Neos S&P 500 High Income ETF

The Fed has decided to increase the interest rate after all. For the time being, the risk of USD debasement trade will retreat. The next question is how many more rate hikes are on the horizon?

Singapore stocks took a breather as Bank shares and even reits rose slightly after the official rate hike by the FED last night. I think Reits will start to stabilise for some time, but the worst is yet to be over as officials still want a consensus 1 more rate hike by this year.

$Ps S&P 500 Mmtm(SPMO.US)

Context: U.S. stocks surged today after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, reaffirming its focus on taming inflation and removing a long-standing source of market anxiety. With the rate hike behind them, investors returned to their favorite themes. Tech shares gained, with Alphabet and Meta rising more than 1% each before the bell. Understandably, memory and data center stocks are also on the rise, some even going above +5%.

My Trade: I have been invested in SPMO since last year and for me, this is the slightly riskier but better returns of the top momentum S&P stocks. I am also waiting to see what additions/cuts there will be in the upcoming reshuffle.

Takeaway: The rate policy decision will be crucial in determining investor sentiment in the second half of September, historically a weak month for equities. So far this month, the benchmark S&P 500 has lost 1.7%. The upcoming reshuffle for SPMO also has investors speculating that Micron's weightage would be cut in half to 5% while increasing Nvidia slightly. @Captain's Treasure

So the FED does indeed raise its interest rate by 25basis points, looks like I was wrong about Warsh taking the risky stance of maintaining position. However, as expected, Trump took to social media to continue to pile pressure and express his desire for lower interest rate; this is the first time Warsh and Co took a decisive decision, let's see if they would continue Powell's legacy of maintaining independence or eventually succumbing to Trump's political will.

One rate hke decided unanimously is highly anticipated by the market. Dot plot with 16 out of 18, expectations of further monetary tightening, sending a very hawkish signal. Revaluation of AI companies and rate sensitive sectors like property and bond markets may take the hit. So sit tight, buckle up your safety belt, and bumpy ride ahead.

Personally, I didn’t thought that the stocks fell that much (yet) after the rates announcement. I guess most people are bracing for further hikes too

It looks like the Fed has decided to listen to the market and give them what they want. The Fed is not ‘independent’ after all! If they don’t listen to the president, they listen to the market.

Well looks like it is the same old Fed after all! Haha…..for all the chest pumping and assertions that ‘this Fed’ is different from its predecessors, they are still following what ‘the market’ wants.

The dot plots are kind of redundant. Things can change quickly week to week. But I am still surprised it's a pretty large majority thinking of another rate hike this year. The more effective way to curb inflation is to replace the current POTUS.