BFLY Return Rate

ACHR

Jeanine

$AMC ENT(AMC.US)AMC is worth an update because the latest move is not just another random meme-stock spike — there are a few things lining up behind the price action.The stock recently pushed higher on strong volume, closing around $2.49 after a sharp daily move. What stood out is that volume was meaningfully above its recent average, which suggests this was not just a quiet drift upward.Fundamentally, the cinema recovery story is also looking better than it did previously. AMC’s Q1 2026 revenue grew 21.2% year-over-year to about $1.045B, attendance improved 13.6%, and adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $38.3M. That matters because AMC has long been weighed down by debt and cash flow concerns, so any sign of stronger operating leverage is worth watching.The company has also been working on its balance sheet, including refinancing activity and a $425M term loan through its Odeon subsidiary. This does not remove the debt risk completely, but it does give the company more breathing room while it tries to benefit from a stronger box office cycle.For me, AMC is still a high-risk turnaround and momentum name, not a clean long-term compounder. The key question now is whether the stock can hold its recent move and build above this range, rather than fading back after the volume spike.Position is currently green, so I’m watching this as a momentum recovery setup with better-than-before fundamentals — but with debt risk still firmly on the checklist.

$First Majestic Silver(AG.US)I’m looking at First Majestic Silver (AG) as a precious metals momentum trade.AG has been gaining attention as silver and gold prices remain strong, and its latest Q1 results showed how much leverage the company has to higher metals prices. Revenue rose sharply year-on-year, supported by stronger realized silver and gold prices, while operating cash flow also improved significantly.That said, I’m not ignoring the risks. Q1 silver production fell to 3.5M ounces from 3.7M ounces a year ago, while gold production also dipped. Costs were higher too, so part of the strong result came from favourable metal prices rather than higher output.For me, the upside case is that AG could continue to benefit if silver remains strong or moves higher. But because miners can be volatile, especially when the thesis depends heavily on commodity prices, I would treat this as a momentum trade with clear risk management, not a blind chase just because the stock is up.

I’d pick the AI capex reality trade, but selectively. The key shift is that AI spending is no longer just management guidance, it’s increasingly showing up as multi-year contracts, prepayments, infrastructure partnerships and equity-linked deals. That makes me more comfortable with picks-and-shovels names tied to compute, power, data centres, connectivity and cooling. But I’d still avoid chasing every AI-adjacent stock blindly, because the winners may be concentrated while weaker tech names get left behind.

$Redwire(RDW.US) 🚀🍓RDW has been a volatile but interesting trade for me because the stock is moving on both technical momentum and a stronger underlying space infrastructure story.From a technical point of view, RDW has shown strong momentum after its recent pullback, with buyers stepping back in as the stock recovered. I am watching whether it can continue holding above recent support levels and whether volume stays strong enough to confirm that the move is not just a short-lived spike. For a stock like RDW, I think momentum matters a lot because sentiment can shift very quickly.On the catalyst side, Redwire recently announced a contract with Astrobiome Space to grow wild strawberries inside Redwire’s Greenhouse aboard the ISS. While the headline sounds fun, I see the bigger point as Redwire proving more use cases for commercial space infrastructure and microgravity research platforms.The fundamentals also give the trade more substance. In Q1 2026, Redwire reported revenue of $97.0M, YoY growth of 57.9%, gross margin of 26.6%, record backlog of $498.1M, and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.92. To me, the strong backlog suggests demand is there, but the key question is whether Redwire can convert that demand into profitable growth.I am also mindful of the risks. RDW was recently downgraded by Jefferies from Buy to Hold, even though the price target was raised from $13 to $24. I see that less as a broken thesis and more as a valuation warning after a strong rally. The stock can still have upside, but expectations are higher now.Overall, my approach with RDW is to treat it as a high-potential but high-volatility space infrastructure trade. I like the long-term story, but for now, I am watching whether RDW can hold its reclaimed levels with volume. If the move loses momentum, I would rather protect gains than chase the space hype blindly.

I lean more tactical reset than full fundamental reset. Musk joining Trump’s China delegation is definitely a bullish sentiment signal for Tesla, especially if investors start pricing in smoother China access or future policy support. But I wouldn’t call it a true US-China tech cooperation reset yet. Export controls, chip restrictions and political risk can come back very quickly. I’d be selectively bullish on Tesla and China-exposed tech, but I wouldn’t chase the whole basket blindly.

I’m still constructive on AI, but I wouldn’t blindly pile in just because everyone is suddenly bullish. The multi-vector confirmation is strong — cloud, chips, enterprise AI and China AI names are all showing demand, but that also means expectations are getting crowded. For me, the line is quality and valuation: I’d stay with names where AI is already translating into revenue, not just hype, and I’d trim if the stock has run far ahead of earnings. Alibaba is a good example: the overall results were mixed, but the AI/cloud growth is the part that keeps it interesting.

I’d probably lean toward the AI enablers over chasing every foundation-model headline. Anthropic possibly reaching a US$900B+ valuation shows how hot the model layer still is, but private AI valuations are getting extremely aggressive. Apple’s visual AI push is interesting because it has distribution, but execution risk is real after years of Siri disappointment. The cleaner 12-month setup may be in the infrastructure layer - memory, storage, fibre and data-centre supply chains - because AI demand still has to physically run somewhere. That said, I wouldn’t blindly chase YOFC/WDC/SanDisk after big moves; I’d watch earnings, margins and guidance. My pick: favour AI enablers, be selective on Apple, and fade any foundation-model valuation that assumes perfection.

The AI trade is not dead, but it is becoming more selective. Oracle’s backlog shows demand is still strong, yet the market is now asking whether massive capex can convert into profitable cash flow. From here, I think investors may separate AI beneficiaries from companies carrying heavy funding risk.

$Taseko Mines(TGB.US)is one I’m watching closely after its latest Q1 results. I do think the latest earnings gave the trade a stronger fundamental backing.Taseko reported a stronger quarter, helped by Gibraltar production and the early contribution from Florence Copper. Gibraltar produced 30 million pounds of copper, up 50% YoY, while Florence is now starting to ramp up after producing its first copper cathode.What I like is that this is not just a copper price story. There is actual operational progress behind the move. That said, I’m still watching the risks closely, especially cost pressure and whether Florence can ramp smoothly.For now, I’m holding and watching whether the earnings momentum can help TGB recover closer to my entry.

$Butterfly Network(BFLY.US)A Bigger StoryButterfly Network has become one of my stronger portfolio movers, with the position now showing a major gain after the stock continued pushing higher.What first made Butterfly interesting to me was its handheld ultrasound technology — a portable and software-driven approach to medical imaging.The bigger surprise was its five-year co-development and licensing agreement with Midjourney. What makes this interesting is not just BFLY getting an AI-related partner, but Midjourney itself moving into a completely new area beyond image generation.That gives BFLY a new layer to the story: ultrasound-on-chip, licensing revenue, embedded technology and possible AI imaging applications.I trimmed some shares to lock in profit, while continuing to hold the rest as momentum kept building. In hindsight it may look early, but partial profit-taking is still part of managing a winning trade.For me, BFLY is a good reminder that patience can pay when the company story improves before the market fully prices it in.Sometimes the win is not about selling the exact top — it is about recognising a stronger story, taking some profit, and still letting the rest run.🦋 In BFLY’s case, the butterfly did not just fly. It found Midjourney and entered its AI era.

A SpaceX IPO could re-rate the broader space sector, but I’d focus on companies with real revenue pathways, backlog, and government or defense exposure rather than pure hype. RKLB has the clearest institutional narrative, while RDW’s recent move shows how quickly smaller space names can reprice when attention rotates in.

$CNMC Goldmine(5TP.SG)Talk about a "golden" opportunity! 🌟 I totally forgot I had a $1.71 limit buy trap set, and the market gave me a gift by filling it during that sudden dip on March 14.📈 The timing couldn't be better.Gold prices are surging (averaging ~US$3,589/oz recently), and CNMC just posted a record-breaking FY25 with net profit jumping over 320%! With their CIL processing plant expansion now at 800 tonnes per day, they are perfectly positioned to ride this bullion rally.While it's a smaller-cap play and comes with its own set of "jungle" challenges (literally, like the Sokor terrain), the fundamental growth is undeniable. It’s a great high-leverage play on gold that balances out the more "predictable" anchors in my portfolio.📉 Sitting pretty on this fill as the stock has already bounced back to $1.72 today. Patience and "setting-and-forgetting" those limit orders really pays off! ⛏️✨

$Rocket One(RKTO.US)Company-Specific Catalyst Beyond SpaceX Hype 🚀While much of the space-stock discussion is focused on SpaceX IPO speculation, Rocket One has its own catalyst worth watching.The company announced that it is preparing provisional patent applications for an AI-powered autonomous defense and space security platform designed to protect critical assets across both terrestrial and space environments.This update adds to RKTO’s positioning at the intersection of AI, defense modernization, autonomous systems, and space infrastructure.The planned patent applications may support areas such as:• Counter-drone and counter-swarm defense• AI-enabled threat detection and classification• Critical infrastructure protection• Military installation security• Launch facility and spaceport protection• Satellite ground station security• Low-power edge AI processing• Space infrastructure security and monitoringThis matters because future space infrastructure will not only need rockets and satellites. It will also need security, monitoring, autonomous response systems, and computing that can operate in harsh environments.RKTO is not just riding the broader space-stock excitement. It now has a company-specific AI + defense + space security catalyst to watch.Important note: This is a planned patent filing, not a contract or revenue announcement yet. Still speculative, but definitely more interesting now.

$Lifezone Metals(LZM.US)Following up on LZM after my previous post, the critical-minerals story is still there, but I’m watching it with more caution now.The longer-term thesis remains tied to the Kabanga Nickel Project and exposure to metals like nickel, copper and cobalt, which are linked to EV batteries, energy storage and supply-chain diversification.But for me, LZM is not a simple momentum trade. It’s still a development-stage, catalyst-driven stock, which means funding, execution and project progress matter a lot more than just the theme.So while I still see the backing story, I’m treating this as a small, higher-risk position rather than something to chase blindly.💡 The key question now: can LZM turn the resource story into real project progress?

If Singapore banks were a character-select screen, DBS would still be the benchmark boss, UOB would be the deep value pick, and OCBC would be the wildcard with the most interesting near-term catalyst. DBS has already set a strong standard, so the focus now shifts to whether UOB can close the valuation gap and whether OCBC can strengthen its case with clearer capital return signals. For me, OCBC is the most interesting one to watch because special dividend or capital return optionality could become a real differentiator.

I think the AI trade is entering a new phase - but the market is getting ahead of itself.We’re clearly moving from the first wave (training + GPUs) into a broader “infrastructure + inference” phase—Intel’s surge is a signal that demand is expanding beyond just Nvidia. That’s the bullish case.But the risk is timing. Enterprise adoption doesn’t happen overnight, and a lot of this demand is still front-loaded capex rather than sustainable, recurring revenue. That’s where expectations may be too optimistic.So yes, this looks like the start of a more “democratized” AI cycle—but in the near term, I think the market is overestimating how quickly real demand will translate into earnings.

$SingTel(Z74.SG)I’m currently down on this trade, but I still think it is worth watching after its latest FY2026 results.SingTel reported stronger underlying profit and declared dividends, which supports the longer-term income angle. I also like that the company is trying to grow beyond traditional telco through areas like NCS, digital infrastructure, regional associates and potential AI/data centre opportunities.That said, the market reaction shows that blue-chip stocks are not risk-free. Investors may still be concerned about Optus, higher spending and whether the transformation can translate into stronger growth.For now, I’m treating this as a longer-term dividend and restructuring watch, not a quick trade. My lesson: even “stable” stocks need position sizing and patience.