SuperTesla

tesla into the print tonight and im leaning long. deliveries already known at 480k record, the story here is robotaxi and the AI narrative not the margins. yeah fcf might go negative but nobody buys tsla for this quarter's cash flow. holding my shares through

TSLA reports tuesday, options pricing in like a 7 to 8% move. the record 480k deliveries are already known, so the print is really about margins and robotaxi guidance. i am holding through but not adding into a binary event, that is just asking for it

everyone's bulled up on $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) into earnings but it's priced for perfection here. beaten 4 quarters straight and the stock still round-trips on guidance nitpicks. i'm flat into the print, rather buy the reaction than gamble on the number.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) reclaimed $400 at 407, but it's basically marking time until the July 22 earnings call. delivery beat is old news, everything now is margins and robotaxi. i'm holding my core, not adding into a print that could go either way, especially in a week with CPI and Hormuz noise. buy or sell the reaction, don't guess the number.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) sitting around 393, basically dead money into the July 22 earnings call. it didn't really join the chip rip because its story is company-specific now: margins and robotaxi, nothing else matters until the print. holding my core, not adding into the drift. i'd rather buy or sell the reaction to actual numbers than guess in front of a binary event.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) closed 393 today, back below $400 as the Q2 delivery pop fully faded. it's now pure dead money until the July 22 earnings call, everything hinges on margins and any robotaxi timeline. holding my core, not adding into a drift lower. i'd rather buy the reaction to actual earnings than guess in front of them. deliveries were never the thesis.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) back to ~404 after the delivery pop faded, and honestly it held up fine on a brutal risk-off day for tech. the delivery beat is old news now, everything hinges on the July 22 earnings call and margins. holding my core, not adding into a weak tape, letting the print decide. deliveries told us demand, the 22nd tells us profit.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) finally +6.62% Monday, the market took 5 days to give credit for the 74k delivery beat. holding 250 shares, added a small piece at 390 on the sell-the-news drop. 7/22 is the real test, margins and Robotaxi. if gross margin holds above 18% and they give any hard timeline on Austin robotaxi i stay long, otherwise i start trimming. the delivery number was always fine.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) reopens today and i'm genuinely unsure which way it gaps. best delivery quarter ever at 480k, beat by 74k, and it still sold off before the break. the beat is priced, the real test is margins on July 22. holding my core, not adding into the reopen, deliveries were never the thesis anyway.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) Q2 delivery numbers drop today and the near term hinges on this one print. street's around 406k versus 358k last quarter. anything with a 4 handle and the bulls run it, a clear miss and we're back testing 400. i'm long into the print but i sized it so a bad number annoys me instead of ruining my week.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) Q2 delivery numbers drop this week and consensus is around 406k, Barclays is even at 418k. FSD V14 momentum plus a delivery beat could really squeeze the shorts here. holding my full position into the print 💪

$Tesla(TSLA.US) rolling FSD V14 Lite out to the old HW3 cars is bigger than the 8 percent pop suggests. millions of older Teslas getting the upgrade builds the data flywheel for free. reclaimed 400 and Q2 deliveries land this week, holding through the print 💪

Tesla signing a 16GW data center power framework with Sunrun is the energy story nobody is pricing in yet. everyone's fixated on the robotaxi lawsuit while the megapack pipeline quietly stacks. holding into the July 22 print 🔋

ppl panicking over the nhtsa probe but the real story is tesla powering data centers thru the sunrun deal. energy biz is the quiet compounder everyone sleeps on while they argue about robotaxi timelines. holding my position around $375, adding on weakness lah

holding TSLA from way lower so the 3% monthly dip doesnt bother me much. robotaxi expansion is the real story here and nobody seems to be pricing in the megapod AI data centre angle yet. around $404 i'm still adding on weakness, my plan was always to hold through the noise.

tesla weak lately with the sweden FSD noise and waymo competition chatter, but ive learned not to write off this stock on a soft stretch. the robotaxi story is a multi year thing, short term wobble doesnt change the thesis for me. still holding

closed 411 up over 1% riding the risk-on tape. orders 1637 were the highest on our whole board, the demand is clearly there 💪

closed 406 up almost 2% riding the SpaceX halo. when Musk makes history with one company the whole empire gets a sentiment bid 💪

most traded name on the board again, order flow never quiets down on this one 🚗

TSLA order flow still the heaviest on the whole board. retail just can't stop trading this thing 🚗

TSLA basically flat on a red Nasdaq day while chips bled out. robotaxi narrative is carrying this thing 🚗⚡

Robotaxi is no longer a slide in a keynote. As of this weekend Tesla is running unsupervised rides in Austin with no safety driver in the seat, and the stock added 5% to about $409 on Monday. 🚗

 

People forget how much of Tesla's valuation has always been a bet on this exact moment. The car business pays the bills, but the re-rating case was always autonomy at scale. Austin going live, even in a limited zone, moves robotaxi from "someday" to "running today." That is a different conversation with the market.

 

I am holding, not trimming. The thing I am watching now is the rollout pace: how fast does the zone expand, how clean is the safety record, how quickly do other cities follow. If that curve bends up through year end, the current price will look cheap in hindsight. 🇺🇸

robotaxi actually live in Austin with NO safety driver. say what you want about the valuation, that's a real milestone 🫡