AI Gossip
Chips and Wafers’ Lover
Chips and Wafers’ Lover
AI Gossip
TSMC’s 2nd quarter gross margin is seen nearing 70% – beating guidance – when it reports July 16 at its quarterly conference, media report:
Q3 revenue is expected to rise 10% vs Q2 as TSMC’s string of record-breaking quarterly revenue continues. TSMC full-year 2026 revenue guide seen being raised from “over 30%” currentlyTSMC GM guidance for Q2 is 65.5% - 67.5% $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Intel(INTC.US) $SSNLF #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
TSMC has tapped ShunSin Technology, a Foxconn chip packaging & testing subsidiary, for Fiber Array Unit (FAU) and Grating Coupling work as part of its COUPE optical engine platform, media report, citing ShunSin Chairman Shang-Yi Chiang, former head of R&D at TSMC.
-Two former TSMC executives added to ShunSin board-Sees double-digit % revenue growth this year and bigger growth in 2027.-Capex seen NT$4-5 billion for 2026-2027-New Vietnam plant to see output by end-2026 and ramp up in 2027-51.2T CPO currently in pilot production -102.4T CPO samples have been sent to clients-In development: 12.8T NPO, OCS (optical circuit switches) and 3.2T packaging(Note: 51.2T is the current standard for cutting-edge network switch chips like Broadcom Tomahawk or Nvidia Spectrum-X. So, 51.2T stands for 51.2Tbps bandwidth for network switch chips, which allow 1000s of GPUs in AI data centers to talk to each other)$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #Foxconn #ShunSin #semiconductors #SiPhSource: Dan Nystedt
TSMC affiliate Vanguard, a mature-process foundry, said it can no longer meet demand, expects the shortage to last through end-2026, and is mulling a 2nd fab in Singapore, media report:
-Demand strong for power management (PMIC) and industrial analog chips-Visibility now extends 3 to 5-months out-New 12-inch fab in Singapore will begin mass production in 1st quarter 2027 -New fab already nearly fully booked-Yield on 40nm process at Singapore fab over 99%-2nd Singapore fab would do 22/28nm production$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #VIS #Vanguard #Singapore #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
Micron's mobile business is on a tear. Its gross profit per smartphone up 15x y/y in 3QF26. 87% gross margin in 3QF26 vs 24% a year ago quarter. Mobile revenue up 3.5x while gross profit up nearly 13x. How sustainable is this and how low units can go?
Source: Sravan Kundojjala
Rumor: OpenAI’s new Jalapeno AI inference chip will be made by TSMC on 3nm, while the Jalapeno2 will use A16 and CoWoS advanced packaging, media report. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) #OpenAI #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
TSMC Technology Symposium (Shanghai) Takeaways, media report:
-6T SRAM breakthrough with 30% area reduction on nanosheet (GAA)-CoWoS 5.5x reticle size hit 98% yield in mass production-N2 wafer output in 1st year to beat N3’s 1st year output by 45%-N2/A16 capacity expected to expand at 70% annually (CAGR) 2026-2028-N3 and N5 will see 25% annual increase (CAGR) 2022-2026-Advanced packaging CoWoS and SoIC to expand 80% annually (CAGR) 2022-2027-From 2022 to 2026 demand for AI accelerator wafers grew 11x, while large-die wafer demand grew 6x-AI and high performance computing (HPC) chips will account for 55% of the US$1.5 trillion semiconductor market by 2030 ($1 trillion this year), smartphones 20%, and 10% each for automotive and IoT. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Apple(AAPL.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Amazon(AMZN.US) #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
Qualcomm’s Dragonfly AI data center platform will benefit Taiwan’s 2nd biggest chip foundry, UMC, more than TSMC, media report, due to its expertise in power integration, including power management (PMIC) chips, on-wafer inductors, Deep Trench Capacitors (DTC), and interposers, while TSMC is absent from Qualcomm’s 35 partner ecosystem list. Taiwan AI server giants are all included, Foxconn, Quanta, Wistron, Pegatron, Compal, Inventec, and other parts suppliers, Delta, more. $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) $United Microelectronics(UMC.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #AIserver #semiconductor
Source: Dan Nystedt
TSMC is expected to manufacture Qualcomm’s Dragonfly C100 data center CPUs and AI300 AI accelerator chips on 3nm/2nm and use CoWoS or SoIC advanced packaging, media report. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) #semiconductor
Source: Dan Nystedt
Sigurd Microelectronics, the Taiwan chip packaging firm, raised its 2026 capex to NT$8.8 billion (US$275M) from NT$5.93B previously and estimated capex for its business group at NT$18.6B during its 1st quarter earnings call. Winstek, part of the Sigurd group, will also likely raise capex spending from NT$5.65 billion now. “I can only say our current capex isn’t enough, but we haven’t made a new forecast yet,” an exec said. #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
ASE’s advanced semiconductor packaging & testing revenue will double this year amid severe capacity shortages due to AI-related orders, and its US$8.5 billion capex forecast for 2026 “will likely need to be revised up again,” said COO Tien Wu, media report, adding ASE is evaluating price hikes. ASE now has 15 plants under construction, and plans to build 2 more in the US, adding to the 2 already there. 1/2 $Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
来源: Dan Nystedt
TSMC is raising prices 5% - 10% on all leading-edge 7nm and below chip manufacturing processes (N7/5/4/3/2 etc.), which account for ~75% of TSMC’s total revenue, reports @tculpan on Culpium, adding: “Since early this year, business development and sales teams at TSMC have been told by senior leadership that they need to find ways to charge more, according to multiple sources…” $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Intel(INTC.US) $SSNLF #Samsung #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
$Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) confirming orders of ~$63M from $Camtek(CAMT.US) & ~$39M from $ASMPT.
ASPs imply high-end equipment from Camtek and WB/FC from ASMPT.Source: Chips & Wafers
STMicro has notified clients it will begin a new round of price hikes on microcontrollers (MCU) from June 28, media report, citing unnamed industry sources. The report sent shares of Taiwan MCU makers higher Monday, including Holtek, Weltrend, and Sonix. $STMicroelectronics NV(STM.US) $Infineon Technologies(IFNNY.US) $NXP Semiconductors(NXPI.US) $Microchip Tech(MCHP.US) $RNECY
Source: Dan Nystedt
MediaTek won primary orders for Google’s TPU v9 chips by delivering a custom 336G SerDes solution after Broadcom’s more ambitious 448G SerDes missed the production timeline, media report, citing unnamed industry sources. Google had originally planned to adopt 448G but switched to a 336G transitional spec due to signal integrity, power, and thermal challenges. The sources note the DSP required for 448G optical modules may need a 2nm process, delaying volume production until 2028–2029. $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) #Mediatek #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
Rumor: TSMC executives have inspected a plant owned by AUO in the Central Taiwan Science Park and may buy and retrofit it for advanced chip packaging, media report. AUO is one of Taiwan’s top flat panel makers. Older electronics plants can be converted for use much faster than building anew. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #AUO #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
TSMC plans to invest tens of billions of Taiwan dollars in a new advanced chip packaging plant in the Central Taiwan Science Park near Erlin Township, media report, adding that equipment move-in at the expansion of TSMC’s AP5B plant nearby is expected to be done by end-2026. It will do CoWoS-L. TSMC has not submitted paperwork for the land yet, but is expected to do so soon. 1/2 $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) #SPIL $Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
Amazon AWS servers with the latest Trainium3 AI chips inside will enter mass production in July and ship in volume in the 3rd and 4th quarters this year, and 1st quarter next, media report (L6 in May, L11 in July), citing unnamed sources.
Trainium3 server suppliers include: Cooling: AVC, Microloops, Cooler MasterGuide Rail: King Slide, Nan JuenL6 assembly: AcctonL11 Assembly WiwynnASIC-based server shipments are expected to surge 64.2% this year over last, with AWS accounting for 20.4% of the market, while Google holds 46%.$Amazon(AMZN.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) #MediaTek #AlchipSource: Dan Nystedt
Tesla Optimus 3 humanoid robots are gearing up for mass production in the 2nd half of the year and Taiwan supply chain partners Mirle and Asia Optical have been asked to build capacity outside of China, a “non-Red supply chain”, media report, adding Mirle, which supplies harmonic reducers and joint modules for Optimus, has already established a JV in Thailand for more capacity. Asia Optical is expected to provide eyes for Optimus 3. Production of Optimus 3 is expected to kick off in late July or August. $Tesla(TSLA.US) $SpaceX(SPCX.US) #Optimus3 #Mirle #Asia Optical
Source: Dan Nystedt
China’s approval of limited Indium Phosphide (InP) substrate exports at end-May disappointed as China keeps most of it for domestic use and remains committed to its “limited release” policy, while the global backlog of orders continues to pile up, media report. $AXT(AXTI.US) $Coherent Corp.(COHR.US) $Lumentum(LITE.US)
Source: Dan Nystedt
MediaTek and Realtek, top chip designers, have notified clients of price hikes due to falling inventory levels, tighter supplies, and the price increases they’ve faced from foundry and packaging/testing partners, media report. Realtek is hiking prices over 10% for certain chips from July, while MediaTek plans to hike the price of its flagship smartphone chips to be launched later this year. Realtek specializes in networking chips, WiFi, Ethernet, switches, more. $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) $Maxlinear(MXL.US) $NXP Semiconductors(NXPI.US) #Mediatek #Realtek
Source: Dan Nystedt
TSMC Fab 15 new wafer starts for 28nm have dropped 25% since the beginning of the year to 150,000 starts, from 200,000 previously, prompting speculation the plan to phase out older technologies is moving faster than expected, media report, adding TSMC is using some of that 28nm capacity for interposer production. TSMC’s three 8-inch and one 6-inch fab are to be retired by early 2027. Fab 15, a 12-inch fab devoted to 28nm production, is being used to support advanced products. UMC and Vanguard (VIS) are viewed as likely to take on orders via TSMC, mainly display drivers (DDIC), power (PMICs), MCUs, automotive chips, etc. 1/2 $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $United Microelectronics(UMC.US) #Vanguard #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
TSMC’s first CoPoS pilot line equipment is already being installed at subsidiary VisEra’s plant in Longtan, north Taiwan, with much equipment from CoWoS advanced packaging lines, but a few key differences, media report, citing unnamed supply chain sources, who say earliest time mass production likely 2029:
-Lam Research edged out a big US rival for a spot on the first demo line, while V5 Technologies and Scientech also beat rivals into the line.-The time from first delivery of a demo through validation and mass production is expected to take a year-and-a-half.-CoPoS is so new that equipment suppliers only a few demo machines ready, a sign mass production remains far off. 1/2 $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Lam Research(LRCX.US) $Applied Materials(AMAT.US) $Tokyo Electron(TOELY.US) #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
Brutal reminder of what happens when China decides to enter a commoditizing market.
Source: Chips & Wafers
ASE, the chip packaging & testing giant, has spent NT$62.08 billion (US$1.96B) on production line equipment so far in June alone to meet booming demand, media report, with the biggest spend by subsidiary SPIL, NT$59.42 billion. Nvidia is a key client of SPIL's.
During its 1st quarter call, ASE raised its 2026 capex forecast to US$8.5 billion from $7 billion previously, and said it expects advanced packaging revenue to top $3.5 billion this year.The article only names 3 equipment vendors specifically, Camtek (Israel), ASMPT (Hong Kong), Semtek Corp. (Taiwan). $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) $Camtek(CAMT.US) #ASMPT $0522.HK #SemtekSource: Dan Nystedt
