ProShares Ultra SK Hynix

Last night's semiconductor sell-off was brutal. I came across an analysis today that attributes the essence to "profit-taking + deleveraging," not a fundamental collapse. The trigger was in South Korea: rate hikes and tighter margin requirements.

Honestly, I believed it when I read it, but then I thought about it—I seem to believe every time. When prices drop, I buy into "technical correction"; when they rise, I buy into "sound logic." In the end, I just believe whoever speaks last.

Coincidentally, Longbridge released an agent feature with anomaly analysis. I fed this whole paragraph into it.

What truly shocked me was this: SK Hynix dropped 13.69%, yet funds saw a net inflow of $371 million. It also revealed that institutions had been net selling over 50 trillion KRW worth of SK Hynix leveraged ETFs a month ago.

Translation: Institutions exited early → Retail investors took the bag in leveraged ETFs → Now they are being liquidated and dumped out → Institutions are coming back to bottom-fish at low levels. Retail investors were the ones holding the bag the entire time.

Finally, it concluded: "Fundamentals haven't collapsed, but liquidity shocks may exceed expectations." Meaning: don't rush to bottom-fish; forced liquidations might not be over yet.

It gave me chills. I want to ask everyone: for these pits created by forced liquidations, do you wait until they finish clearing before entering, or do you start catching falling knives now?

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) re-entered at 153, hope I'm not catching a falling knife 😂

SK Hynix landed on NASDAQ with a $26.5 billion valuation, setting a record for foreign companies' US IPOs. It rose over 12% on its first day, pushing its market cap past $1.2 trillion, demonstrating the market's long-term confidence in AI computing power demand. As the leader in HBM (High Bandwidth Memory), its products are embedded in almost every Nvidia AI chip, and its 72% profit margin even crushes NVIDIA's. This listing not only injects capital into SK Hynix's $390 billion expansion plan, including new plants in Yongin, but also allows global investors to directly participate in the AI hardware boom. Driven by both memory cycles and structural AI growth, SK Hynix has transformed from a cyclical stock into a core asset of AI infrastructure.

Conclusion: 1/2 position base, 1/2 flywheel strategy

Quite pertinent

As always, during this downturn, the storage sector showed the most resilience. Within the storage sector, only Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US) and SK Hynix $SK Hynix(SKHY.US) have maintained relatively decent performance without their technical patterns completely breaking down. If you believe AI still has a future and can rally again, you should be considering these two, rather than other minor players.

It seems like a time when many people are panicking now, especially those holding leverage. Saying too much is useless right now; you can only trade drawdown for the chance to break even later. Don't cut your losses. If the distance to your cost basis is no more than three points and you can still bring yourself to sell, it's better to avoid the storm.

Financial consumption stocks are still rising, and Apple is also still rising. It's unlikely that capital will flow into the tech sector at this moment. You won't know when most institutions are bottom-fishing. By the time you realize it, the price has already risen. Then you start chasing highs and get trapped again.

There are plenty of opportunities in the AI era; it's just beginning. I was afraid of missing out on getting on board earlier, so I bought Microsoft at 420. After the subsequent earnings report, it plummeted, and I haven't broken even yet. So you can wait patiently without fear, provided you can hold on and the company's fundamentals are sound. If there's no earnings support and there are large expenses, then forget it.

If you currently have SK Hynix leverage positions and they've dropped significantly, don't watch the market anymore. It won't recover in the short term. Wait for an opportunity. If you have cash reserves, add to your position if it drops another 10 points. If not, stop watching for now. Focus on your work and life. Use the drawdown and time to win back your principal; that is the correct approach.

This is just my personal opinion for reference.

$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)As SK Hynix/Samsung stock prices plummet, 5.85 trillion won flows into single-stock leveraged ETFs $XL2CSOPSMSN(07747.HK)

$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)South Korea is an indispensable and crucial part of the upstream AI industry chain. Therefore, the Korean stock market led the global market crash. Reference: The scenario is similar, where many people borrowed money to leverage long positions and then got liquidated. On October 19, 1987, the Hang Seng Index plummeted by 11.2%. On October 20, 1987, it crashed another 33.33%. After a brief one-week rebound following November 5, the decline continued until hitting the lowest point on December 7, ending the downtrend. The 1987 stock market crash lasted 50 days, spanning 33 trading days.

$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US) Which expert can explain this? The market is closed in South Korea today, but this thing fell more than SK Hynix and Micron in the night market. What's going on?

$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK) Free-for-all time. The South Samsung ETF priced in a 8-11% drop for Samsung's underlying stock on Monday in advance, which is a bit outrageous. Futu is all sell orders. Is this complete panic?

Immovability is stability, clarity is wisdom; the mind that is non-dual in stability and wisdom is Buddha. Techniques can be imitated, but the Dao-heart needs cultivation. An unstable Dao-heart cannot go far. Techniques can deceive people, but the Dao-heart is the ultimate secret method. Code is easy to obtain, but logic is the true essence.

Hold fast to your original heart amidst the noise, and see the direction clearly amidst the fog.

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) There's nothing more to say, it will still fall tonight... this trend simply can't be stopped.

Several conditions for holding onto stocks

1. [Have confidence in the company you bought]

If you only know the stock code, you can't hold on. If you have only a superficial understanding, it's even worse—you'll stubbornly hold on for a while and finally sell when it crashes.

2. [Can afford to be wrong]

If you have over 20% margin financing or are using 2x or 3x ETFs, it's very hard to hold on when you see your principal losing money.

3. [Admit that you cannot predict the market]

If you feel you can predict and think a crash is coming, why not run? Then there's indeed no need to stubbornly hold on, but this is also why most retail investors lose money in a bull market: selling low and chasing high.

I'm currently mainly holding SK Hynix, Tesla, and Nvidia~ I can sleep soundly and wait slowly.

In terms of risk control, I removed 40% of the margin financing a few days ago and replaced it with 10% calls, which have now been halved, leaving only 5%. But it can't fall much further, so I can be relatively at ease.

I really want to add to my SK Hynix position now, but position size determines mindset. Only by not increasing margin financing can you let it rise and fall freely.

Control your position size to control your mindset.

The stock market is not an intelligence test; it's a psychological test~

Let's encourage each other~

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US)$iShares Russell 2000(IWM.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG.US)$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Semiconductor(CP00062.US)$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$AMD(AMD.US)$Apple(AAPL.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)$Microsoft(MSFT.US)$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)$SpaceX(SPCX.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) is back, bros

$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK) The underlying stock of Samsung SDI needs to reach 160 for your price to be valid. If it really hits that on Monday, I'll take the loss like a man.

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) It would be best if it plunges tonight, so everyone can have an easier time on Monday.

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) Is there still hope?

$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK) This round, I'm looking at 9.9