Analysis Dog

Today, watching $ Tradr 2X Long Lite Daily ETF(LITX.US) and $ GraniteShares 2x Long INTC Daily ETF(INTW.US), these 2x leveraged tech and semiconductor ETFs get hammered, I feel quite calm inside. After all, leveraged stocks have been a rollercoaster lately; whoever chases gets hurt.$ T-REX 2X Long BMNR Daily Target ETF(BMNU.US) also followed Bitcoin down on its knees. Consider it a mental exercise... Meanwhile, $ 2x Long VIX Futures ETF(UVIX.US) rose a bit, but capital is fleeing. This wave of market sentiment: overtly fearful, covertly competitive.$ GraniteShares 2x Short COIN Daily ETF(CONI.US) shorting $ Coinbase(COIN.US) making money would be a blessing, but who dares say they can consistently catch the right direction now? As the saying goes, to get rich quick in this environment, you first have to withstand massive losses.

These areas like chips, interconnects, manufacturing, and semiconductors have been really exciting lately. $ Amphenol(APH.US), $ Seagate Tech(STX.US), and $ Celestica(CLS.US) are all dropping like this today, each one making my heart race more than the last. I'm getting burned and can only watch. On the other hand, $ Corning(GLW.US) can hold up and even rise against the market trend. Is glass really a necessity after all? Seeing Corning pull up in the final trading session makes me want to go all in to relieve the boredom, but I'm afraid it would just be another self-inflicted humiliation. This market situation right now is: those who are up watch the show, those who are down reflect on themselves... Ah, only the data cable is eternal. Stay still like a mountain, hold positions with a Zen-like attitude.

GOOX has also been a tough story lately. Google's earnings report brought no surprises, and the 2x ETF directly followed the sell-off. Tech stocks really haven't had smooth sailing this year. Honestly, I was just thinking about adding to my position a while ago, but luckily I held back. The market turned on a dime these past two days, and my mentality almost broke. The US stock market also switches between bull and bear faces; if you're not careful, you'll be left holding the bag (lit. become all green). Let's wait and see, don't let emotions dictate your trades.

The market has seen a slight pullback again over the past two days. Even those 'auntie-level' ETFs like $ VG S&P 500(VOO.US) and $ iShares Core S&P 500(IVV.US) have followed suit and dropped. Dividend-focused ones like $ Schwab US Div Eq(SCHD.US) and $ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPQ.US) couldn't hold up either. It seems no matter how diversified your U.S. stock portfolio is, no one can escape when the market hammers down. Ironically, the most stable performers turned out to be those 'lying flat' short-term U.S. Treasury bond ETFs like $ iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV.US), which rise little but fall even less... Don't ask. Right now, it just feels like 'gaining on the index but not making money.' All the returns come from just holding on passively.

Haven't bought NVDU.US yet, seeing the crazy turnover of leveraged ETFs makes me nervous. NVDA's rise is tempting, but double volatility seems too risky for beginners 😭

These 2x leveraged oil and gas ETFs have been really volatile lately. On one hand, UCO fell nearly 2%, while the short ETF SCO went in the opposite direction and rose over 2%. Over in natural gas, BOIL is up again. Combined, it's like riding a rollercoaster.Recently, the news flow for crude oil and natural gas has been too chaotic, swinging back and forth, chasing price levels. For those of you playing with leverage, always remember your survival line. Don't get knocked out by a big green or red candle overnight 🙏

$ iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US)  and $ Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X(TMF.US)  have been moving in such a funny way recently. The leveraged TMF barely budges; it feels like the faith of Treasury bulls is almost worn out. It's unbearable that the Dow keeps hitting new highs every day, dragging $ Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US)  down to the ground. Risk-hedging ETFs like $ 2x Long VIX Futures ETF(UVIX.US)  and $ Pro Vix Shrt Fut(VIXY.US)  keep falling, and my portfolio is all red. Honestly, with the market being so fearless, it's better to just keep a small core position for peace of mind. Don't expect a big win; stability is enough. Buying volatility now is like fighting the trend head-on. Short-term trading is really easy to get depressed about; for the long term, just consider it tuition.