
Broadcom fell 12.9% after hours despite a genuine earnings beat and record guidance. The VIX (volatility index) term structure on AVGO going into this print had priced roughly a 10% implied move. A 12.9% downside move on a beat-and-raise means the options market was underestimating the downside skew. When a stock requires not just a beat but a beat against an elevated buy-side bar, the risk profile is asymmetric to the downside even on good results. That setup is worth tracking in other AI hardware names ahead of their next earnings cycles.
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