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Dacai

Dacai

9Following31Followers180Likes & Bookmarks
Dacai
Dacai
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Dacai18 hours ago

Even as Treasury yields continue to rise, there is a danger that the yield curve may be inverting. The curve inverts when the yield of short term bonds is higher than the yield of long term bonds. This happens when more investors prefer to hold long term bonds. Historically, this has been a precursor to recession.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Anthropic's IPO Filing Reveals a $42B Loss

Reuters got a first look at Anthropic's IPO prospectus: revenue up 12-fold, a $42 billion net loss, and a $2 trillion valuation target. Meanwhile Treasury yields hit fresh multi-decade highs and gold ...

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Dacai1 day ago, 03:59 PM

I’m not familiar with the players in the energy sector but I will be doing more research on that as it is likely to benefit the most from high oil prices.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Oil Rebounds

Wall Street closed its first up-week in three, then Trump rejected Iran's seven-day Hormuz offer over the weekend, sending Brent higher again and US futures lower into Monday. Microsoft led the week's...

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DacaiSep 25 at 11:46 AM

The electrification contracts won by CSE are much needed good news for a stock that has been range bound for some months.

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Akamai Jumps 21% on Anthropic

Anthropic's $11.6B compute deal sent Akamai up ~21% after hours, even as the 30-year yield hit a 2004 high of 5.5% and Williams called another hike "reasonable" — AI keeps spending while money gets pricier.

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DacaiSep 24 at 03:11 PM

$ISDN(I07.SG)

Context: The stock broke below its support of 0.62 on 14 Sep. This was due to its second largest shareholder Novo Tellus offloading 4,886,200 shares at 0.65939. In my past experience, anytime a significant shareholder disposes of shares, the share price is bound to suffer for a while especially when this is a small cap. It is now trading at the bottom limit of the Bollinger Band. Will it continue to trend down and cover the gap below 0.55?

My Trade: Considering whether to average down or cut loss.

Takeaway: Significant shareholder disposing of shares (taking profit?) has caused the price to drop to 0.57.

$ISDN.SG
2025.02.28 ~ 2026.09.24 All orders
Cumulative P/L-287.77 (SGD)-20%
2025.02.282026.09.24
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DacaiSep 24 at 02:47 PM

Fxed deposit rates are going up so the impact of the US Fed rate hike is already being felt. I think local banks will still be resilient so I don’t worry my head over short term fluctuations.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — 10-Year Yield Tops 5%, Highest Since 2007

A blowout US PMI pushed the 10-year Treasury yield through 5% to a 19-year high, lifting October hike odds to about 70% and ending the Nasdaq's record run. After the bell, Meta used Connect to push Mu...

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DacaiSep 22 at 05:04 AM

$Suntec Reit(T82U.SG)

Context:

In an update on its strategic review, Suntec Reit has announced it plans to focus on growing its Singapore assets and sell off 3 properties in Australia. This will bring the reit’s gearing below 40% and reduce earnings drag caused by the high interest rate in Australia. Given the capital market in Australia is improving, it will hopefully be easy to find buyers for the Australia assets. On the daily chart, Suntec Reit has hit the lower limit of the Bollinger Band, if this cannot hold, further downside is likely in the short term.

My Trade: Wait for good price to accumulate.

Takeaway: The outcome of Suntec Reit’s strategic review is to improve the gearing ratio by selling off 3 properties in Australia and concentrate on the more stable Singapore market which sounds to me like a good strategy for the long term. Hopefully the execution will be smooth.

图片 1,共 1 张
Suntec Reit

Suntec Reit

SGT82U

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DacaiSep 22 at 04:48 AM

This surge in chip stock price due to Muse feels more like short term optimism. Probably there will be profit taking soon.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Meta's Muse Win Powers AMD to $1 Trillion

Meta's Muse agent topped the US App Store last week, and Wall Street is reading that as one more sign AI agents may need real CPU power. Intel, AMD and Arm all rocketed Monday. Here's what moved marke...

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DacaiSep 21 at 02:11 PM

Crypto currencies have been down for a long time now so even with he recent surge, they are nowhere near their previous peaks. Will tokenisation of stocks really mean greater sustained demand for cryptocurrencies?

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SEC's Tokenization Rule Ignites Crypto Stock Rally

Crypto stocks kept ripping on last Thursday's SEC ruling, which lets tokenized US stocks trade 24/7. $Strategy(MSTR.US), $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) all rocketed Friday. Meanwhile the Bank...

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DacaiSep 18 at 07:45 AM

It’s another one of those yoyo days, going up after a period of down. I must say Jensen Huang is sharp and knows what the market likes to hear.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia's Huang: Chip Sales to Double Next Year

Nvidia's Jensen Huang said at a UK AI summit that Nvidia will sell twice as many chips next year as this year — chip stocks surged across the board the day after the Fed's hike. Let's dig in 👇💬 Chip s...

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DacaiSep 17 at 03:23 PM

The Fed has decided to increase the interest rate after all. For the time being, the risk of USD debasement trade will retreat. The next question is how many more rate hikes are on the horizon?

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Hikes 25bp Unanimously, Signals More Ahead

The Fed delivered its first rate hike in three years: 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, unanimous 12-0, with the dot plot pointing to at least one more hike this year. Trump said rates should be at 1% or lower. Le...

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DacaiSep 17 at 03:16 PM

$Suntec Reit(T82U.SG)

Context:

Finally the much-feared hammer has dropped. US Fed has annnounced a 25bps increase in interest rate to 3.75-4%, the first in 3 years. Warsh did not give his opinion as to whether it is a one-time thing or the first of more to come but 16 other Fed governors have forecasted one more rate hike in 2026.

We have seen how this played out before. Reits will trend down until the tide turns. How long it can last is the question. It can be an opportunity to pick up some bargains. Suntec Reit’s price broke below 1.39 today so the next support level is 1.34 followed by 1.29.

My Trade: Continue to monitor the situation and find opportunities to average down or trim the position.

Takeaway: The first rate hike in 3 year means reits will continue to be under pressure. It also presents an opportunity to pick up some bargains.

图片 1,共 1 张
Suntec Reit

Suntec Reit

SGT82U

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DacaiSep 16 at 03:43 PM

$Apple(AAPL.US)

Context: The market sentiment surrounding Apple stock remains strong as the stock continues to power up, almost challenging the resistance of 335.50 which was last touched on 14 September 2026.

According to the Counterpoint Research report for the second quarter of 2026, the shipment of global smartphones dropped 7% yoy due to higher costs and prices but developed markets showed more resilience. Shipments in North America in fact increased by 6%.

Apple’s market share for Q2 was a record 21%, an increase of 13% yoy as it maintained its prices. For the first half of 2026, it lost to Samsung for global market share by a whisker of less than 1%.

My Trade: Continue to hold but won’t be adding at this price as there is a risk it is close to overbought levels.

Takeaway: H1 shipment numbers were great. Apple stock looks bullish but it remains to be seen if it can break the resistance of 335.50.

图片 1,共 1 张
Apple

Apple

USAAPL

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DacaiSep 16 at 12:15 PM

With the rate hike very likely, the stocks of Singapore banks should do well. The long-suffering reits will once again have to brave the headwinds but I think they are better prepared now.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

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DacaiSep 15 at 03:54 PM

$Suntec Reit(T82U.SG)

Context: As expected, reits continue to trend down with the probability of interest rate hike in September increasing to 92%. This makes the valuation of many reits more attractive. 1.39 had been a strong support in the past for Suntec Reit. I will see if it can hold or if it will go lower.

My Trade: Wait and see if 1.30 holds as a support.

Takeaway: Reits are starting to look attractive in terms of valuation.

图片 1,共 1 张
Suntec Reit

Suntec Reit

SGT82U

Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
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DacaiSep 15 at 02:43 PM

The rate of progress in AI has been unprecedented and unmatched. The fear is that we can lose control of the technology and create something that can be a danger to us. This may sound like a familiar plotline from one of the movies that Hollywood churned out in the past but I think it is a very valid concern. Our laws are also having to play catch up.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — AI Slowdown Fears Crash Chips, Ignite Cybersecurity

Anthropic, OpenAI and xAI's CEOs called for slower AI development this weekend — Trump dismissed it as a "hoax" live with Nvidia's Jensen Huang. Chip stocks crashed while cybersecurity surged as the "...

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DacaiSep 14 at 09:41 AM

All my other stocks especially SGX are dropping in value. Luckily my banks are still holding up. This is called diversification of risks.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Hot CPI Pushes September Hike Odds Near 90%

US core CPI ran hot at +0.3% MoM (vs 0.2% expected), pushing September rate-hike odds from 69% to nearly 90% — Goldman's chief economist flipped his own call to a hike. The 10-year yield hit 4.957%, i...