Boss's Boss
2025.02.12 15:48

Regarding Tesla, Cathie Wood and ARK Invest believe:

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$Tesla(TSLA.US)Caption: Investment requires faith. The future will come, but how can you be sure before it arrives? Regarding Tesla, I want to say: it is solving a mathematical problem, and this problem definitely has an answer. So, when you waver, ask yourself, besides Tesla, who else can solve this mathematical problem faster and better than Tesla?


Tesla and Robotaxi: A Revolutionary Change in Fully Autonomous Driving

Tesla plans to launch fully autonomous driving services in 2025

  • Wood revealed that Tesla plans to launch its fully autonomous Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, in June 2025.
  • Once launched, ARK Invest expects Tesla's Robotaxi service to rapidly expand across the United States and even further into global markets.
  • If Tesla successfully executes its plan, it will become the world's first company to launch a large-scale driverless ride-hailing service and has the potential to become the new industry standard.

Comparison with Other Autonomous Driving Competitors

  • Ten years ago, about 10 companies (mainly traditional automakers) claimed they could achieve fully autonomous driving (Level 5) within 5-6 years, but most of these companies have since exited or fallen behind.
  • Currently, only two companies have successfully launched commercial autonomous driving in the United States:
    • Waymo (a subsidiary of Google's parent company Alphabet): launched in 2018 but is still limited to specific areas (such as certain routes in Phoenix and San Francisco).
    • Tesla: plans to launch a nationwide Robotaxi service in 2025, which will far surpass Waymo.
  • Competitors in the Chinese market:
    • Baidu Apollo Go: has launched Robotaxi services in some cities but is still limited by policies and geographical scope.
    • BYD: is also investing in autonomous driving research and may become Tesla's main competitor in China in the future.

Impact of Tesla Robotaxi Services

  • Significantly reduce transportation costs, changing the model of personal car ownership and making the car-sharing economy more attractive
  • Replacing traditional taxis and shared mobility (such as Uber, Lyft) models, as Robotaxi will be cheaper and more efficient than human-driven vehicles.
  • Driving Tesla's valuation growth, ARK Invest believes that Tesla's Robotaxi service could further increase the company's market value and even impact the global transportation industry landscape.

Humanoid Robots: The Future $26 Trillion Market

  • Humanoid robots will disrupt the labor market and daily life: Wood predicts that humanoid robots will enter enterprises in the short term, followed by households, replacing many repetitive and physical labor jobs.
  • Market Size: ARK Invest estimates that the humanoid robot market will reach $26 trillion:
    • $13 trillion from manufacturing and enterprise applications (such as warehouse logistics, factory automation).
    • $13 trillion from household applications (such as cleaning, cooking, caregiving).
  • Development Speed of Humanoid Robots: Wood mentioned that although fully autonomous driving (Robotaxi) is progressing slower than expected, the development speed of humanoid robots has exceeded ARK's previous expectations.

Three Key Technologies Driving Humanoid Robot Development

  • Robotics Technology: The hardware design and flexibility of humanoid robots have significantly improved, making them closer to human activity patterns.
  • Energy Storage (Battery Technology): More efficient batteries allow robots to operate for extended periods, reducing charging frequency.
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI): Enables robots to have the ability to learn autonomously, adapt to environments, and perform complex tasks.

Changes Brought by Humanoid Robots

  • In Enterprises and Manufacturing: Increasing productivity and reducing labor costs, especially in industries with severe labor shortages (such as electronics manufacturing, warehousing, logistics).
    • Similar to the assembly line invented by Ford Motor Company 100 years ago, it will significantly enhance manufacturing efficiency.
  • In Household Life: Performing daily chores such as cleaning, cooking, and caring for the elderly and children.
    • Can be integrated with smart home technology to further enhance convenience.

Tesla's Core Role in AI and Automation

  • Robotaxi: Disrupting the transportation industry by providing low-cost, high-efficiency autonomous driving services.
  • Humanoid Robots: Redefining the labor market and increasing global productivity.
  • Integration of AI, Robotics, and Energy Technology: ARK Invest believes that in the coming years, AI, robotics technology, and energy storage will continue to integrate, driving rapid development for Tesla and other innovative companies

Conclusion: Tesla Will Change the Future

  • Cathie Wood and ARK Invest believe that Tesla will completely disrupt the automotive, labor, and AI industries through Robotaxi and humanoid robot technology, playing a key role in global economic development

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