昆仑山岩石
2026.06.26 09:49

@每天都吃肉 I've read your article and fully agree with your point of view. It's very well written and comprehensive!

I'd like to share my opinion based on your article: there's been a lot of buzz about those short essays these past two days.

1. After Micron Technology's earnings report came out, the market has been hotly discussing that memory prices are high. Memory products shouldn't be forced to lower prices just because gross margins are high; there's no such logic.

2. Apple's product price increases have nothing to do with Micron Technology's business officer's remarks. Each is just stating their own position; both are normal business practices.

3. I haven't found anyone who traveled from the future, but I have found many who seem to have traveled to the past. Personally, I can't see where the cycle is at the moment. Media reports on ChangXin Memory Technologies and Yangtze Memory Technologies' market shares are incorrect; cutting them in half would be more accurate. Within 5 years, they will only play a supplementary role in the market. I also don't see the possibility that new capacity coming online in 2028 will lead to a memory oversupply and price drops for mainstream memory.

4. Short-term fluctuations in stock prices will not change the medium-term upward trend.

Longbridge - 每天都吃肉
每天都吃肉

存储行业的结构性变化:HBM / DRAM / NAND 的新周期逻辑

原文作者:@fi56622380(X / Twitter)读完原作者 @fi56622380 的文章后,认为其中对于 AI 推理、HBM、DRAM 与 NAND 供需关系的分析很有深度,特此作学习总结与整理。本文仅为对原文的学习笔记与观点摘要,不代表原创研究;文中的核心论证框架、观点与数据推演均归原作者所有,整理者仅对内容结构与表述进行了归纳。过去...

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