dingdongbell

$Broadcom(AVGO.US)

Post 4 Episode 22

Context: One reason Broadcom interests me is that the next phase of AI may not be dominated entirely by off-the-shelf GPUs. Large hyperscalers increasingly want custom accelerators designed around their own workloads, power budgets and economics — and Broadcom sits in a strong position to help enable that transition.

My trade: I see AVGO as a way to participate in AI compute without having to predict which individual custom chip ultimately wins. Its role in designing and connecting these systems gives me exposure to the broader trend toward specialised silicon while complementing my more direct accelerator holdings.

Takeaway: Sometimes the better investment isn’t betting on one winning chip. It is owning the company that can benefit as multiple customers build their own.

@Captain's Treasure

$AMD(AMD.US)

Post 3 Episode 22

Context: What interests me about AMD is that the AI opportunity does not require it to replace NVIDIA. Even a meaningful share of a rapidly expanding accelerator and data-centre market could translate into substantial growth, especially with AMD combining GPUs, CPUs and increasingly rack-scale systems.

My trade: I treated AMD as a strategic challenger position rather than a momentum bet. The thesis is based on improving execution, broader hyperscaler adoption and the possibility that customers increasingly want a credible second source for AI compute. However, I believe better prices for AMD is around the corner so this is just a small position.

Takeaway: An investment thesis does not always need a company to become number one. Sometimes the opportunity lies in identifying the strongest alternative in a market that is growing fast enough to support more than one major winner.

@Captain's Treasure

$Apple(AAPL.US)

Post 2 of Episode 22

In line with the posting requirements, the following is my take.

Context: Apple remains one of the strongest consumer technology franchises, supported by its ecosystem, services business and exceptional customer loyalty. My main consideration wasn’t whether Apple is a good company, but whether the valuation offered enough upside relative to other opportunities available.

My trade: I kept my Apple exposure measured rather than chasing the stock during periods of strong momentum. I prefer adding when expectations cool or when the market gives me a better entry, instead of paying almost any price simply because the business is high quality.

Takeaway: A great business and a great investment are not always the same thing at every price. Patience on valuation can be just as important as identifying quality in the first place.

@Captain's Treasure

$GLD SG(GSD.SG)

Context: I hold GSD as my Singapore-listed gold exposure. With much of my portfolio positioned toward higher-growth themes, I wanted part of my capital allocated to something driven by a very different set of factors.

My trade: I built the position deliberately as a long-term portfolio stabiliser. I’m not expecting gold to compete with my growth stocks during strong risk-on markets; its purpose is to provide diversification, preserve purchasing power and potentially offer support when other parts of the portfolio come under pressure.

Takeaway: Portfolio construction isn’t only about finding the highest-returning assets. It’s also about combining assets with different behaviours so I’m not dependent on a single market outcome.

@Captain's Treasure

$Broadcom(AVGO.US)

My Call: US$389

Why: Broadcom’s setup looks asymmetric into earnings: AI demand remains the key catalyst, while the recent reset leaves room for upside.

I’m expecting a solid print, constructive guidance, and a 3–8% advance rather than an outsized move.

Please take this as my vote: +3 to +8%

The vote has closed despite it being only 2nd September.

@Captain's Watch

@Captain Leo