博弈师
2024.09.25 05:46

Actually my account has seen 9 consecutive green days, just 2 away from the all-time record (or maybe 14, I can't remember). Historical experience tells me there's usually a pullback at this point, but the index has only rebounded 200 points from 2700, which isn't much. So I predict this correction won't be severe, though the naive investors are getting slaughtered pretty badly this time. The bottom pattern is basically confirmed, but there's no day trading opportunity (of course, we should still watch out for black swans - the U.S. side is clearly full of crises).

There was massive selling today from those front-running funds that entered on Monday and last week, as clearly shown in Figure 2. So if you don't want to be a naive investor, you have to ignore the exciting factors and stick to your own strategy and stocks. If you know nothing and just want to hear macro talk, then stay away from stock trading.

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