TSLA241115C350000.US

Is the “AI slowdown” narrative really bearish?

I’ve been thinking about the recent comments from Anthropic’s CEO about slowing down AI development.

And I have to say… I’m not completely buying the way the market is interpreting it.

The safety concerns may well be genuine. But I also can’t ignore the incentives.

If you’re already one of the companies at the frontier of AI, slowing things down — or making the regulatory hurdles higher — doesn’t necessarily hurt you. In fact, it could make life much harder for everyone trying to catch up.

That’s also why I found it interesting that Elon Musk $Tesla(TSLA.US)agreed.

Maybe I’m being cynical 😂, but when competitors suddenly agree that everyone should slow down, one of the first questions I ask is:

Who benefits?

For me, the bigger question as an investor is whether anything has actually changed in the AI infrastructure story.

Are hyperscalers cutting capex?

Are accelerator orders being cancelled?

Is demand for networking, memory, storage or power starting to weaken?

If the answer is no, then I’m not sure a few comments about slowing AI development automatically mean the AI investment cycle is slowing too.

For now, I see this more as a narrative shock than a thesis break.

And perhaps there’s another possibility:

Slower model development could actually mean more spending on inference, safety, testing and infrastructure before the next generation gets released.

That’s the part I’m watching.

What do you think? Genuine concern, strategic positioning… or a bit of both? 😂

@Captain Leo

We are seeing the start of sell off especially in the AI and hardware sector, as AI leaders like Altman calls for slowdown amidst the rapid AI development and growth over the past years. Recently, there have also been reports of slightly renowned former scientists from various AI companies calling out the dangers of rapidly developing and adopting AI, claiming that they may replace humans faster than you think

Hot core CPI (+0.3% MoM) virtually guarantees a September rate hike—sticky short-term inflation forces the Fed to prioritize pricing stability over cratering consumer sentiment. With 10-year yields nearing 5%, persistent inflation pressures continue to overshadow broader macroeconomic concerns.

The market has priced in a Fed hike with near certainty. Everybody thinks that the Fed will hike. What if it doesn't? What if Kevin Warsh holds rates steady? We giga pump straight to the moon?

Bitcoin holds well as president Trump officially agrees to new bipartisan crypto Clarity Act ethics provisions.☺️

President Trump's agreement to the ethics provisions in the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is widely viewed as a major positive catalyst for the cryptocurrency industry.☺️

Watch out for Clarity Act approval tomorrow at 2:15 p.m. Eastern Time.. BTC may rally (My personal view) .

August’s core CPI reading indicates persistent underlying price pressure, despite the annual rate easing to its lowest level in years. The upside monthly surprise materially strengthened expectations of a September rate hike, while the shift in Goldman’s forecast reinforces the more hawkish policy outlook. The rise in the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5% increases discount-rate pressure on equities, particularly high-valuation and long-duration growth stocks. Markets may remain sensitive to upcoming inflation and labor data, as confirmation of persistent inflation could sustain higher yields and limit expectations for monetary easing.

Many things happening now and the market is pricing in multiple events.

The recent comments by Sam Altman, Dario, Elon Musk for AI to “slowdown”, FOMC this week, inflation from Iran war and the bond yield rising.

Looks like we are in for a tumultuous time 😞

Am secretly enjoying the discounts for REITs unlike the past where rate hikes makes me nervous and unsettled. At the start of the year, many were wondering if the REIT boats would come back to port to pick them up. Are they still buying the ticket to board? For those onboard, are they still chilling on the ships' deck chairs or they are bailing out in their lifejackets, leaving their suitcases aboard?

Rate hike soon. Reits beaten down. US index minor dip after weekend. Whether rebound or not, depends on the Fed's stance if there will more hikes along the way

Goldman flipping to a September hike after one hot print feels reactive. If the Fed moves with the 10-year already at 4.957%, they risk breaking something in credit. That sets up a sharper slowdown in Q4 and a forced pivot later.