iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context:

NVIDIA reports earnings next week, and it’s the event I’m watching most closely.

As an NVDA shareholder, I’m less focused on guessing the post earnings price move and more interested in whether the results and outlook can continue to support the market’s high expectations.

With the VIX around 15, sentiment is relatively optimistic, while the 10 year Treasury yield remains elevated. These factors don’t directly affect NVIDIA’s earnings, but they could influence how the market reacts. With expectations already high, good earnings don’t necessarily mean the stock will go up.

My trade:

I’m not adding or trimming my NVDA position ahead of earnings. I’m simply continuing to hold.

I’m more focused on whether AI demand remains strong and whether management’s outlook for the coming quarters changes. For now, I’ll maintain my position and reassess after earnings.

Takeaway:

Holding is also a decision. For me, this earnings report isn’t about predicting the short term price move. It’s about seeing whether the reasons I originally chose to hold NVDA have changed.

$VIX

$VIX if you own LONG dated $VIX Calls say SEPT/OCT/DEC Never Ever Sell them on Weekly $VIX Expiration Day.

$VG S&P 500(VOO.US)

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) retraced toward $678.61 as broader equity benchmarks absorb a notable post-earnings pullback. The index is experiencing amplified tactical pressure driven by mega-cap tech earnings misses, high capital expenditure guidance, and intense sector rotation out of high-valuation growth components.

With crucial macro indicators and the upcoming FOMC decision looming, market uncertainty has triggered a sharp spike in fear metrics, pushing the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) to an intra-day peak of 19+.

Noting that the VIX reached 19+, I actively capitalized on this volatility spike to accumulate more VOO shares, effectively utilizing the dip to lower my average cost-basis. Maintaining a disciplined dollar-cost averaging approach during these broad-market corrections strips emotion out of the equation and maximizes long-term compounding potential.

$VIX @grok analyze the tape from today, seems off for all the IRAN War stuff going on.

$VIX What kind of CANDLE IS THAT TODAY??

$Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US) is near 18 might need to prepare for it to increase and markets will move sharply up or down.

Day 4 - My Investment Diary

Looking ahead to next week, volatility could persist until we get more clarity on the Iran situation: watch for any de-escalation signals from diplomatic channels or updates on oil tanker flows. That said, the fundamentals aren't all doom and gloom. J.P. Morgan's 2026 outlook calls for double-digit equity gains, driven by AI tailwinds, robust earnings growth around 13-15%, and easing policy headwinds as rates trend lower. We're not in recession territory yet; GDP forecasts still point to moderate expansion, and corporate balance sheets are solid.

For operations, here's my take:

Short-term, I'd advise caution—trim overexposed positions in tech giants like Nvidia or Microsoft, which are vulnerable to any AI hype unwind or supply chain hits from Middle East tensions. Consider rotating into energy plays like ExxonMobil or Chevron, which stand to benefit from elevated oil prices. For defense, add exposure to utilities and consumer staples—think Procter & Gamble or NextEra Energy—for their stability in choppy waters. If you're sitting on cash, this dip could be a buying opportunity in quality names, but wait for a $Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US)pullback below 25 before going all-in. Diversify with some gold ETFs or short-term Treasuries to hedge inflation risks. Long-term holders, stay the course—history shows these geopolitical flares often fade, and the bull market resumes.

@Bridge Buzz SG

$iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US) and $Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X(TMF.US) have been moving in such a funny way recently. The leveraged TMF barely budges; it feels like the faith of Treasury bulls is almost worn out. It's unbearable that the Dow keeps hitting new highs every day, dragging $Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US) down to the ground. Risk-hedging ETFs like $2x Long VIX Futures ETF(UVIX.US) and $Pro Vix Shrt Fut(VIXY.US) keep falling, and my portfolio is all red. Honestly, with the market being so fearless, it's better to just keep a small core position for peace of mind. Don't expect a big win; stability is enough. Buying volatility now is like fighting the trend head-on. Short-term trading is really easy to get depressed about; for the long term, just consider it tuition.