📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: XREAL AURA Starts at $1,279, Bringing Wired XR Glasses with Android XR to Customers This Year - $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) $Meta Platforms(META.US) $Apple(AAPL.US)
META 2X Long ETF
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Breaking: Michael Burry says the AI boom is running on one giant loop and time is running out
Here's his breakdown:1. Burry shared a report from Wall Street lender Ares tracking $573B of AI financing from the last 12 months2. All of it runs through just 8 companies: Meta, Oracle, Microsoft, Amazon, OpenAI, Anthropic, Broadcom and Nvidia3. They lend to each other, guarantee each other's debt and buy from each other, so one company's loan is backed by another company's promise to keep spending4. Every deal depends on one thing: AI spending never slowing down5. If AI revenue disappoints for even one season, the guarantees could all get called at once, right when the companies backing them are at their weakest6. Burry says it's the same circular financing that turned the 2000 telecom fiber boom into a bustBurry claims the stock market in the first stage of grief and the crash is soon - S
Featured🧠 Nebius Just Gave Me 16.8% — The Bigger Story Is Still Ahead
$Nebius(NBIS.US) is currently sitting at a 16.8% paper gain in my portfolio, but interestingly, I am not thinking about taking profit yet. Instead, I am becoming more comfortable holding it for the lo...
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - A
GOOD MORNING.
Bond Yields are down. Oil hit a 2-week low. Nvidia is at an all time high. The S&P just passed an time high in the pre-markets after adding $500B of marketcap yesterday and now being worth over $70T of marketcap in total. This is all happening in the midst of some of the worst breadth underneath the index with most sectors like financials and consumer discretionary not really participating. Even many semiconductor names, like the memory stocks, are not fully participating or back to their ATHs.Tech is the story, particularly large cap tech like $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Meta Platforms(META.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $SpaceX(SPCX.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) $Microsoft(MSFT.US), and we are seeing those names bring the index to record highs. If we are seeing these levels on the index with Oil still up massively on the year and Yields still at the highest in 3 years, the question becomes if the market has this wrong and this is a bull trap or if the market is front-running the inevitable decline in yields and oil, which would also imply the chances for a Fed hike will come down substantially.If it is the latter, things can get really, really fun.Source: amit
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Context
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has firmly established itself as an indispensable powerhouse in the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom. In its latest fiscal third-quarter results for 2026, the company reported explosive 86% year-over-year revenue growth to $29.6 billion, fueled by a 221% surge in AI semiconductor revenue which brought in $16.7 billion. CEO Hock Tan has outlined aggressive long-term projections, targeting $115 billion in AI-related revenue for fiscal 2027 and $230 billion by fiscal 2028.
However, despite these staggering fundamentals, AVGO stock is currently trading around $362.51—nearly 27% below its June 2026 record high of $495. The broader market has heavily penalized Broadcom due to a combination of macro tech sector consolidation, gross margin compression from lower-margin custom hardware mixes, and growing concern over customer concentration. Broadcom relies on just six core hyperscaler custom silicon (XPU) customers—most notably Google and Meta—alongside a complex, headline-making $42 billion custom-chip financing and leasing deal with Anthropic.
My trade
• The Play: Long Equity Accumulation / Bull Put Spreads
• Execution Strategy: Buy AVGO equity shares outright at the current level of $362.51, which places the stock at a highly attractive 19x forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple—a steep discount relative to peer giants like NVIDIA (25x) and Marvell (62x).
Takeaway
Broadcom is essentially a “tollbooth” on the global deployment of custom AI accelerators and next-generation networking switches. While critics point to the risks of circular customer financing and high concentration, Broadcom’s asset-light business model allows it to generate exceptionally lucrative free cash flow ($13.66 billion in a single quarter alone). Wall Street’s current average 12-month price target hovers around $424 to $533.
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - A
$Meta Platforms(META.US) $Microsoft(MSFT.US)
THE INFORMATION:- META AND MICROSOFT ARE WORKING TO WEAN STAFF OFF ANTHROPIC'S CLAUDE- MICROSOFT IS CUTTING ITS INTERNAL CLAUDE SPENDING LEVEL BY OVER A THIRD - META'S CLAUDE CODE USERS HALVED AS THE COMPANY PUSHED ITS INTERNAL AI TOOLS not the best news before Anthropic’s IPO lolSource: amit
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📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: Meta and Microsoft Work to Wean Staff Off Anthropic's Claude - Information - $Meta Platforms(META.US) $Microsoft(MSFT.US)
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Coherent Expert Interview: Takeaways
Pluggable Transceivers & ASP Trends2025 Performance: Shipped ~3.1 million 800G units (ASP $415) and 2.2 million 1.6T units (ASP $1,320).2026 Forecast: Expected to grow to 7.4 million 800G units (ASP dropping to $370) and 3.2 million 1.6T units (ASP dropping to $1,100).DSP Cost Pressure: A 12% DSP chip price hike starting September 2026 will impact costs beginning Q4 2026; Coherent plans to pass most cost increases downstream via quarterly contract adjustments.NPO & CPO RoadmapMass Ramp (2027): NPO business hits mass ramp in H2 2027, targeting 220k–230k (1.6T), 380k–400k (3.2T), and 70k–80k (6.4T) units. All current designs still require DSP chips.FAU Supply Chain: HD Optics is a key supplier holding a 45%–48% share for CPO DFAU and ~40% for NPO FAU, with TFC as the other major vendor.InP Capacity Expansion: Completed the first doubling of 6-inch InP capacity in H1 2026, with a second doubling planned for 2027 to support laser, EML, and NPO/CPO demand.Optical Circuit Switches (OCS)2026 Volume: Shipped 1,400 units of the 300x300 bidirectional port model, with Google driving ~1,300 units. The 512x512 large-port version is delayed to 2029.Future Forecast: Projected at 4,400 units for 2027 (Google ~4,000, NVIDIA ~300) and scaling to 10,500 units in 2028 (adding Meta adoption).Customer Concentration: NVIDIA and Google account for roughly 48% and 23% of Coherent’s optical module sales, respectively.Lasers & EML ChipsEML Shipments (2026): 100G EML reaches 17.8 million pieces (~$9 ASP, dropping to ~$8 for bulk orders); 200G EML hits 11.5 million pieces (~$17 ASP).CW Lasers (300mW): Grew from 1.1 million units (2025) to 3.2 million units (2026), with ASP decreasing from $38 to $34.Financials & Profitability TargetsIndustrial Revenue: Projected at $2.21bn (2025), $2.32bn (2026), $2.48bn (2027), and $2.7bn (2028). (2025 baseline: 34.2% gross margin, 13.1% net margin).Net Margin Targets: Company-wide net margin is targeted at 17.8% (2026), ~19% (2027), and a long-term goal of 22%–25% from 2028 to 2030.$Coherent Corp.(COHR.US)
