Michael Burry Tracker

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Michael Burry TrackerOct 10, 2026 at 05:35 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says Anthropic's private valuation could buy 78 profitable S&P 500 companies

Calls it 'a fun game in times like these'

Companies on the list:

• Domino's Pizza

• Clorox

• J.M. Smucker

• Stanley Black & Decker

• Deckers Outdoor

• Lululemon

Burry has been saying we're closing on a crash and on Sept 29 said, “For the benefit of humanity, the markets should tank hard and prevent the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs"

Michael Burry TrackerOct 9, 2026 at 04:55 PM

Michael Burry's complete holdings, per his Substack

Top tier:

• MercadoLibre $Mercadolibre(MELI.US) [Long, 12%]

• Deckers $Deckers Outdoor(DECK.US) [Long]

Second tier (9% each):

• Molina Healthcare $Molina Healthcare(MOH.US) [Long]

• Temple & Webster $TPW [Long]

Third tier (undisclosed %):

• JD $JD.com(JD.US) [Long]

• Birkenstock $Birkenstock(BIRK.US) [Long]

• Adobe $Adobe(ADBE.US) [Long]

• HCA Healthcare $HCA Healthcare(HCA.US) [Long]

• Fiserv $Fiserv, Inc.(FISV.US) [Long]

• Build-A-Bear Workshop $Build A Bear(BBW.US) [Long]

• Veeva Systems $Veeva Systems -CL(VEEV.US) [Long]

• Freddie Mac $Freddie Mac(FMCC.US) [Long]

• PayPal $Paypal(PYPL.US) [Long]

• QXO $QXO(QXO.US) [Long]

• Ero Copper $ERO Copper(ERO.US) [Long]

• BYD $BYDFF [Long]

Call options:

• JD $JD.com(JD.US) [Call, 2029]

• Zoetis $Zoetis(ZTS.US) [Call, 2029]

• Sprouts Farmers Market $Sprouts Farmers(SFM.US) [Call, 2028]

Put book (bearish, largest to smallest):

• Nasdaq 100 $NDX [Put, Sept 2027]

• Palantir $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) [Put, Sept 2027]

• Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) [Put, Sept 2027]

• Semiconductor ETF $SOXX [Put, Sept 2027]

• Oracle $Oracle(ORCL.US) [Put, Dec 2027]

• Caterpillar $Caterpillar(CAT.US) [Put, Dec 2027]

• Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US) [Put, June 2027]

• Nebius $Nebius(NBIS.US) [Put, June 2027]

• MetLife $MetLife(MET.US) [Put, 2029]

Full exits:

• Lululemon $Lululemon(LULU.US) [Long] - Swapped for Deckers

• Fannie Mae $Federal National Mortgage Association(FNMA.US) [Long] - Entirety into Freddie Mac

• Flutter $Flutter ENT(FLUT.US) [Long] - Rotated into Lululemon

• Zoetis $Zoetis(ZTS.US) [Long] - Stock swapped for 2029 calls

• Sprouts Farmers $Sprouts Farmers(SFM.US) [Long] - swapped 2028 calls

• Palantir $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) [Short] - Rolled into Sept 2027 puts

• CoreWeave $Coreweave(CRWV.US) [Short] - Covered, no puts yet

• $Micron Tech(MU.US), $Nebius(NBIS.US), $NVIDIA(NVDA.US), $Oracle(ORCL.US), $Caterpillar(CAT.US), $SOXX [Short] - All covered, replaced with puts

Summary: Burry's book almost entirely puts instead of shorts on the AI basket he's been bearish on. He's "moving timelines up" on when he expects the bubble to burst, and he's using tax-loss season to swap LULU→DECK and FNMA→FMCC while buying into names like Ero Copper, QXO, and BYD outside the AI trade

Michael Burry TrackerOct 9, 2026 at 02:25 PM

Breaking: Someone look into Webull

Webull's President and CFO both sold up to $1M of $Webull(BULL.US) month before Congress flags China ties

$Webull(BULL.US) lost 19% that day

• President sold $516K on Sept 8 at $9.58

• CFO sold $494K 6 days later at $8.98

• House China committee released its report on Oct 7

• $Webull(BULL.US) now trades at $6.12

Michael Burry TrackerOct 8, 2026 at 01:55 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says the cracks are already showing

Here's where he sees them:

1. Private equity and private credit are "getting torn apart under the surface of the calm"

2. Private equity firms own insurance companies, and he says those insurers are "holding too many bad assets"

3. Those insurers lend a big share of the money building AI data centers

4. Data center projects are already running into delays

5. Companies are building their own small AI models using "whatever is cheapest, even Chinese open weight models"

This explains Burry's short position for MetLife. He holds $MetLife(MET.US) puts expiring in 2029

Michael Burry TrackerOct 7, 2026 at 03:55 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry exposes how Microsoft is making its spending look smaller

Here's his reasoning:

1. Microsoft rents its data centers on leases that last 13 years on average

2. If you rent a building for most of its life, accounting rules count it as buying the building, so it goes into your spending numbers

3. Microsoft used to say its data centers last 15 years. A 13-year lease was most of that, so its leases counted as spending

4. Now Microsoft is saying its data centers last 25 years. The same 13-year lease is only about half of that, so it counts as rent and drops out of spending

5. That cut Microsoft's 2026 spending forecast to ~$175B, even though its CFO said the real spending plan "remains unchanged"

6. Microsoft has $329.1B of data center leases signed that haven't started yet, up 3.5x in 12 months

Burry says Microsoft is using these numbers "as a lever to get what it wants", and not one analyst asked about it

Michael Burry TrackerOct 6, 2026 at 10:15 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says the AI boom is running on one giant loop and time is running out

Here's his breakdown:

1. Burry shared a report from Wall Street lender Ares tracking $573B of AI financing from the last 12 months

2. All of it runs through just 8 companies: Meta, Oracle, Microsoft, Amazon, OpenAI, Anthropic, Broadcom and Nvidia

3. They lend to each other, guarantee each other's debt and buy from each other, so one company's loan is backed by another company's promise to keep spending

4. Every deal depends on one thing: AI spending never slowing down

5. If AI revenue disappoints for even one season, the guarantees could all get called at once, right when the companies backing them are at their weakest

6. Burry says it's the same circular financing that turned the 2000 telecom fiber boom into a bust

Burry claims the stock market in the first stage of grief and the crash is soon

Michael Burry TrackerOct 6, 2026 at 04:05 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry updated his portfolio for tax-loss harvesting

He:

• Swapped Lululemon $Lululemon(LULU.US) for Deckers $Deckers Outdoor(DECK.US)

• Sold Fannie Mae $Federal National Mortgage Association(FNMA.US)

• Bought Freddie Mac $Freddie Mac(FMCC.US)

• Swapped Sprouts Farmers Market $Sprouts Farmers(SFM.US) for 2028 calls

• Swapped Zoetis $Zoetis(ZTS.US) stock for 2029 calls

• Added MetLife $MetLife(MET.US) 2029 puts

• Bought more JD $JD.com(JD.US) 2029 calls

• Bought more BYD $BYDFF common stock

• Still waiting for lower prices on Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA.US)

• Holding Fiserv $Fiserv, Inc.(FISV.US), no changes

Burry says the fourth quarter "brings extra pressure on stocks that are down a lot," per his Substack

Alibaba

USBABA

Michael Burry TrackerOct 5, 2026 at 03:45 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says Nvidia is lying to you

Here's what he found:

1. Nvidia claims its old chips hold their value but the numbers aren't resale prices, they're a rental estimate from a data firm

2. The estimate assumes chips earn rent for 8 years but Big Tech writes them off after about 6 years

3. Nvidia's next chip claims up to 45x cheaper running costs, making today's chips already worth less

4. Rents only went up because of a memory shortage, not because the chips are aging well

5. The chart uses a lowball price for Nvidia's newest chip. Using the actual price and "158% of cost" drops to 127%

Michael Burry is holding Sept 2027 $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) puts and still has $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) calls open as a hedge

Photos of the evidence in the replies

NVIDIA

USNVDA

Michael Burry TrackerOct 2, 2026 at 06:45 PM

Breaking: The Big Short part 2 is loading

Bond yields broke 2007 peak, and here's how it looks:

1. The 10-year Treasury hit 5.34%, highest since 2002

2. Mortgage rates jumped to 7.28%, highest in years

3. Mortgage applications have fallen 4 weeks in a row

4. $400K home loan costs $344 more a month than in February

Last time yields were this high was June 2007, 15 months before Lehman collapsed

Michael Burry warned on his Substack: "housing market is starting to creak"

Michael Burry TrackerOct 1, 2026 at 03:15 PM

Breaking: Meta just got caught classifying its AI data centers as "experiments" to dodge ~$4B in taxes

Here's how biggest companies avoid taxes:

1. Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT.US): $18.7B total tax break, mostly from writing off data center buildout as depreciation before it wears out

2. Alphabet $Alphabet(GOOGL.US): $18.4B total tax break, $3.9B of it from selling products tied to its own patents and software overseas

3. Amazon $Amazon(AMZN.US): $17.4B total tax break, $6.5B of it from depreciation on its data center buildout

4. Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US): $13.7B total tax break, $3.9B of it from calling AI chip purchases "research"

5. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US): $6.8B total tax break, $4.2B of it from selling its own chips overseas and claiming the export tax break

These 5 companies claimed $74.6B combined, more than a third of the $204B in disclosed tax breaks tracked for public US companies in 2025

NVIDIA

USNVDA

Michael Burry TrackerSep 30, 2026 at 03:05 PM

Breaking: The Big Short is about to repeat itself

No one is paying attention to housing:

1. Rates have risen for 6 straight weeks

2. Mortgage applications fell 6% in a single week

3. Purchase applications are down 14% from a year ago

4. Refinance applications have fell 56% year over year

5. Serious delinquencies (90+ days past due) just rose for the first time in 5 months, up 19% year over year

Michael Burry stated "The AI narrative and the buildout is the only thing keeping this economy going"

Michael Burry TrackerSep 29, 2026 at 07:05 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says humanity needs a market crash to block OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs

Michael Burry TrackerSep 29, 2026 at 04:05 PM

Breaking: Data centers are booming while every other type of private construction is shrinking

Change in yearly construction spending since 2023:

• Data centers: +$51B

• Everything else: -$120B

Michael Burry warned everyone:

1. Private construction outside of data centers fell 7.9% year over year in June

2. GDP growth is really counting on that data center buildout

3. The buildout is being funded with rising debt, off-balance sheet financing, and insurers soaking up the risky paper

4. The most profitable companies in the world, except Apple, are betting everything on this as their free cash flow turns negative

Burry doesn't think this lasts much longer

Michael Burry TrackerSep 29, 2026 at 02:25 AM

Breaking: Michael Burry warned everyone

Anthropic officially files for a $2T IPO and revenue is up 1,088%, while net loss is $42B

Here's how Anthropic looks:

• Revenue hit $4.59B in 2025, up $386M

• Compute spend hit $7.3B, 58% of total opex

• Operating loss: $8.06B, more than 2x 2024

• ~25% of revenue came from 2 customers with no long-term contracts

Burry called out Anthropic for their "self-serving" talk, saying it’s a cover for slowing growth as their IPO looked to be pushed

Michael Burry TrackerSep 28, 2026 at 08:45 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry says the AI bubble is bursting sooner than later

He has disclosed his updated positions:

• Covered Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US) short

• Covered Nebius $Nebius(NBIS.US) short

• Covered Caterpillar $Caterpillar(CAT.US) short

• Covered Semiconductor ETF $SOXX short

• Covered Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) short

• Covered Oracle $Oracle(ORCL.US) short

• Rolled Palantir $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) into a bigger position

• Rolled QQQ into a bigger Nasdaq $NDX position

• Covered CoreWeave $Coreweave(CRWV.US) short

• Opened a new short on MetLife $MetLife(MET.US)

• Added to Sprouts Farmers Market $Sprouts Farmers(SFM.US)

• Added to QXO $QXO(QXO.US)

Burry said the move is "motivated by research this past weekend that leads me to believe the bubble in AI may burst sooner than later" per his Substack

Caterpillar

USCAT

Michael Burry TrackerSep 28, 2026 at 05:35 PM

🚨New

Nano Banc becomes the 6th bank to fail in 2026

California seized it Friday after years of executive mismanagement

The FDIC estimates the failure will cost the Deposit Insurance Fund $114,000,000

Michael Burry TrackerSep 28, 2026 at 04:35 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry drops a new warning on the AI financing web

Here's what he's flagging:

1. Ares Management mapped $573B across 26 financings tying together Meta, Oracle, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, OpenAI and Anthropic

2. Every guarantee and backstop in the web assumes AI spending keeps growing. No slowdown allowed

3. If revenue disappoints, pressure spreads through connected deals and triggers guarantees right when guarantors are weakest

4. US and Bermuda insurers are sitting on ~$10T in float backing this buildout

5. Nvidia's H100 chips lost 51% of their value in 3 years, per Ares data

Burry says Wall Street is finally catching up to his view

Michael Burry TrackerSep 25, 2026 at 05:25 PM

Breaking: SpaceX President just sold $52.55M of $SpaceX(SPCX.US)

Gwynne Shotwell runs daily operations since 2008

• Sold shares for prices between $151 and $155 each

• Shotwell holds $366M in $SpaceX(SPCX.US) she hasn't sold

• 342,170 shares sold across 5 transactions on Sept 22

Michael Burry TrackerSep 25, 2026 at 02:55 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry warns Big Tech's AI spending could trigger massive write-offs by 2028-2029

Here's his reasoning and what it means for the future:

1. Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle have racked up ~$3 trillion combined in purchase commitments, leases, and guarantees tied to AI infrastructure

2. Net capital investment by S&P 500 companies hit 2.07% of GDP as of June 30, the highest level in nearly 40 years outside the 2000 Nasdaq peak

3. Alphabet alone carries nearly $900 billion in off-balance-sheet exposure

4. Burry states "Capital alone is no lasting competitive advantage,". The same capital-cycle pattern that sank previous booms in the markets

If Big Tech wipes out these massive investments by 2028, it means tech companies will lose billions in paper profits, stock prices will crash, and chip companies feeding the AI bubble will run out of customers

Michael Burry TrackerSep 24, 2026 at 10:15 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry exposes Oracle's accounting trick they've been using to inflate revenue

Burry claims "Oracle manufactured an extra 19% of revenue" through these steps:

1. A customer prepays Oracle $10B today for cloud capacity to be delivered 3 to 5 years from now

2. Oracle books that as an $11.9B contract liability, accreting interest at 6% over the wait

3. When Oracle finally delivers the capacity, it recognizes the full $11.9B as cloud infrastructure revenue against the original $10B

4. The extra $1.9B becomes revenue for capacity that was never used and work that was never performed

This would be bad news for $Oracle(ORCL.US) investors if true

Oracle

USORCL

Michael Burry TrackerSep 24, 2026 at 04:05 PM

Breaking: Sam Altman and Dario Amodei just told the UN Security Council AI could be "a risk to humanity as a whole" and warned we could "lose control of the future to AI"

Ten days ago, Michael Burry called this exact talking point self-serving hype:

1. LLMs are not AI and won't be AGI. There is nothing to slow down

2. Competition is coming up fast, slowing benefits incumbents

3. IPOs need hype & puffery; "we are so awesome it could become dangerous" is hype & puffery

4. Cover for real uncontrollable slowing growth as IPOs look to be pushed out

Michael Burry TrackerSep 23, 2026 at 05:25 PM

Update: Palantir just crossed $190 for the first time in a year

$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) now up 669% since Jim Simons disclosed a $21M stake

He first opened the $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) position in Q2 2021

Palantir Tech

USPLTR

Michael Burry TrackerSep 23, 2026 at 05:05 AM

Breaking: NVIDIA director Mark Stevens just sold $300M of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

He's held a board seat since 2008

• Aug 31-Sep 2: Sold $410.8M $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) shares

• Sep 4: Sold an additional $235.6M

• Sep 18: Sold an additional $300M of shares

Nearly $947M sold in under a month

Stevens holds $6.3B in $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) he hasn't sold

NVIDIA

USNVDA

Michael Burry TrackerSep 22, 2026 at 07:25 PM

Breaking: Michael Burry just doubled down on his shorts

He:

• Added to Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US) shorts

• Added to Nebius $Nebius(NBIS.US) shorts

• Added to Semiconductor ETF $SOXX shorts

• Added to Palantir $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) shorts

• Bought more QXO $QXO(QXO.US)

• Bought more Build-A-Bear $Build A Bear(BBW.US)

• Bought more Sprouts Farmers Market $Sprouts Farmers(SFM.US)

• Bought more Birkenstock $Birkenstock(BIRK.US)

• Bought more MercadoLibre $Mercadolibre(MELI.US)

Burry said "I find the prices offered by the market rather attractive. All these positions are full positions for me now." per his Substack

Sprouts Farmers

USSFM

Michael Burry TrackerSep 22, 2026 at 02:25 PM

When you realize Michael Burry built new positions in a copper miner, a furniture retailer, and a pet medicine stock… while calling every AI trade a 'woo-hoo'