Longbridge HK, US stocks community

Everyone failed to point out the real problem with the iPhone Duo lacking Face ID: You can’t buy a Vision Pro with it.

Source: Mark Gurman

#SplusLessons: Distribution

The stock market is not all in the good shape for the past few days

i dont understand$GammaRoad Market Navigation ETF(GMMA.US)

$Tesla(TSLA.US)

Context: Tesla still proves that it can benefit from the current high price of gasoline fuel by selling more EV cars and it is also spending less resulting in a free cash surplus of US$1.53 billion. This is surprising as the analyst has expected a massive cash deficit of US$4.92 billion. The market is always in a dilemma, on 1 side, it wants to preserve as much free cash as possible on the other side, having too much free cash can mean having less to invest into AI or other high impact investments. So it needs a good balancing act.

My trade: add more Tesla stocks

Takeaway: Tesla is a US1.4 trillion company and is the most valuable automobile company globally. It has also invested heavily in self-driving software, battery technology, robotics technology and robotaxis. All these have a high potential to outgrow EV car sales.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

Simple interface, net profit, low commission

Cryptocurrency represents a fascinating shift in how we think about money and trust. At its core, the technology offers the promise of a decentralized financial system, free from traditional intermediaries. This could mean faster, cheaper transactions and greater financial inclusion globally. However, the extreme volatility and regulatory uncertainty make it a highly speculative space. While the underlying blockchain technology has undeniable potential to revolutionize various sectors in terms that industries, the current market often feels more like a gamble than a stable investment. Ultimately, crypto is a powerful innovation, but it requires careful consideration and a clear understanding of the risks involved before diving in.

Expert Takeaways: Microsoft

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🚨 Bitcoin: Calm Before the Next Big Move?

📉 Technical Overview

• Price right now: $80,238, pulling back from near $86,000

• 4-hour RSI: Around 38–39, getting close to oversold. Selling is heavy short-term, but a pause or bounce may be forming

• Daily RSI: Around 42–47. Bullish momentum has faded, so the recovery path remains fragile

🏛️ What’s Moving the Market

• Fed Meeting 27-28 October 26

Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of the decision. Rate moves and liquidity trends will decide which way we break next

• US Elections 3 Nov:

Policy and regulatory uncertainty are keeping investors careful. Big money is waiting on the sidelines for now

🎯 What to Watch

Expect bigger swings over the next two weeks as the market stays in wait-and-see mode.

Key support sits between $75,000 and $78,000. Once we get clearer direction from the Fed and election results, history suggests a post-event relief rally could follow.

Not financial and investment advice.do your own due diligence.

$Tesla(TSLA.US)420 3 weeks!

Iggy’s Journal: SGX Weekly Review: One Winner Trades in US Dollars, One Is Also US-Listed. What Changes for You?

Sunday 25 Oct 2026 | Afternoon

The Numbers

From the weekly review: JMH rose a little over 5% in US dollars across the five trading days. AvePoint, another name in the review, is listed in both the United States and Singapore. $AvePoint(AVP.SG) 

An illustration from the episode, with made-up numbers: a share priced at US$10 rises to US$10.50, a gain of 5%. A S$13 starting value becomes S$13.02 after the exchange rate weakens, which implies a move from about S$1.30 to S$1.24 per US dollar (my back-calculation).

My Personal Take

A percentage without its currency is half a sentence. In the example, a 5% gain in US dollars moved a S$13 holding by 2 cents. The AvePoint half interests me more, because a company listed in two places may announce on the American schedule.

📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/2lxBrQHDPVE

Cheers, Iggy 🦖

Not financial advice. Iggy’s Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

$Broadcom(AVGO.US)

Post 5 Ep.25

Context: Broadcom has been active in Singapore’s new advanced semiconductor substrate facility. While investors often focus on custom AI accelerators and networking chips, producing these increasingly sophisticated devices requires specialised packaging materials. Broadcom is taking steps to address that bottleneck directly.

My trade: This adds an interesting dimension to my Broadcom thesis. Through its partnership with TOPPAN, the company is strengthening access to the advanced substrates required for its next-generation AI and networking products. For me, this is about more than expanding capacity. It is about reducing supply-chain vulnerabilities that could otherwise limit growth, even when customer demand remains exceptionally strong.

Takeaway: Having the best chip design means little if you cannot manufacture enough of it. In an increasingly capacity-constrained AI industry, securing the ability to deliver may become just as important as securing the customer orders themselves. Sometimes competitive advantage is built long before the finished product reaches the market.

@Captain's Treasure

$GE Vernova(GEV.US)

Post 5 of Episode 25

Context: What I find interesting about GE Vernova today is the contrast between its business fundamentals and recent share-price weakness. Demand for power infrastructure remains strong, but the market is increasingly questioning how sustainably the AI buildout can be financed. Meanwhile, GEV has been securing better pricing on new gas-turbine orders, suggesting that equipment scarcity is translating into genuine commercial advantages.

My trade: I’m increasingly looking beyond the size of GEV’s order book. What matters to me now is the quality of those orders, the margins they can generate and the cash flow that ultimately follows. The recent correction is a useful reminder that even an excellent business can become vulnerable when market expectations run ahead of execution.

Takeaway: A massive backlog tells us customers want your products. It doesn’t automatically tell us how profitable those orders will be. For GEV, the real opportunity may be turning today’s power-equipment scarcity into years of higher-margin earnings and cash generation. That’s where the long-term value will ultimately be proven.

@Captain's Treasure

Context

Palantir has officially transitioned from a speculative “story stock” into a highly profitable enterprise software powerhouse. In its most recent Q2 results, revenue exploded 93% year-over-year to $1.94 billion, crushing conservative forecasts. This breakneck acceleration is primarily fueled by explosive growth in its US Commercial sector (+149% YoY), proving that its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) has achieved profound product-market fit. Financially, the operational model is remarkably robust: it generates a 62% adjusted operating margin, boasts $9.2 billion in cash with zero debt, and maintains a phenomenal Rule of 40 score of 155%. Consequently, top-tier institutions have aggressively turned bullish, with Goldman Sachs upgrading the stock to “Buy” and Barclays initiating an “Overweight” rating with a street-high target of $265.

My trade

• The Tactical Strategy: Rather than chasing shares at the peak of the 52-week range ($212.94), a smarter trade is to capture volatility or wait for a pullback.

• Actionable Plan: Selling out-of-the-money cash-secured puts targeting the $170–$175 support zone allows you to either pocket a rich premium driven by implied volatility or accumulate shares at a more justifiable discount if the market reacts harshly to forward guidance. Alternatively, long-term investors should hold off on adding capital until Q3 numbers clarify if sequential momentum can match the current expectations.

Takeaway

Palantir represents a premier operational thesis paired with a severely stretched valuation. The company’s massive $472.80 billion market cap is entirely dependent on its ability to sustain near-triple-digit growth scales. While its fundamental strength, balance sheet, and institutional backlog make it an exceptional secular AI holding, risk mitigation must take precedence. Buy the underlying enterprise strength, but only execute on structural price dips.