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Captain's Watch

May 13 at 02:50 AM

โ˜•๏ธ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk

โ˜•๏ธ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk

LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

Midday update: Hot April US CPI + Warsh's Fed confirmation has markets flipping to price a possible 2026 rate HIKE โ€” not a cut. Tech took the rate shock hard: storage chips and AI software both got cracked overnight, with Qualcomm posting its worst day in 6 years. Locally, Singapore inked a landmark US$30bn / 3GW clean-power import deal with Indonesia โ€” the biggest cross-border energy infrastructure deal of the year.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Today's 3 Big Questions

  1. Hot CPI + Warsh confirmed + market pricing 2026 rate-hike chance โ€” exactly when QCOM dumps โˆ’11% (worst day in 6 years), AI software cracks, but Korea customs shows SSD +63% / HBM +19% MoM. Demand fundamentals diverge from share prices. Buy-the-dip on storage / AI hardware, fade tech to SG banks (NIM defended), or hedge both ways?
  2. Anthropic raising US$30bn at US$900bn valuation PLUS 10% global tariffs continuing PLUS Trump-Xi meeting Day 1 today. Three macro/AI signals converging. Is the AI capex super-cycle re-accelerating to a new leg, or are we at peak narrative right before the multiple compresses? Pick your stance.
  3. Indonesia signing US$30bn / 3GW clean-power export to SG AND Kuwait reporting "armed infiltration" near Hormuz AND oil holding bid. Energy security is a real cross-strait theme. Position long SG utilities + palm-oil, short global tech, or rotate to defensive (SIA Engineering, banks)?

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โฐ Deadline: May 13, 2026, 11:59 PM (SGT)

๐Ÿ“Š Quick Market Recap

๐ŸŒ Global Macro & Markets

  • April US CPI ran hot; yields climbed; USD bid; market now pricing potential 2026 rate HIKE, not cut.
  • Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Fed Governor; Chairman vote earliest Wednesday.
  • Trump admin reaffirms 10% global tariffs continue; US appellate court paused the prior illegality ruling.
  • Anthropic raising US$30bn at US$900bn valuation; lab race intensifies.
  • Oil bid 3 days then stabilising; Kuwait reports "armed infiltration"; Hormuz risk persistent.
  • Korea customs: SSD prices +63% MoM, HBM +19%; Samsung-union talks broke down, 18-day strike risk.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Markets: Hot CPI + Storage Crash + AI Software Compression

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ S&P 500 โˆ’0.71% | Nasdaq โˆ’1.74% | Dow ~flat. Tech & consumer disc led down; energy + healthcare up.
  • Storage / memory: Western Digital โˆ’6.17%, Micron โˆ’4%, Qualcomm โˆ’11% (biggest daily drop in 6 years); storage hardware index โˆ’4.1%.
  • AI software: GitLab โˆ’9.98%, C3.ai โˆ’7.28%, Oracle / Salesforce โˆ’3.48%; MongoDB the only winner +4.78%.
  • Anthropic funding round at US$900bn valuation continues to anchor the AI-lab story.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore Markets

  • Indonesia to supply Singapore with 3GW clean power in US$30bn project โ€” exports could begin by year-end; landmark bilateral energy-security deal ahead of leaders' meeting.
  • IIA 2026 Risk in Focus Singapore report: ~75% see digital disruption / AI as severe risk, but only ~50% believe internal audit coverage is adequate โ€” governance gap as AI adoption accelerates.
  • Genting Singapore (G13.SG): Q1 revenue โˆ’3% to S$607.6m; net profit โˆ’55% to S$65.2m. Stock +1.5% at S$0.69 pre-print.
  • NTT DC REIT (NTDU.SG): maiden DPU for H2 ended March = US$0.0387 โ€” beat IPO forecast by 2.4%; revenue US$115.3m (beat by 2.8%); annualized yield ~7.5%.
  • Valuetronics (BN2.SG): profit warning for FY2026 (results May 28) โ€” significant net-profit decline driven primarily by non-cash impairment on 26.6% stake in Trio AI plus hardware leased to that entity. Shares +6.3% at S$1.18 before the warning.
  • United Hampshire US REIT (ODBU.SG): Q1 distributable income +10% YoY to US$6.9m; NPI +12.7% to US$13.2m; revenue +8.7% to US$19.7m โ€” driven by Dover Marketplace and Wallingford Fair acquisitions plus rental escalations.
  • Prime US REIT (OXMU.SG): Q1 NPI fell to US$17.2m (from US$17.7m); DI down to US$6.5m (from US$8.4m); units โˆ’1.1% at US$0.173.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong & China Markets

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Hang Seng โˆ’0.22%.
  • MSCI China Index adding 22 new constituents at the next rebalance โ€” including YOFC (6869.HK); passive inflows ahead but optical tape under pressure on Lumentum's โˆ’6%.
  • Tencent / Alibaba / JD / SMIC all report this week (Trump-Beijing summit overlay).

๐Ÿ“… Key Events Tonight / This Week

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Trump-China summit (Day 1) โ€” Today
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fed Chair vote (earliest Wed)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Tencent / Alibaba / JD / SMIC earnings โ€” This week
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ HDB BTO HFE deadline โ€” May 15
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Valuetronics full-year results โ€” May 28
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ DBS dividend payment โ€” ~May 20

Disclaimer: For reference only, not investment advice.

Qualcomm

Qualcomm

USQCOM

SIA Engineering

SIA Engineering

SGS59

Western Digital

Western Digital

USWDC

Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

GitLab

GitLab

USGTLB

Oracle

Oracle

USORCL

C3.AI

C3.AI

USAI

Salesforce

Salesforce

USCRM

MongoDB

MongoDB

USMDB

YOFC

YOFC

HK06869

00700

00700

HK00700

09988

09988

HK09988

09618

09618

HK09618

BABA

BABA

USBABA

JD

JD

USJD

G13

G13

SGG13

NTDU

NTDU

SGNTDU

00981

00981

HK00981

BN2

BN2

SGBN2

ODBU

ODBU

SGODBU

OXMU

OXMU

SGOXMU

S68

S68

SGS68

J36

J36

SGJ36

O39

O39

SGO39

D05

D05

SGD05

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