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Today’s Key News Recap

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1121 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. Last night's non-farm payroll data was released, presenting a 'split' scenario. On one hand, the number of jobs grew beyond expectations, while on the other hand, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to a four-year high, leading to a setback in the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations. The VIX fear index surged significantly during the day. Meanwhile, after NVIDIA's earnings report, its stock initially surged but quickly retreated, causing tech stocks to collectively decline, with Chinese concept stocks simultaneously falling. Market sentiment spread to Asia-Pacific, and today, both Hong Kong and A-share markets are under pressure...

NVIDIA

Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd.

Bio-Techne

AMTD Digital

Xiaomi HK SDR 2to1

XIAOMI-W

XIAOMI-WR

Xiaomi Corporation

GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF

XL2CSOPNVDA

XI2CSOPNVDA

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF

Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X ETF

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF

T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF

XPENG-W

-1x Short VIX Futures ETF

Pro Ultr Cvix Shrt Futures

2x Long VIX Futures ETF

XPeng

The market is in distress; Xiaomi Rises Courageously｜Today's Important News Review

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1017｜Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. Fed Beige Book Sets Tone for 'Soft Landing': The latest Fed survey shows that economic activity has been 'essentially flat' in recent weeks, with stable employment but some sectors starting to lay off workers. Tariffs have pushed up input costs while end-product price increases have been limited. Powell simultaneously hinted that 'balance sheet reduction may end in the coming months,' slightly raising expectations for easing. 2. US-China Tariffs Enter 'Talks-Negotiation' Window: US officials collectively criticized China's rare earth export controls on Wednesday but emphasized 'no intention to escalate the conflict.' The market interprets this as a possibility of reaching limited exemptions before November 1, with the VIX retreating from its high...

NIO-SW

Taiwan Semiconductor

NIO Inc

NIO Inc. USD OV

Pro Ultr Silver

iShares Silver Tr

S&P 500

Global Industrial

TSMC Profit Surprises; Nio Sued by Singapore Sovereign Wealth Fund｜Today's Important News Recap

CBOE Volatility Index Hits Low

CBOE Volatility Index Rises

VIX Index Rises to 17.6 Points

VIX index rises to 17.3 points

Large Speculators Increase Risky Asset Exposure

VIX Fear Index Dropped 6.9% to 19.39

VIX Index Rises Over 28%, Indicating Potential Sharp Decline in US Stock Market

Trump Suspends Certain New Tariffs for 90 Days, U.S. Stock Indices Surge, VIX Index Drops 35.8%

VIX Remains Above 20 for 11 Consecutive Trading Days, Heightening Investor Concerns Over Global Trade War and High Inflation

VIX Panic Index Soars 40%

InMed Pharmaceuticals

AMPLITECH GROUP INC. USD0.001 S/R 20/11/26 SER B

Amesite

CN Energy

AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM USD0.001 (S/R 18/07/2026)

NextNRG

Meiwu Tech

Generation Income Properties

MetaVia

OceanPal

Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the new chairman of the US Federal Reserve. While he asserts commitment to the Fed's independence, concerns arise about potential government influence. Warsh has criticized the Fed's interest rate strategies, reflecting some of President Trump's views, which may impact bond investors.

Businesstimes News

What bond investors should know about a Warsh-led Federal Reserve

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Treasury yields have surged to multi-year highs, with the 30-year yield exceeding 5.1% and the 10-year at 4.6%, driven by inflation concerns. Futures markets indicate a strong likelihood of a Fed rate hike by early 2027, potentially as soon as December. These higher yields could increase mortgage and corporate borrowing costs, negatively impact stocks, and slow economic growth.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Dow Jones U.S. Index

NASDAQ Composite Index

NASDAQ-100

Bond yields hit highs as Fed hike bets surge

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The VIX has dipped recently but remains elevated year-to-date, indicating ongoing market unease due to geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. Crude oil prices above $100 per barrel are raising inflation concerns and altering expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. Investors are increasingly utilizing volatility ETFs to hedge against potential market downturns and leverage uncertainty.

Cboe Volatility Index

Occidental Petroleum

iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs

VG Energy

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

SPDR O&G Equip

Pro Vix Mid Fut

United States Oil Fund LP

VanEck Oil Services ETF

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

Invesco DB Multi Sector Comm TR Oil Fd ETF

Pro Vix Shrt Fut

Us Brent Oil

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

SPDR Energy Select

Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil

Simplify Volatility Premium ETF

VIX dips but year-to-date gains signal persistent caution

One result of the massive monetary expansion was an upsurge in inflation, to a peak of over 9% in 2022—which the Fed infamously termed “transitory.”

Grading Powell’s Fed: Good for stocks, bad for affordability

ZIVB

The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

Barchart Option

VOLATILITY SHARES TRUST 1X SHORT VIX MID TERM FUTURES STRATEGY

iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN

iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN

The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

Markets may be underestimating the risk of a hawkish shift from a Kevin Warsh-led Federal Reserve, as noted by TS Lombard’s Dario Perkins. He highlighted that new Fed chairs often tighten policy quickly to build credibility, suggesting that Wall Street's belief in a more dovish approach may be misplaced.

Warsh could face early market "test" if Fed turns hawkish, TS Lombard says

There are fewer Sunday 'green dots' when the weather is warm and VIXtrades in the mid-teens...

ZeroHedge

Unrelenting Risk Bid Has Forced Underexposed Investors To Capitulate Into Higher Markets

Federal Reserve official Hamak indicated that the Fed's suggestion of an upcoming interest rate cut is misleading. He noted that high inflation is causing significant trade-offs for many, and excessive rate cuts could exacerbate inflation. The Fed aims to remain politically neutral, and he praised Powell's performance, expressing enthusiasm for Warsh's appointment as the new Fed chair.

CoinLive

Federal Reserve's Hamak: Signals that the next step is a rate cut are misleading.

The VIX Index, a key measure of market volatility, has reached its lowest point in three months. According to ChainCatcher, the index decreased by 0.71 points, settling at 16.67. This decline indicates a reduction in market fear and uncertainty, reflecting a more stable investment environment.

VIX Index Falls to Three-Month Low

The VIX Index, a key measure of market volatility, has dropped to its lowest point in more than two months, reaching 16.72. According to ChainCatcher, this decline indicates a reduction in market fear and uncertainty, suggesting a period of relative stability in the financial markets.

VIX Index Hits Lowest Level in Over Two Months

Pro Shrt Vix Shrt Future(SVXY.US)

What bond investors should know about a Warsh-led Federal Reserve

Bond yields hit highs as Fed hike bets surge

VIX dips but year-to-date gains signal persistent caution

Grading Powell’s Fed: Good for stocks, bad for affordability

The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

Warsh could face early market "test" if Fed turns hawkish, TS Lombard says

Unrelenting Risk Bid Has Forced Underexposed Investors To Capitulate Into Higher Markets

Federal Reserve's Hamak: Signals that the next step is a rate cut are misleading.

VIX Index Falls to Three-Month Low

VIX Index Hits Lowest Level in Over Two Months