NewUser_oPJWOU

NewUser_oPJWOU

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Apple and Palantir beat their respective earnings, but the shares are still sliding which is not a huge surprise. Volatility remains high right before midterms results are out, while the overall weakness in tech sector remains the key for now.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Beats, but Memory Costs Bite

Apple beat forecasts but slid after hours as rising memory costs squeeze its margins, while chipmakers fell for a third straight day. At home, the STI is sliding again as the banks lead losses, though...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)

Context: Palantir Technologies reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter and raised its full-year revenue guidance. Palantir posted third-quarter revenue of $2.31 billion, beating analyst estimates of $2.18 billion. The AI software company reported adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share for the quarter, beating estimates of 41 cents per share. "The Sovereign AI movement is imposing the most dramatic dichotomy between haves and have-nots that I have witnessed in 30 years of business. Every institution — government and commercial — is rapidly being forced, voluntarily or not, into one of these two categories," said Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir. Palantir expects fourth-quarter revenue to be in the range of $2.649 billion to $2.653 billion, versus estimates of $2.46 billion. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance from a range of $8.15 billion to $8.16 billion to a new range of $8.53 billion to $8.534 billion versus estimates of $8.20 billion.

My Trade: No hurry to buy the dip because I know how much more it could potentially drop. I'll monitor and see.

Takeaway: Part of the reason for the dip is also due to the reevaluation of tech shares following the recent widespread fear that AI is going to slow down. Moreover, US midterm results are also going to be out tomorrow so the volatility remains high for now. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

SG banks fell by as much as 2% to 3% today as lower expected wealth management fees could lower banks' profits in the upcoming months. However, I personally think the drop is an overreaction

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Reclaims Top Spot Before Earnings Tonight

Chipmakers crashed on Friday, led by Intel's record drop, but a smaller fall lifted Apple past Nvidia as the world's most valuable company before its results tonight. At home, the STI is sliding this ...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Apple(AAPL.US)

Context: The market expects Apple's Q4 revenue to reach approximately $113.4 billion, up about 10.7% YoY, with earnings per share projected at $1.99, an increase of 7.6% YoY. The company has beaten market expectations for earnings per share in each of the past eight quarters. Therefore, investors are focusing not only on whether it can deliver another earnings beat, but also on whether revenue growth, product demand, and holiday shopping season guidance can support its current valuation. The iPhone remains the core business driving earnings performance. Analysts estimate iPhone revenue at around $56.6 billion, up roughly 15% year-over-year. Although growth in the global smartphone market has slowed, Apple has maintained a stable market share in the premium segment, with user upgrade demand continuing to support sales. However, the delayed launch of the base model iPhone 18 led to weaker shipment performance in September, which could limit further upside for hardware revenue beyond expectations. The Services segment is a crucial source of profit growth for Apple. The market expects quarterly revenue for this division to reach approximately $31.7 billion, with a gross margin exceeding 75%, significantly higher than that of the hardware business.

My Trade: If earnings disappoint and the stock drops below $300 (although that seems unlikely), I might look to add.

Takeaway: Investors will also keep a close eye on supply chain and cost pressures. Apple previously projected total fourth-quarter revenue growth of 9% to 11%, but warned that supply constraints on advanced node chips could affect shipments of the iPhone, Mac, and iPad. Rising memory chip prices present another potential risk; if DRAM and NAND costs continue to climb, the company may need to adjust its product mix or raise selling prices to maintain profit margins. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

I'm looking forward to both Apple and Palantir earnings next week. Hopefully they can deliver some positive news after some major misses for tech companies this week.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Alphabet Suffers Its Worst Day Since 2004

Alphabet had its worst day ever, and Amazon and Intel slid after hours. Eli Lilly and Apple bucked the selloff with records. Let's dig in 👇 💬 Big Tech is paying for AI with cash flow. Buying the Alpha...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Amazon(AMZN.US)

Context: Amazon ran a more profitable business last quarter than Wall Street expected, though earnings per share still fell short. The difference between the two results traces back to one line on the income statement: interest. The company’s operating profit beat forecasts by about $1.8 billion. Even so, EPS landed at $1.89, below the $1.96 analysts had penciled in. A 7-cent miss in a quarter where the core business outperformed calls for a closer look below the operating line. Amazon paid $1.69 billion in interest during the third quarter, according to its earnings release. A year earlier, the figure was $538 million. Interest income also rose modestly to $1.19 billion from $1.1 billion. The match suggests the business itself held up. Amazon generated more operating profit than forecast, then sent a larger slice of it to lenders before anything reached shareholders. Interest sits below operating income on the income statement, so a beat at the operating line can vanish by the time results reach the bottom line. Long-term debt climbed from $65.6 billion in December to $173.1 billion at the end of September, per the same release. Debt more than doubled in nine months. Much of the money is going toward AI data centers, which Amazon views as essential to meeting demand at AWS.

My Trade: Previously sold off my Amazon shares as I wanted to lock in the profits first after waiting for a year of slow stagnant growth. Now I'm looking at a re-entry below $220.

Takeaway: Amazon has tried to cap the near-term buildup. In July, the company said it would not borrow again in 2026. The pledge accompanied a large bond sale tied to AI spending. However, this could also mean that a bigger budget for 2027 would be on the cards. @Captain's Treasure

2025.06.30 ~ 2026.10.29 All orders
Cumulative P/L5.82 (USD)+2%
2025.06.302026.10.29
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NewUser_oPJWOU

I'm buying into Google's dips, the upside is way higher although I have to admit that Microsoft's earnings are more impressive. Despite that, I believe both companies are great for long term compounding

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Captain's Compass
FeaturedAI Monetization Split: Was Alphabet Wrongly Sold Off? And What to Make of AMZN’s AWS vs. Ads

ETFs: $GOOGL 2X Long ETF(GGLL.US) $GOOGL 1X Short ETF(GGLS.US)Alphabet’s latest earnings are out, with the stock falling below $300 in after-hours trading. On the surface, revenue slightly missed expectations, and E...

Cloud Carries The Quarter, Almost Everything Else Misses Alphabet Q3 2026: actua
Two Speeds: Cloud Doubles, The Ad Machine Slows To Low Double Digits Alphabet Q3
Microsoft and Alphabet cash flow in the September 2026 quarter US$ billion. Capi
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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

Context: Q3 disappointed, with ad growth, Cloud growth, and Services margin all missing buyside expectations. For a name already battling a tougher narrative, this print is likely to keep a lid on valuation via weaker sentiment. Search ad growth was 12% in Q3, a clear QoQ decel. In a heavy AI investment phase, with margins and FCF under pressure, a slowdown in the core franchise is the most damaging outcome for GOOGL and lends credence to the AI erosion narrative. Group operating margin fell 50bps QoQ in Q3, driven by higher D&A and R&D, pointing to compute infra build-out and foundation model training. By segment, Google Services margin fell 100bps QoQ, while Cloud margin improved.

My Trade: I'm trying to purchase at below $280 but it seems rather unlikely tonight. No worries, I don't think the selling pressure will subside anytime soon.

Takeaway: Capex was 51.4 bn in Q3, doubling YoY and still accelerating, reaching 40% of revenue. This drove FCF deeper into negative territory at 9.1 bn. Business still looks solid, but the main issue for investors this year is the continued Capex increment and negative cash flow. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Reits are falling back once more arising back slightly at the end of last week. Fed's stance will probably affect the share price as well after their meeting later

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SK Hynix Profit Soars Before Tech Earnings and Fed Decision

SK Hynix says its memory chips are sold out until 2029, and every stock in the chip index rose for a second day. Tonight Microsoft and Alphabet report, just before the Fed. Let's dig in 👇💬 SK Hynix is...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Oracle(ORCL.US)

Context: Concerns over artificial intelligence debt have recently eased following market volatility and the absence of expected bond announcements. Major tech companies like Alphabet and Amazon face upcoming quarterly earnings and capital expenditure updates that will test credit market sentiment. Despite elevated debt issuance and negative free cash flows, analysts emphasize that hyperscalers maintain strong underlying credit profiles and liquidity.

My Trade: I added during the dips to lower my average. At this point, I'm taking small gains to slowly bring back my cost.

Takeaway: This is still the long game, no shortcuts, just being patient and building on small wins. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

My pick will be Sk hynix. SK Hynix closed at $142, falling below its $149 offering price while maintaining an ADR premium of approximately 40.84%. The company's upcoming third-quarter earnings on October 28 will test market expectations regarding HBM shipments, pricing trends, and fourth-quarter guidance. I think there is definitely room for the share price to reclaim $160 if all goes well

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Captain's Watch
💾 Memory Earnings Challenge — Pick the winner, win cash rewards!

Three memory names report inside three days — Seagate Tuesday, SK Hynix Wednesday, SanDisk Thursday — and they sit on three completely different layers of the storage stack. Pick the one with the highest net gain this week, back it up, and the 3 best takes win 2 SGD each.

1 LONGBRIDGE MEMORY WEEK( CHALLENGE Three memory names, three days, one winner.
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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context: Microsoft Corporation will release its first-quarter earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, Oct. 28. Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings of $4.72 per share, up from $4.13 per share in the year-ago period. The consensus estimate for MSFT’s quarterly revenue is $90.69 billion. It reported $77.67 billion last year. For the prior quarter, Microsoft reported earnings per share of $4.74, beating the consensus estimate of $4.24.

My Trade: Sold off Microsoft preciously but will look to buy back if it falls lower.

Takeaway: Microsoft has been relatively stable for the past 3 months after the previous quarter great earnings. Can this be repeated or will costs catch up? Azure cloud growth also remains key. @Captain's Treasure

2025.09.29 ~ 2026.10.26 All orders
Cumulative P/L18.34 (USD)+2%
2025.09.292026.10.26
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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

Context: Alphabet (GOOGL) will report its Q3 2026 financial results after the market close on Thursday morning, but its stock price remains under pressure ahead of the release. GOOGL lhas fallen to a near three-month low, not only losing the $330 level but also dropping below both its 20-day and 60-day moving averages. If the earnings report fails to ease market concerns over AI capital expenditures and free cash flow, the stock price may further test the long-term support at $272, with a potential downside of nearly 15%. The market expects the company's quarterly revenue to be approximately $127.9 billion, up about 25% year-over-year, with earnings per share expected at $3, up about 4.5% year-over-year. The gap between revenue and profit growth rates reflects investor focus on whether massive AI infrastructure spending is beginning to erode profit margins.

My Trade: I would gladly buy more shares if Alphabet does drop below $290 and closer to the support level.

Takeaway: The core focus of this earnings report remains Google Cloud, search advertising, and capital expenditures. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Honestly I'm a bit fearful for the week with the bearish momentum on tech stocks, especially for Alphabet and Meta. A pessimistic FOMC could very well see another steep dips in the high beta stocks.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Micron Rebounds as Huang Dismisses Glut Fears

Micron bounced Friday as Jensen Huang played down fears of a memory glut, with the Fed and Big Tech earnings ahead. At home, REITs held their gains. Let's dig in 👇💬 Memory makers report this week. Is ...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

When will the selling stop? High beta stocks are getting hit the hardest as investors pull out of the stock market to turn to bonds with higher yields amidst a relatively unstable equities market and expectations for yet another interest hike soon.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Western Digital Beats, Chip Stocks Crumble

Western Digital grew revenue 55% and raised its dividend, then fell 6%. Lam Research beat and fell twice as hard. At home, banks slip while REITs bounce. Let's dig in 👇💬 Chip stocks are selling off on...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Meta Platforms(META.US)

Context: META has been falling after its earnings report. This happened after the company shared its big plans for future spending in a regulatory filing. According to Bloomberg, Meta has agreed to spend a whopping $825 billion in the future. Investors are worried about reduced free cash flow after the tech giant revealed it has agreed to spend about $825 billion on future leases and contracts for AI computing power. This money will be spread out across several leases and contracts, with a lot of it going towards artificial intelligence computing power and infrastructure. That's a big jump from July, when Meta said it had future spending commitments of almost $700 billion. Meta holds $355.7 billion in operating and finance leases that do not yet sit on its balance sheet. These deals cover data centers and energy infrastructure leases set to start over the rest of this year through 2036.

My Trade: Tough decision to make as Meta retraces to $650 following earnings. It looks enticing to purchase but at the same time, Meta has announced the creation of nonvoting stock and 2 for 1 split to fund growth. I'm holding for now.

Meta Has Created Nonvoting Stock to Fund Growth

Takeaway: This new stock could give Meta more flexibility when it comes to making big purchases or paying off debts. The move is likely to have a significant impact on the company's finances and operations in the coming months. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Negative reactions to Tesla and Meta's earnings as the US marker starts the day off through a sea of red. Gains from the optimism following SpaceX's great earnings are now wiped out and dropping even more.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Tesla Cuts Capex, Meta Raises It

Tesla and Meta reported the same night and made opposite calls on AI spending. One cut its budget, the other raised it. At home, banks are easing back after Wednesday's gains. Let's dig in 👇💬 Tesla cu...