaks Its Record, Buyback In Hand
  • S
    Sunrise Trader

    $SMH gapped up over the 10/21ma's today. Observation no holding. I own some of the holdings within SMH

    Source: Sunrise Trader

  • C
    Captain's Compass

    FOMC Read: From Trust Crisis to Recession Fears

    The September FOMC is done. The Fed hiked. Markets still didn’t get what they wanted.At 2 a.m. SGT Sept. 17, the Fed raised the federal funds target range by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00% in a 12-0 vote. Firs...

    OF THE
    5.00 一 ca FOMC members' dot projections for meeting date 09/16/2026 FOMC dots me
    Index ETFs QQQ SPY DIA +0.03% -0.44% -1.15% Neoclouds Optical APLD CRWV LITE CRD
    October FOMC: Pause Or One More Hike
  • S
    Sunrise Trader

    $SMH over all major ma's again. Observation I don't own SMH. I do own some of its holdings.

    Source: Sunrise Trader

    图片 1,共 1 张
  • A
    amit

    software is down because semis are gapping up heavily today

    this has become the new normal, so it shouldnt surprise anyone

    however, id much rather deal with a software dump from 52-week highs vs making new lows almost every week a few months ago when the semis would pump

    honestly, the $IGV names now taking a break and the $SMH names getting more life feels healthy 🤷‍♂️

    would obviously love all names to move up or down together so playing different individual sectors wasn’t a thing but it is what it is…if both sectors take multiple months off at different times then the semi part of your port will just need to relax when saas goes up and vice versa

    question is if semis can get a June run again and how low saas needs to go for that to happen but these algos absolutely are stuck in the long/short pair trade, just not as aggressively as when Leopold was deeper into the trade and every fund was copying him

    Source: amit

  • C
    Captain's Compass

    Heads or Tails for the Fed? Friday's NFP Casts the First Vote

    The Fed's September 15–16 decision is, right now, a coin flip: the market puts the odds of another hike at roughly 50/50. On Friday, September 4, one number gets to nudge that coin — the August non-fa...

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