Financial Mom's Weekly Summary 141: Winning Investment Mindset

" Just flawlessly executing the principle of 'Plan your trade, trade your plan' 10 times eliminates 80% of investors."

During the Dragon Boat Festival, the three major U.S. stock index futures saw slight declines in pre-market trading.

$NVIDIA NVDA$ dropped over 1% in pre-market. Starting today, NVIDIA's stock will trade at the post-10:1 split-adjusted price. The split is not expected to change the company's overall valuation, but the lower per-share price will make it more accessible to investors.

During the holiday, I came across a set of data from an early article titled Things About Trading by "Shanghai Twelve":

Survey data shows that among all financial market participants, only 20% can execute their trading plans consecutively 10 times, 10% can do so 20 times, and less than 1% can maintain consistency for 100 trades. This is the fundamental reason why the majority lose money in financial markets.

This reveals that simply executing "Plan your trade, trade your plan" perfectly 10 times filters out 80% of investors.

It reminds me of Elon Musk's speech where he attributed his success to cultivating an extreme mindset—the 10% Target Law.

In other words, whatever you want in life, you must attempt it 10 times. This teaches you to embrace a winning mentality by actively facing 90% failure,

which shows that merely striving to try something 10 times puts you ahead of 90% of people.

Consistently executing your plan 10 times—whether in life or investing—is the key differentiator between people,

as Shanghai Twelve noted:

Most of my trades are planned, and I always follow through unless the market doesn’t provide an opportunity.

Many traders make plans, but very few actually stick to them, especially beginners. They often change direction, adjust position sizes, modify stop-losses, or alter take-profit points mid-trade.

Reflecting on myself, I realize this is true—I often feel a disconnect between research and execution.

Out of 10 planned trades, I might only execute 5 properly. This is an area I need to deliberately improve.
 

01—Live Portfolio Stats & Capital Flow Tracking 

This Week's Trades: None

This Week's Portfolio Stats:

Last week, $Tencent Holdings 00700.HK$ rose 4.17%, Focus Media gained2.68%, $Muyuan Foods 002714.SZ$ climbed1.53%, while Changchun High-Tech fell1.07%, $Lead Intelligent 300450.SZ$ dropped3.75%.

Starting November 2023, live portfolio performance updates will be disclosed monthly or weekly only if trades occur. No stats this week due to inactivity.

This Week's Capital Flow Tracking:

The purpose of tracking weekly institutional flows is to help retail investors identify fundamental improvements in stocks/sectors by monitoring money movements, spotting inflection points in high-conviction bets.

Institutional capital only flows in consistently when they see tangible operational improvements—otherwise, buyback-driven rallies are short-lived.

Note: When tracking weekly flows, cross-check for recent buyback/insider buying announcements and focus on oversold stocks or earnings seasons.

Case Study:

Tencent's weekly flow chart during its 100%+ rebound from oversold levels—even during pullbacks, institutions held firm. A textbook example of capital flow-price synergy.

Post-earnings, focus shifts to oversold weekly charts—this week: Changchun High-Tech and Lead Intelligent. Brief flow analysis:

1. Changchun High-Tech

2. Lead Intelligent

The screenshots show Changchun attracted significantly more inflows than Lead this week,

but neither has bottomed—suggesting ongoing market skepticism and unimproved fundamentals. Continued monitoring needed.
 

02—Portfolio Company Updates

1. Muyuan Foods: Post-earnings, institutions conducted 5 surveys in 3 months—growing appeal
 

After annual/Q1 reports, Muyuan generated the most research coverage among my holdings.
 

Five institutional surveys in three months signal material sector/company improvements, driving institutional interest.

Flow tracking shows post-earnings surveys boosted confidence, with ¥625M institutional inflows that week, pushing shares to April 2023 resistance.

This confirms earnings-season flows can signal fundamental improvements/surprises.

Key takeaways from the latest survey:

1. Cost-cutting progress:

May hog farming costs fell to 2023’s monthly low of ¥14.3/kg. The company targets ¥13/kg by year-end,

with 45% of farms below ¥14/kg and 25% above ¥15/kg. Further operational upgrades planned.

2. Hog price volatility response:

Recent price hikes stem from capacity reductions and short-term speculative holding. The firm is bullish on Q2-Q3 prices but avoids over-predicting, maintaining steady production and modest sow inventory growth to leverage cost advantages.
 

2. Focus Media: Announced 2023 dividend of ¥0.33/share, record date June 12, ex-date June 13

3. Lead Intelligent: Repeatedly reissues completed buyback announcements as "Progress Updates," potentially misleading investors

While tracking holdings’ filings, I noticed Lead’s odd habit of re-releasing old buyback completion notices with updated dates under the title "Share Repurchase Progress Announcement."

The screenshots show its ¥350M 2023 buyback was completed last year, yet the company keeps repackaging it monthly as a "progress" update,

possibly tricking investors into thinking new buybacks occurred.

Instead of actual repurchases, they’re recycling old news—laughable.

Wishing everyone a peaceful Dragon Boat Festival. Hope my insights help—see you next time.

Disclaimer: This shares my trading framework and logic, not advice. Mentioned stocks aren’t recommendations. Markets carry risks—invest wisely!