上山喝茶r
2026.03.18 20:20

The dot plot shows 1 interest rate cut in 2026.

The median unchanged but the long-term rate raised from 3.0% to 3.1%.

It might be more difficult to cut rates in June.

The probability is higher in September.

Previously thought it should be 2 cuts; this speech is very hawkish.

The second half of the year is still far away, let's wait and see.

April's FOMC will be clearer.

The Iran situation should also be over.

Raising the long-term rate to 3.1% is bearish and puts pressure on gold and silver.

When the price is pushed down, it's an opportunity to find a good entry point.

CME data for April gold and May silver both indicate there will be significant volatility.

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