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NewUser_CkrdqW

NewUser_CkrdqW

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NewUser_CkrdqW
NewUser_CkrdqW
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NewUser_CkrdqW 12 hours ago

Today is going to bleed for most stocks, especially the tech and AI sector. Rate hike odds have skyrocketed to almost a 90% probability since last week's release of hot PPI and CPI. Honestly a great opportunity to grab fundamentally solid stocks like Nvidia, which has a favourable forward p/e ratio of 20 and less

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Hot CPI Pushes September Hike Odds Near 90%

US core CPI ran hot at +0.3% MoM (vs 0.2% expected), pushing September rate-hike odds from 69% to nearly 90% — Goldman's chief economist flipped his own call to a hike. The 10-year yield hit 4.957%, i...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 11 at 05:03 AM

I foresee a bit more of a pullback to end this week and the next possibly, depending on how hot tonight's CPI would be. A great opportunity for DCA investors if you could catch the dips below 7600 for S&P500. STI Index on the other hand is still a little high for my liking, but it has been dropping for a few days do let's see.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Oracle Sinks, Then Soars 7% on Cloud Blowout

Oracle fell -5.4% in Wednesday's session, dragged down by a hot US PPI print — then jumped as much as +7% after hours once its actual results landed: cloud infrastructure revenue +121%. That same PPI ...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 10 at 06:27 AM

Singapore stocks continue to fall, a 3rd day in a row, which is interesting given how strong and stable our local market has been this year. Nonetheless, rising inflation and increased rate hike possibilities all contributed to the temporary decline, and to be honest, this is a slight pullback compared to how much the stocks have ran in the past 8 months.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple's iPhone Duo Launches, Wall Street Shrugs

Apple's iPhone Duo — its first foldable iPhone — launched at 1am SGT, priced up to a record $3,199. $Apple(AAPL.US) barely budged. Brent crude also broke $100/barrel for the first time since July, and...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 9 at 04:08 AM

A foldable iPhone... how impressive could it be? Apple's first foldable phone years after other rival brands and even Chinese brands have already debuted them. The biggest concern is the price point for such a phone - over 2k. Is it really worth paying that much especially with memory driving up normal phones' pricing already? Despite all that, I believe the loyal customers of Apple will still support the new product

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple's Foldable iPhone Launches Tonight, Supply Already Short

Apple's foldable iPhone launches tonight (1am SGT) in what Morgan Stanley calls its most consequential event since the iPhone X — but production is reportedly stuck at just hundreds of units a day. Se...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 9 at 03:02 AM

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)

Context: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and ASML announced a collaborative initiative to lead the semiconductor industry’s transition to a larger-format Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography photomask. While High NA EUV will be adopted for production using the current, 6-inch masks, the transition to larger, 12-inch masks is expected to further increase fab productivity, lower chipmaking costs and remove stitching constraints, benefiting the entire semiconductor industry. It will enable advanced chip manufacturers to fully leverage the advantages of High NA EUV, making future generations of leading-edge chips more cost-effective.

My Trade: Dollar cost averaging into one of the strongest stock in the Taiwan market. Collaboration with the Monopoly giant ASML further strengthens TSM's position in the sector.

Takeaway: TSMC intends to use ASML’s High NA technology in high-volume manufacturing for advanced nodes starting in 2030. As technology nodes advance, TSMC expects the number of layers requiring High NA EUV will rise, driven primarily by the increasingly complex transistor architectures required for AI applications. @Captain's Treasure

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Taiwan Semiconductor

Taiwan Semiconductor

USTSM

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 8 at 06:17 AM

False hopes for reits as they continue to suffer from near term inflation and rate hike concerns. Already holding sg reits etf, but thinking of starting position in cfa as well for exposure in the Asia market

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — After GPT-6 Astra, Memory Chip Inventory Falls to Just 10 Days

OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Nvidia's "AGI has arrived" moment are the most visible face of an AI compute boom so intense it's pushed global memory chip inventories down to just 10 days' worth. Separately...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 8 at 06:14 AM

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US)

Context: SOFI has declined 30% so far in 2026, despite the fintech company reporting better-than-expected Q2 results. The company's member base continued to reflect strength and grew 35% year-over-year to 15.8 million in Q2 2026. However, investors were disappointed when SoFi raised its full-year revenue guidance while keeping its earnings outlook intact as the company continues to make growth investments.

Bulls highlight that SoFi's Q2 2026 deposits grew 54% year-over-year to about $46 billion.

SoFi is increasingly becoming more than just a consumer lender, with Q2 results showing faster member growth, deeper product adoption, a larger deposit base, and rising fee revenue. Notably, members grew 35% while products increased 42% in Q2 2026, with existing members driving more than half of new product additions.

However, bears cite SOFI stock's valuation and dependence on loan-sale earnings, especially amid a more volatile macro backdrop.

My Trade: Averaging down below $17.2 and long term price target $23-25.

Takeaway: Sofi's prime has passed after struggling to maintain the $20+ range. It is worth taking note however, that FinTech is a rather cyclical industry, and that Sofi remains fundamentally sound while adding new members. @Captain's Treasure

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SoFi Tech

SoFi Tech

USSOFI

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 7 at 05:46 AM

Another plot twist in the making as Friday's job data pushes rate hike odds back up to 60%. Stocks sold off slightly on Friday after the release of the statistic, as investors remain cautious ahead of CPI this Friday and FED's decision next week. Personally don't think it will be a big deal, although reits will most likely continue falling if rate hike arrives in September

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — US Jobs Blowout Pushes Rate-Hike Odds to 60%

US markets are closed today for Labor Day, so let's recap Friday's session: August non-farm payrolls blew past estimates, pushing September rate-hike odds to 60%. Tesla's Cybercab officially launched ...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 4 at 04:01 AM

I think Broadcom's -2.7% is justifiable given the softer guidance. The stock did tank as much as 7% at one point before reversing partially due to a whole-market optimism after FED governor signalling for a steady rate for September. Still a good valuation to purchase right now imo

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Snowflake Soars 16% as Wall Street Rallies on Waller's Dovish Turn

Snowflake surged 16.55% on a blowout earnings beat, and Fed Governor Waller's dovish tilt sent September rate-hike odds tumbling. All three US indices closed up more than 1%. Tesla's Cybercab official...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 3 at 11:31 PM

$Meta Platforms(META.US)

Context: Meta has agreed to a proposed settlement of up to $17 billion that will alter how kids use Instagram and Facebook. The accord, pending a judge's approval, would resolve litigation launched by a wide coalition of state attorneys general over the impact of Meta's platforms on children and teenagers. Under the terms of the proposed arrangement, kids would be subject to default daily usage caps and nighttime bans that parents would have to turn off. Meta makes very little advertising money from teens now but young people are crucial to the future of Instagram and Facebook. The new rules could lead to reduced interaction in that cohort, and make it harder for Meta to win over younger audiences in the long run.

My Trade: This was never going to be a long term deficit. Lawsuits for social media companies are very common, so the dips were just opportunities for long run dca. I'm holding on because the share price is nowhere near the company's valuation at the moment.

Takeaway: The settlement will also entail continuing compliance costs like independent monitoring and new means of age verification.The bigger concern for investors is whether the tougher constraints will stay largely confined to under-age accounts or become a precedent for further regulation of social media sites. @Captain's Treasure

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Meta Platforms

Meta Platforms

USMETA

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 3 at 06:13 AM

Broadcom's earnings were relatively impressive as well. 86% growth rate with AI chip revenue more than tripling YoY, this is the kind of positive grower investors want to see. However, guidance came in 0.2B short of Wall Street's expectations, and in today's inflated expectations market, that signals "sell-off", especially for traders looking for short term gains. I personally don't think Broadcom would have a steep drop tonight, although the levels to watch could be $350 support and $370 resistance in the coming weeks.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Dell Soars 16% as Broadcom Falls Despite 86% Growth

Dell surged 15.8% Wednesday as its AI-server refresh story kept building. Broadcom fell despite revenue growing 86% and AI chip sales more than tripling — its guidance simply wasn't enough. A weak ADP...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 2 at 03:44 AM

The SG reits sector is suffering heavily from rate hike pressures and expectations as even the reits etfs are continuing to tumble. A good opportunity for long term dividend investors to add or start a position, though I personally think these prices could go even lower.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — US Strikes Iran as Oil Surges 5%

US Central Command struck Iranian Revolutionary Guard targets Tuesday; Iran retaliated against US bases in Jordan and Bahrain. Oil jumped over 5%. Dell raised its full-year revenue guide by $25 billio...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 2 at 03:40 AM

$NIO Inc(NIO.US)

Context: Nio stock broke the support $4 level, extending a rough three month slide of almost 30%. That short-term frustration sits against a very different earnings picture. NIO has started to show positive free cash flow and a small adjusted profit while still running a premium battery electric vehicle business that scales fast.The bullish pitch on NIO is that premium volume, margin repair and recurring services can carry the company toward a self funded growth model. Q2 hits several of those checkpoints. Deliveries rose to 107,658 with premium ES8 and ES9 anchoring mix, and vehicle sales reached RMB 29.1b. Vehicle gross margin of 18.5% and an overall gross margin of 18.4% line up with the margin recovery narrative, helped by tighter R&D. The bearish view is that NIO remains a capital hungry China focused EV company where scale does not reliably convert into profitable, less risky growth. Q2 chips away at that with a small non GAAP profit, 18.4% gross margin and positive free cash flow, plus a cash balance of RMB 56.7b that reduces immediate funding stress. However, revenue fell short of expectations, and Q3 delivery guidance of 108,000 to 111,000 units sits only slightly above Q2 levels despite prior record months, which tempers the idea of uninterrupted volume momentum. Management also flags rising material and chip costs of roughly RMB 14,000 per car versus late 2025 and a further RMB 2,000 to 3,000 per car expected, which keeps margin sustainability in question.

My Trade: I started my position too late after the stock already had its bullish run from late last year. Moreover, current share price sits back at $3+ with a P/S ratio of below 1, signalling potential undervaluation.

Takeaway: The miss versus revenue expectations and softer Q3 guidance show the path is not smooth, but the key profitability milestones are beginning to appear in the actual numbers. @Captain's Treasure

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NIO Inc

NIO Inc

USNIO

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 1 at 10:30 AM

I voted for +3 ~ 8%.

The rapid adoption of AI has been a boon to Broadcom, particularly since generative AI exploded onto the scene in late 2022. The company's Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) can be customized to accelerate AI processing, making it a more energy-efficient option than competing graphics processing units (GPUs). Moreover, Broadcom's reach extends beyond semiconductors, with its networking solutions spanning every corner of data center operations.

Management expects its accelerating growth to continue. For Q3, Broadcom is guiding to revenue of $29.4 billion, representing 84% growth, and adjusted EBITDA of roughly $20 billion, up 87%. That would mark a significant acceleration compared to the company’s Q2 results.

Risks: On the flipside, Marvell was a good example of beating earnings but cautious guidance could cause a reevaluation of the stock's valuation. With Broadcom's P/E ratio already at ~61, some traders might short the stock prior to earnings, despite the fact that Broadcom's forward p/e ratio of 20 and PEG of 0.70 is actually pretty undervalued.

My prediction: $380

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Captain's Watch
🎯 Broadcom Earnings Challenge — Guess the close and win rewards!

$Broadcom(AVGO.US) reports Q3 FY2026 after the US close on Wednesday 2 September — the numbers land around 04:00 SGT Thursday morning. ⏰Nvidia already beat the earnings estimates. Broadcom trades abou...

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NewUser_CkrdqW Sep 1 at 07:20 AM

I'm watching Nio and Broadcom's earnings this week. Nio has been under pressure in recent weeks and a good earnings can help push it up. On the other hand, Broadcom has been struggling among the AI chip companies, with valuation being a valid concern.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Anthropic's $35B Cloud Deal Has Nvidia's Fingerprints

Anthropic locked in a $35B cloud deal with Nvidia-backed Lambda on Sunday — its fourth mega compute deal this month. Rate-hike odds jumped again too, hitting 64-65% just one trading day after Friday's...