In today’s pre-mkt summary for Subscribers: Risk-off sentiment intensified as escalating Middle East conflict halted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, driving Brent crude +8.3% to $79/bbl and pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 3.97%. Safe-haven buying lifted precious medals while long-duration equities were hit hardest. We view the volatility as temporary; once the conflict de-escalates, oil prices will retreat, and softer Feb employment data on Friday could bolster Fed rate-cut expectations. This should allow equities to reclaim new highs supported by solid 2026 S&P 500 earnings growth of +12% YoY to $310, implying a reasonable 22.2x forward P/E and 4.5% earnings yield vs sub-4.0% 10-year TYs. We remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) (no position) given declining long-term EPS estimates, rapid democratization of unsupervised autonomy by competitors ( $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US), $Baidu(BIDU.US), $Amazon(AMZN.US), others already at 850K paid unsupervised autonomous rides/week), and a stretched valuation (2026 P/E ~200x vs +40% forward EPS growth = 5x PEG, avg Mag 7 PEG 2x).