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POP MART HK SDR 20to1

HPPD

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  • F
    FattycatCommunity StarBABA Diamond HolderAug 26 at 02:03 AM
    Featured

    $POP MART(09992.HK)

    🧸 The “Post-Labubu” IP Shift: The Rise of Twinkle Twinkle 🚀

    How does Pop Mart keep winning? It is not just about one hit. Pop Mart is building a powerful IP portfolio machine! 😉

    The below infographic shows how they have moved beyond relying on a single star like Labubu to create a diversified “Portfolio Moat.” 🏰

    H1 2026 Highlights:

    ✨ Twinkle Twinkle Explodes: While Labubu normalized to 26% of revenue, the new star IP surged 580.6% YoY — becoming the fastest-growing new hit! 🚀

    🧸 Plush Goes Lifestyle: Plush sales rose 60%, turning characters into wearable, carry-everywhere accessories — not just desk toys!

    💰 The RMB 1 Billion Club: 6 different IPs each topped RMB 1 billion in just six months, including Crybaby, Skullpanda and Dimoo. 💸

    The Secret Sauce: Profits from established hits fund the next generation, a self-reinforcing cycle that keeps new stars coming. Pop Mart is not just hunting for one lucky hit, they are building an assembly line for now and future success. 🔧

    📊Please refer to the infographic for the full story! 👇

    Not financial advice. Do your own DD.

    Pop Mart: The Viral IP Assembly Line Strategically Rotating Capital to Manufactu
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    Dolphin ResearchAug 20 at 01:45 PM

    Pop Mart: Bubble Burst — Is the Hypergrowth Story Over?

    The business struggled to lap last year's high base. The ongoing overseas reorg further weighed on results, dragging overall performance below expectations.

    III to ligit inp on n  ving
    Pop Mart 1H26 Financial Results Overview Unit: CNY 100mn 1H21 2H21 1H22 2H22 1H2
    Stote
    Pop Mart Revenue (CNY 100mn) Unit: CNY 100mn 250 DolphinResearch DolphinResearch+13
    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

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    Pop MartFinancial Analysis
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    Dolphin ResearchAug 20 at 11:06 AM

    Pop Mart (Trans): FY growth of 20% is only a 'maybe'; buybacks to provide a floor.

    1H revenue was RMB 17.17bn (+23.8% YoY). The company also announced a RMB 2–5bn buyback over the next six months.

    Overseas revenue fell 11% YoY. Margin contracted to 29.7% from 33.7%.

    Management flagged greater pressure in 2H than 1H, noting the full-year 20% growth target is only 'maybe achievable'. It also designated 2026 as a reset year, shifting focus to org., inventory and infrastructure.

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    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

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    Pop Mart
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    Dolphin ResearchAug 20 at 10:44 AM

    Pop Mart 26H1 First Take: Broadly, the company could not overcome last year's high base. The transition phase of its overseas org structure also weighed on results, and overall performance was weak.

    1) Overseas revenue turned negative for the first time. In 26H1, Pop Mart delivered revenue of RMB 17.2 bn (+24% YoY).

    Using management’s earlier Q1 growth guide as a reference, Dolphin Research estimates Q2 revenue at approx. RMB 7.3 bn, down about 25% QoQ.

    By split, China revenue reached RMB 12.2 bn (+47% YoY) with 10 net new stores, driven by more refined ops (implying Avg. sales per store up ~34% YoY), which was decent.

    The problem was overseas: revenue was RMB 5.0 bn (-11% YoY), with online down a sharp 44% YoY.

    Core reason, in our view, is the fade of one-off online traffic captured during the 2025 overseas spike; regionally, only Europe grew on new store openings, while other regions declined YoY.

    2) The Monsters contribution fell sharply; 'Xingxingren' rose to the No.2 IP. By IP, The Monsters posted RMB 4.45 bn (-7.5% YoY), with mix sliding from a 40% peak to 26.0%.

    This is the first half-year absolute revenue decline since The Monsters became the No.1 IP, suggesting its novelty and scarcity premium are meaningfully fading.

    On the positive side, 'Xingxingren' revenue reached RMB 2.65 bn, with mix jumping to 15.4%, making it the second-largest IP.

    Excluding The Monsters, other IPs grew 40% YoY.

    This meaningfully alleviates market concerns about excessive reliance on a single IP.

    3) Plush remains the largest category. By category, plush delivered RMB 9.8 bn (+60.0% YoY), with mix rising from 44.2% to 57.2%.

    Figurines were RMB 5.2 bn (+0.3% YoY), essentially flat.

    This suggests figurines—the original blind-box carrier and a higher-margin category—have stopped expanding.

    4) Lower overseas mix pressured profitability. While a higher plush mix helped product structure, the drop in high-margin overseas contribution and higher raw material costs pushed GPM down 60 bps to 69.7%.

    Opex was disciplined, with modest declines in G&A and S&M as a % of sales, yet OPM still fell 5ppts to 39%.

    Working capital also deteriorated: inventory days surged from 123 to 201. Management attributes this to front-loaded stocking for overseas expansion.

    If H2 still requires systemic discounting to clear inventory, profitability could be dragged further.

    Stay tuned for Dolphin Research’s follow-up detailed take and Trans. $POP MART(09992.HK) $Pop Mart International Group Limited (ADR)(PMRTY.US)

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    Dolphin ResearchAug 20 at 08:32 AM

    TSLA launches Doubao LLM; JD ramps up AI robotics | Daily News Recap

    0820 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry — 1) U.S. Treasury data show that as of Tue close, U.S. public debt outstanding reached $40.05TN, breaching $40TN for the first time. The structural expansion of Gov. debt implies a persistently rising UST supply.

    Combined with the earlier move higher in long-end yields, this further pressures valuations across global risk assets. Markets will keep fretting about fiscal sustainability, pushing up term premia and favoring gold and other havens.

    Growth-stock multiples face headwinds. Watch the UST issuance calendar and shifts in demand from Intl long-only funds...

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    Today’s Key News Recap
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    Dolphin ResearchAug 19 at 08:35 AM

    Unitree Robotics whipsaws on debut; SK hynix unveils KRW 40tn buyback & cancellation | Daily News Recap

    Aug 19 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry

    1) Market chatter suggests China may ease import curbs on Nvidia H200 chips, lifting sentiment across compute plays. If enacted, the policy would ease the domestic compute crunch, enabling cloud vendors and LLM developers to scale, and would be positive for Nvidia's China shipments. For now it's only market chatter with no official documentation, so expectations may miss; watch for the final rules and quota sizes.

    2) The Zhuque-3 Y2 launch vehicle ignited at the Dongfeng Commercial Space Innovation Test Zone. It then lifted off...

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    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

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    Today’s Key News Recap
  • V
    ValueNvestAug 6 at 01:48 AM

    I really don't understand Pop Mart.

    If you don't understand it, don't touch it.

    You can't just buy because A Duan bought it.

    And then when they get called out, they start making excuses...

    Investing is your own business.

    Independent thinking is very important 🤔

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    Dolphin ResearchJun 16 at 08:24 AM

    NVDA $25bn jumbo bond; Pop Mart 'Dream Home' suspended | Daily News Recap

    0616 | Dolphin Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry — 1) NBS data show May retail sales fell 0.6% YoY and 0.38% MoM, with goods consumption soft while F&B and rural retail posted modest gains. Industrial value-added (above designated size) rose 4.5% YoY, up 40bps vs. Apr as new growth drivers strengthened the production side.

    Supply and demand diverged: the recovery in domestic demand remained weak, while manufacturing upgrade and transformation accelerated. Near term, this weighs on valuations across consumer plays.

    However, computing power and new energy equipment—representative high-end manufacturing—show resilient fundamentals. The data underscore ongoing pressure on internal demand repair...

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    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

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    Today’s Key News Recap
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    Dolphin ResearchJun 12 at 08:26 AM

    Rumor: BABA to make a big-ticket bid for Pupu Supermarket; Largest-ever IPO debuts in US tonight | Daily News Recap

    Jun 12 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Stock #1, $BABA-W(09988.HK) — Reports say Alibaba plans to bid $1.5bn for front-warehouse grocer Pupu. Earlier chatter suggested Meituan and JD were in the running, but both have denied it. Pupu generates approx. RMB 30bn in annual revenue, is steadily profitable, and focuses on 30‑min on-demand delivery across multiple South China cities.

    If completed, the deal would add a mature front-warehouse (dark store) capability beyond Freshippo (Hema) and Taobao Flash, strengthening Alibaba’s hand vs. Meituan in local fresh grocery. That said, the $1.5bn price tag looks rich...

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    POP MART HK SDR 20to1

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    Today’s Key News Recap
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    Dolphin ResearchMay 13 at 08:29 AM

    New AI collaboration features ignite MiniMax; Xiaomi 17 Max big-screen flagship debuts | Daily News Recap

    0513 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1) On May 12, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported April CPI rose 0.6% MoM and 3.8% YoY, with core CPI at 2.8% YoY, all higher vs. prior. Energy and shelter remain the key drivers.

    Inflation proved stickier than expected. Most on Wall St. now expect the Fed to delay cuts, implying a higher-for-longer rate path.

    2) On May 12, the U.S. Senate voted 51–45. It confirmed Kevin Warsh as a Fed Governor...

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    Today’s Key News Recap