U.S. equities rose pre-market ahead of NVDA earnings, July PCE data, and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech amid inflation concerns and stubbornly high long-dated Treasury yields. Brent crude fell, while BTC gained; gold and silver declined. Chip stocks rebounded on AI optimism in front of the $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) print; $Meta Platforms(META.US) and $Tesla(TSLA.US) both advanced. TSLA raised Cybertruck prices. S&P 2026 EPS estimates continued to climb on AI and energy strength, pushing P/E to 21.0x and a forward earnings yield of 4.7%, matching the 10-year yield for the first time since early 2024. I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) due to declining 2027-30 earnings estimates, the commoditization of unsupervised autonomous driving technology, and an extreme valuation (6x PEG, highest by far among Mag 8 stocks).

NVDA Groq 3 LPX now in full production; ByteDance 'Doubao Work' debuts|Daily News Recap
0825 | Dolphin Research Focus: Macro/Industry — 1) The U.S. Treasury Secretary said on Mon (local time) that a new round of long-bond buybacks will be executed on Sep 9, and the tool will remain active. The operations will cover 10–30Y USTs to address the recent spike in long-end yields.
This signals direct Treasury intervention at the long end, offering a short-term sentiment backstop for USTs. However, markets worry about the funding source for buybacks given a swollen fiscal deficit. If the effect is limited, long-end rates still face upside, which would keep a lid on global equity valuations...
















