BI-NIO @EC2612A

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio Inc saw its July deliveries become increasingly concentrated in 2 large premium SUVs. The ES8 and ES9 delivered a combined 16,603 units, accounting for 83% of the main Nio brand's 20,008 deliveries and 46% of Nio Inc's overall 35,934 deliveries, according to China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) data compiled by CnEVPost. The ES8 delivered 10,288 units in July, returning above the 10,000-unit monthly mark and rising 14.7% from 8,969 in June. Nio had previously disclosed a figure of 10,286 units on Weibo, a minor difference of 2 units from the CPCA data. The rebound was driven by the 5-seat version. The variant was launched on July 9 and deliveries began the following day, unleashing previously pent-up demand. Cost pressures, however, are beginning to emerge. Founder, chairman and CEO William Li said on July 10 that rising raw-material prices had increased the cost of each ES8 by nearly 20,000 yuan. He said the company was working with supply-chain partners to offset some of the increase in an effort to keep prices stable. This remains one of the bigger challenges amongst a highly concentrated EV market in China, while Nio has to also continue to find a way to reach global markets. @Captain's Treasure

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Auto stocks in Hong Kong surged across the board after China's industry regulator said it will speed up the drafting and release of a 15th Five-Year Plan for the smart, connected new energy vehicle (NEV) industry. China will accelerate breakthroughs in a batch of key core technologies, speed up the development of major standards, their international coordination and implementation, and further advance pilot programs for "vehicle-road-cloud integration" applications, production access and road use. The penetration rate of passenger vehicles with Level 2 combined driving assistance has reached 70.5%, and that of vehicles with navigation-on-autopilot (NOA) features has reached 34.2%. Regions across China have issued more than 20,000 test and demonstration license plates for smart, connected vehicles, opened more than 57,000 kilometers of roads for testing and demonstration, and logged over 220 million kilometers of cumulative test mileage. This is great news for the EV auto industry as the society progresses into next generation vehicles. This is also why I'm bullish in the years to come for Nio. @Captain's Treasure

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio shares rose approximately 2% following Goldman Sachs analyst Tina Hou's upgrade to Buy with a price target of $7.00. Hou foresees strong growth for Nio, predicting a 43% increase in volume and a 60% increase in revenue for 2026, despite a 14% decline in the Chinese NEV market. She emphasizes the stock's attractive valuation compared to competitors, noting it is trading at significant discounts relative to expected price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios. With significant improvements and clear directions in every earnings call so far, I believe the recent dip is an accumulation period for those who missed out buying when it was $3 or those who bought at slightly higher prices of $6. @Captain's Treasure

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio Inc surpassed 150,000 cumulative new vehicle deliveries in Shanghai as of July 8, 2026, contributing significantly to a total of 1.19 million vehicles delivered in China. The company ranked first in Shanghai's passenger vehicle market with 16,582 retail sales from January to May 2026, driven by strong demand for models like the ES9 and ES8. Nio's expansion includes a new battery R&D base in Shanghai, aimed at enhancing its manufacturing and research capabilities while supporting impressive year-on-year growth in vehicle deliveries. Despite the impressive feat, I'm closely monitoring the company due to China's strict regulatory policies as well as intense multi front EV competition. @Captain's Treasure

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio Inc delivered a record 40,597 vehicles in June, a 62.88% increase year-on-year, but fell short of its second-quarter guidance with total deliveries of 107,658 vehicles. Strong demand for flagship models, particularly the ES9, which quickly surpassed 10,000 deliveries, supported the company’s overall performance. Nio achieved a cumulative total of 191,123 vehicles in the first half of 2026, marking a 67.43% increase year-on-year, and continues to focus on expanding its charging and battery swap network. I'm still holding the stock for a potential long term swing but also bearing in mind that short term consolidation/loss is inevitable. I believe Nio would be able to constantly innovate & be able to compete at the highest level against other Chinese EV makers. @Bridge Buzz SG

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$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio Inc will deliver its 120,000th third-generation ES8 shortly, marking a significant milestone just weeks after the 110,000th delivery. The third-generation ES8, pivotal in Nio's financial recovery, has reported strong monthly sales, reflecting its importance in the company’s lineup, accounting for 46.30% of total deliveries so far this year. A five-seat variant of the ES8 is set for pre-orders on June 28, aiming to expand customer access and maintain sales momentum. However, the overall chinese market is not at its strongest right now, and as outlined before, close rival in Xiaomi is also gaining market share. It might take some time before Nio can challenge to break resistance. @Bridge Buzz SG

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) William Li, founder of Nio Inc, warned of a potential 15% to 20% drop in China's auto retail sales this year while predicting Nio's own sales growth of 40% to 50%. The company delivered 150,526 new vehicles from January to May, achieving a 68.70% year-on-year growth, and reported a profit of 68 million yuan in Q1 2026. William emphasized the necessity for companies to enhance foundational skills and adapt to a saturated market, asserting that the transition to pure electric vehicles is irreversible due to improving infrastructure and market penetration trends. This doesn't come as a surprise since China's EV market is incredibly competitive. It would be interesting to see if Nio can indeed keep up the growth rate. @Bridge Buzz SG

@Bridge Buzz SG Current red positions: $Strategy(MSTR.US) and $NIO Inc(NIO.US).

Not the prettiest part of the portfolio right now, but investing isn’t about only showing winners. Conviction gets tested when positions are down. Staying patient, reviewing the thesis, and focusing on the long-term rather than daily price action.

Let’s see how the story plays out.

$NIO Inc(NIO.US)Nio's third-generation ES8 led China's large SUV market in May 2026 with retail sales of 11,472 units, marking six consecutive months of top sales. The ES8 is the only large SUV priced above 400,000 yuan with sales exceeding 10,000 units, while four Nio models, including the ES9 and Onvo L80, also ranked in the top 10 for May.

Nio's total vehicle deliveries reached a record 37,705 in May, and analysts predict the company will maintain non-GAAP profitability in Q2, driven by strong demand for high-margin SUVs. However, it is worth noting that competition is fierce in China, and rivals like Xiaomi are constantly innovating and competing for market share too. @Bridge Buzz SG

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) 8-9 price target

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) NIO shares rose strongly amid improved risk appetite and renewed interest in China-related stocks after last week's bearish sentiment on China's Cross border trading news. Nio's recent strong fiscal first quarter showed a 112.2% revenue increase to 25.53 billion yuan, despite simultaneous declines in deliveries and revenue. The results were poised for a good long term setup, with Nio navigating a recovery phase after significant yearly losses, with key support at $5.00 indicating potential buying interest. @Bridge Buzz SG