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  • C
    Captain's Watch4 hours ago

    PinnedFeatured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • F
    FattycatCommunity StarBABA Diamond Holder6 hours ago
    PinnedFeatured

    🚨 Who Is Next After Haidilao? HK Stocks Trust Tax Watchlist

    I guess many investors must have heard about Haidilao’s founder share sale news.

    Bloomberg and The Straits Times recently have also covered the news and flagged Xiaomi, Li Ning, Sunac and Guming as names to watch.

    I decided to do my own independent research to see who else may be affected.

    Here is what I have gathered :

    Fact: Based on China’s MOF and STA Announcement No.21. The compliance deadline is 22 October 2026.

    Offshore discretionary trusts holding founder equity will face a 20% tax on accumulated dividends, trust contributions from 2023 to 2025 and realised capital gains. Any unpaid taxes after the deadline will incur a 0.05% daily surcharge plus penalties up to five times the owed amount.

    I reviewed 19 major HK-listed tech leaders. 11 founders hold controlling stakes through offshore discretionary trusts. These companies are now under close watch before the deadline.

    1️⃣ NetEase (9999.HK)

    Largest exposure in this group. Estimated tax bill of US$600–700 million from historical trust dividends.

    2️⃣ Pop Mart (9992.HK)

    Structurally very similar to Haidilao. Uses the same trustee firm UBS Trustees B.V.I. Estimated bill of US$60–90 million.

    3️⃣ Horizon Robotics & XtalPi

    Both settled their trusts within the retroactive period without dividend cash. They may need to sell shares to fund the tax payment.

    📊 Please refer to the full infographic for more details.

    Do you think the above companies like to follow Haidilao🙄?

    Disclaimer: For information and educational purposes ONLY. Based on public available information and I may be wrong. Hence this is definitely not financial or tax advice. Do your own due diligence☺️.

    $HAIDILAO(06862.HK)$NTES(09999.HK)$POP MART(09992.HK)

    图片 1,共 1 张
  • N
    NewUser_hCn261 hour ago

    With 20-year yields at a record 5.42% and market odds above 90%, a rate hike is virtually guaranteed. Any surprise hold tomorrow would trigger massive market volatility.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • L
    LazyCatNVIDIA Return RateGo Beyond!1 hour ago

    This week feels like a game of high stakes poker , starting with the first weekend AI ghost story card, followed by no-go for clarity act card and now the market betting (pricing in) a near certainty of rate hike. Rate wise, a confirmation is not the key, but rather hints of what's ahead is needed to reduce market uncertainty.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • V
    ValenxisTotal AssetsRate Of Return1 hour ago

    wondering. what if Fed paused hike instead, against the market expectation. just so to buy time and postpone to have wait & see period until after midterm in Nov? lol

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • N
    NewUser_Unm6iRate Of ReturnTotal Assets2 hours ago

    Dell Tech US Stock rise out of other decline of US Stocks.

    Local Straits Times and local banks shares increase.

    Hong Kong stocks decrease for Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Baba, Xiaomi, and Meituan.

    With the upcoming events of unemployment rate, not a very good news.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • H
    Heroic LifesaverTotal AssetsRate Of Return2 hours ago

    It’s Fed’s D-day. The day that everyone is so convinced that Warsh will hike. Imagine if he does not? I mean to be fair he can argue that the inflationary pressure is driven by oil prices and the data does show that. Hiking rates won’t do much to that and he needs to protect the labour market. 🤔

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • N
    NewUser_ThinkSwim3 hours ago

    High treasury yield, highest debt plus printing divided money to the US for election purposes. I really do not know how high the market will go before crashing with so many bad factors adding on daily. Caution and DCA slowly into the stock if you like the stock or sector in the US market. Good chances and luck.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • T
    Tiffany loverTotal Assets3 hours ago

    A 20-year government bond auction attracted a record yield of 5.420%, breaking the October 2023 high—a weak auction (the largest tail risk since 2024, with indirect bid share hitting a record low).

    The market now prices in over a 90% probability of a rate hike at 2 AM tomorrow, marking the first increase in three years.

    Long-term bond auction prices have been hammered; with the odds of a rate hike jumping, the future of the stock market remains unclear.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • W
    win winOrdersRate Of Return3 hours ago

    FOMC meeting September 2026 finally coming tonight. is there a rate hike ? or the rate remains ? or cut rate this time? What do you think?

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • T
    TheRaccoonAnalysisTotal AssetsRate Of Return3 hours ago

    The record 20-year Treasury yield and weak auction signal increased concerns about demand for longer-duration U.S. debt, potentially reinforcing upward pressure on yields. Combined with markets pricing over 90% probability of a rate hike, financial conditions could tighten further, raising discount rates for equities and increasing volatility, particularly for long-duration growth stocks. However, the immediate market impact will depend on the central bank’s guidance and whether the move reflects persistent inflation pressures or stronger growth expectations. Subsequent inflation, employment and Treasury auction results will remain important for confirming the direction of rates.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

  • J
    JacesApple Return RateTotal Assets3 hours ago

    with a record on high, everyone is hoping to it will be the better. interest rate will be the question. will it be up and down?

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

    At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...