
Rate Of Return
NVIDIA Return Rate$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S(HST.SG)
Ticket: HST (SGX)
Index Tracked: Hang Seng Tech Index (30 largest HK-listed China tech companies)
Top exposures: Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Xiaomi, JD, NetEase, SMIC
Structure: HST is a pure CN new-economy/platform -tech + AI + EV supply chain proxy
Key cyclical drivers:
(1) Fed easing -> weaker USD -> global capital flow into HK/China assets; if USD doesn't weaken -> capital stays in US assets & HST rallies tend to fail/stall
(2) Earnings normalisation after deep margin compression
(3) CN tech trading at much lower multiples -> Valuation gap Vs US tech remains wide
Outlook:
Near term - consensus is that Fed easing is off the table but earnings has some positives (e.g. Tencent). A large green candle with relatively high volume on 2 June is a promising sign for a possible reversal but we have to see if prices can hold for the next few session.
I am currently holding/accumlating this as a satellite growth allocation, pending re-rating/mean reversion of the Chinese tech.
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