Sep 23 at 06:36 AM
I'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.Alibaba this week can only be described as 'going crazy' 🚀
Starting from the Tuesday Apsara Conference, $Alibaba(BABA.US) took off 🔥
📊 Let's look at the numbers:
- Low of 9⁄16: $107 → Close of 9⁄22: $116
- Intraday high briefly broke $120 🎯
- Weekly gain ≈ +8.5%
- Trading volume surged 58%, with over $1.4bn pouring in
Yuan. Who is buying is already obvious.
The truly explosive news 👇
① True Warrior V900 AI Chip Launch 🚀
Developed by T-Head, its computing power is 3x that of the previous M890 generation, supporting clusters of 500k units, with mass production in 2027 Q1. Who is it benchmarking? Guess 🤫
② CEO Eddie Wu: Global Data Centers by 2032 → 20GW
Not just a PPT pitch, but $53bn (380bn RMB) of real capital invested over three years. Citi ran the numbers: external cloud revenue for FY2033 will be $160bn, up from their previous forecast of $100bn—a direct 60% upward revision.
③ Tongyi Qianwen 4 Currently in Training
Planned parameter scale: 5 trillion → 10 trillion. This scale burns real money 💰
④ Management ALL IN
Jack Ma and Eddie Wu both increased their holdings, buying their own stock with real cash. This isn't just talk; it's an AI strategy backed by action.
🏦 On Wall Street:
| Firm | Rating | Target Price |
|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | $180 |
| BofA | Buy | $175 |
| Susquehanna | Buy | $190 |
| Citi | Positive catalyst within 30 days | — |
| Consensus Target | Moderate Buy | $186.9 |
Current $116 → Consensus target implies +60% upside
A bit of hard truth:
BABA is still down 23-33% YTD, PE=26, PB, Market Cap $279bn
A company with $144bn annual revenue, holding 40% share of the China cloud market, self-developed AI chips, and acting as a cash flow machine…
At this valuation, do you think it's expensive?
Or is the market just determined to discount Chinese assets until no one believes in them anymore? 🤡
My view:
The catalyst this week isn't short-term noise; it's Alibaba's identity shift from an e-commerce company to an AI infrastructure company.
$53bn poured into AI, self-developed chips, trillion-parameter models, and global data centers.
This isn't defense; it's offense.
When the market wakes up one day to realize:
'Wait, BABA isn't an e-commerce stock; it's an AI company.'
Then the valuation… won't be just 26x PE 🤷
📌 What to watch next:
- 9⁄24 Trump-Xi meeting — Semiconductor sanctions topic
- Any more surprises from the Apsara Conference in the next two days
- Q2 Earnings: Can Alibaba Cloud growth exceed 50%?
Not financial advice, DYOR
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