Midday update: AI rallied across every angle overnight โ Cisco's +20% on a US$9bn AI order guide topped a tape where Alibaba, Micron and Nvidia all ripped. But the bond market is sending a different signal: April PPI hit 6% (a 3-year high), 30Y Treasury yields broke 5%, and Warsh was confirmed as Fed Chair. Locally, Singapore's Economic Strategy Review unveiled 32 final recommendations centred on AI hub status, energy security, and supply-chain resilience.
๐ฌ Today's 3 Big Questions
- AI is firing across geographies, asset classes and use cases: Cisco enterprise AI +20%, Alibaba AI revenue 11 consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth, VNET +25% with CATL as strategic investor, Micron above US$900B, NVDA fresh ATH. Pile in on the multi-vector confirmation, or take profits now that EVERYONE believes? Tell us your line.
- April PPI +6% (3-year high) + 30Y Treasury yields breaching 5% + Warsh confirmed Fed Chair. The real-rate regime is shifting AGAINST long-duration tech. Do you rotate to SG banks / REITs (defending against the rate reset), stay long AI (demand visibility just expanded), or hold cash through the volatility?
- Singapore's ESR Committee 32 recommendations + Indonesia US$30bn 3GW clean-power deal + life-insurance Q1 record S$5.08bn payouts + MAS AI Risk Guidelines + GLB framework โ five structural pillars are aligning in the same week. Position SG-listed names directly, play through cross-listed beneficiaries, or sit on the sidelines until ESR translates into actual flows?
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โฐ Deadline: May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM (SGT)
๐ Quick Market Recap
๐ Global Macro & Markets
- April US PPI +6% YoY โ 3-year high; inflation stickiness reinforced.
- Senate confirmed Warsh as Fed Chair; 30Y Treasury yields broke 5%; USD +0.2%.
- WTI โ1.14% to US$101.02 / Brent โ1.99% โ oil declined despite Iran submitting a Hormuz management proposal; tension fatigue.
- Trump-China summit Day 2 continues (with Musk in the delegation).
๐บ๐ธ US Markets: AI Multi-Vector Surge + Bond Market Pushback
- ๐ All three indices closed up; tech led; Nasdaq 100 fresh ATH.
- Cisco (CSCO) โ +20% AH on US$9bn AI order guide plus AI-focused restructuring announcement.
- Nvidia (NVDA) โ +2% to fresh ATH; Jensen Huang's foundation deployed US$108m for AI compute donated to research institutions.
- Micron (MU) โ +5% to US$900B+ market cap on strong AI memory demand guide.
- Alphabet (GOOGL) โ +4% on Gemini deep-integration into the Android ecosystem.
- Microsoft (MSFT) โ reportedly exploring AI startup acquisition to position for post-OpenAI era.
- Cerebras โ IPO pricing keeps getting revised higher; valuation reportedly approaching US$49bn.
๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore Markets
- ๐ STI near 5,000; OCBC Research target 5,250.
- Singapore ESR Committee โ 32 final recommendations across 8 areas including a new economic resilience pillar covering energy + supply-chain security; AI solutions hub; emerging sectors investment; quality jobs.
- Life insurance Q1 record: industry paid out S$5.08bn in claims and maturity benefits (highest Q1 since 2021); total weighted new-business premiums +12.9% YoY to S$1.67bn.
- MAS opens public consultation on AI Risk Management Guidelines (covering governance, model risk, third-party AI dependencies).
- Keppel Infrastructure Trust (A7RU.SG) โ Q1 DI S$53.7m (โ17.3% headline); ex one-off 2025 divestment gain, DI actually +18.2%. Units โ0.9% at S$0.53.
- ComfortDelGro (C52.SG) โ Q1 net profit โ16.1% to S$40.5m; revenue +5% to S$1.2bn (public transport S$814.5m); taxi/PHV drag. Shares โ1.4% at S$1.42.
- AEM (AWX.SG) โ Q1 net profit more than quadrupled to S$14.3m (from S$3.3m); semiconductor test names raised FY2026 revenue guidance +20% to S$550โ600m. Shares +10.7% to S$8.35 before the print.
- Food Empire (F03.SG) โ Q1 revenue +16.9% to US$159.7m (strongest Q1 ever); approved 1-for-5 bonus share issue. Shares +1% at S$3.08.
- Centurion (OU8.SG) โ Q1 revenue +29.5% to S$89.4m; SG worker accommodation + AU student housing + UK high occupancy driving growth. Shares +0.6% at S$1.67.
- DBS dividend payment in 6 days (~May 20): 66c + 15c special = 81c total.
๐ญ๐ฐ Hong Kong & China Markets
- Alibaba (9988.HK) โ +8% post-earnings; AI-related product revenue posted 11 consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth.
- VNET / 21Vianet (VNET.US) โ +25% after announcing CATL as strategic investor; cross-AI/EV-infrastructure narrative.
๐
Key Events Tonight / This Week
- ๐จ๐ณ Trump-China summit Day 2 โ Today
- ๐บ๐ธ Warsh Chair vote (final confirmation completed)
- ๐ธ๐ฌ HDB BTO HFE deadline โ Tomorrow (May 15)
- ๐ธ๐ฌ DBS dividend payment โ ~May 20
- ๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore Q1 GDP final release โ May 26
- ๐ธ๐ฌ Valuetronics FY results โ May 28
Disclaimer: For reference only, not investment advice.