andwagon effect～1

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) Q2 results just landed: revenue $40.2B hitting the high end of guidance, net profit +77.4% to a record, gross margin 67.7% beating the midpoint. HPC is 66% of revenue now, almost all AI. this settles the debate this week's memory dump started. the demand is real and it's accelerating. i hold TSM as my cleanest AI bet, and this quarter just made me more confident, not less.

honestly my current investing day is embarrassing. i open 6 apps, read three contradicting headlines about the same stock, spend 20 minutes second-guessing myself, and then do nothing. my ideal version is almost insultingly simple: open one app, something that already knows my positions tells me the one thing i actually need to act on today, i make one decision, i close it. the gap between what investing tools promise and what they deliver is still massive. maybe that changes soon.

i stopped trading around nvidia events ages ago. just hold the core position and let the AI story play out over years not earnings calls. wednesday will be loud and i will be asleep SGT time anyway

honestly INTC dropping 8 with no headline is just beta. when the sector sells off the higher risk names fall the most. not touching it

Oil up 5.5% on Middle East supply fears. Even after Trump's "one week deal" comments caused a partial pullback, crude still closed significantly higher. Until a deal actually lands and Iranian barrels actually flow, I am staying long energy 🛢️

Bought gold because of geopolitical risk. Then sold it when the ceasefire framework came out. Now Iran says there's no deal. My gold trade has more plot twists than a Netflix series 🤡

Gold just did 8 red days in a row 📉

Worst week since 1983. Spot below $4,300, down another 5% today.

Safe haven? Middle East is on fire and gold is doing the opposite 🤡

So what's going on?

Oil spiked above $112, so now everyone's worried about inflation → Fed hike odds hit 50%.

10-year yield at 4.39%, dollar index above 99.

Gold pays nothing. Suddenly bonds don't look so boring.

Gold stocks down 5-6% today. Miners getting wrecked.

Funny part: gold ETFs are still seeing inflows despite the drop. Someone's buying the dip.

Classic paradox — institutions selling, retail buying. Panic or opportunity?

Long-term thesis (central bank buying, de-dollarization) still intact, but short-term macro is king right now. Next level to watch is $4,200. If that breaks… oof.

Anyone averaging in or waiting for a Fed pivot?🤔

Here comes the opportunity again, and maybe this time it's really our turn 🤔

WTI crude oil futures are currently at $93.89, up 7.61%, while the $United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US) is now at $114.68, up 6.14%.

Good luck to all!

(Not financial advice)

Just looked at $Pro Ultr Silver.US holdings breakdown and realized something interesting: 59% in Silver Future Mar 26 , 22% each in swaps with UBS and Citi . So when you buy AGQ, you're essentially buying a structured product with Wall Street's biggest names as counterparties. The 68% government securities collateral means if silver moons, the banks pay up . 0.95% expense ratio feels cheap for this kind of leverage wrapped in an ETF package.

Can someone explain to me how $Strategy(MSTR.US) can be up 9% with $5.3B unrealized loss and Jane Street increasing position 473%? Market is completely detached from fundamentals. Either genius or madness. Saylor now holding 717,722 BTC after 100th purchase . This is just a leveraged Bitcoin ETF with extra steps.

$Coinbase(COIN.US) technicals: trading around $165 after surging 16% post-earnings on buyback news . 52-week range $141-$444. RSI around 50. Holding above $160 support. Next resistance $180. 📊

$DBS(D05.SG) launching $110M AI IPO fund exclusively for wealth clients is smart. Gives retail investors access to pre-IPO AI names usually reserved for institutions. CEO Tan Su Shan says capital flows returning to Asia - this is how they capture it.

16 analysts, target range 48.67 to 70.00. Average 58.41, current 58.15. HSBC on the low end, some bull on the high. Stock $DBS(D05.SG) flat for a month. When analysts disagree this much, I buy the middle. 📊

Looking at $Circle(CRCL.US) is somewhat similar to the early stages of payment stocks in the past; everyone was speculating on the narrative first, then gradually returning to fundamentals. Its revenue structure relies heavily on interest income, making it highly sensitive to US Treasury yields. Currently, the market is simultaneously speculating on cryptocurrencies and betting on macroeconomic interest rate cuts; this contradiction is causing its price action to be particularly volatile. 🤯

Stocktwits sentiment on $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US) is ‘extremely bearish’ as of yesterday . Retail finally throwing in the towel. 89M volume on Feb 5, whale flow spotted in $600 puts for Feb 20 expiry . Contrarian buy signal or capitulation just starting?

Comparing $Intel(INTC.US) vs $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) is painful for Intel bulls 😬 Technology gap still topic, but US policy support gives some floor.

$Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US) has recently become a focus of discussion again, mainly due to its political cycles and high volatility, making it unlike traditional tech stocks and more like an event-driven asset

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) gain how about $ASML(ASML.US)？ will it bring ASML fly together？

$Netflix(NFLX.US) Watching Netflix drop ~37% from its mid‑2025 peak really shakes confidence.

CRWV volatility is wild today. CoreWeave still trades like a pure AI sentiment proxy. When AI stocks run, this flies. When they cool, downside comes fast.

Why did $Coinbase(COIN.US) drop despite security upgrades? Overreaction or real weakness?

$Coinbase(COIN.US) wth is this? crypto go up coinbase go down? crypto go down coinbase goes down even more?