"There's another opinion in the comments that AI infrastructure is a 'death spiral'. Once it stops, it will definitely crash and everyone will die together. How could that be?

Firstly, some companies in the SaaS sector that are being suppressed by AI will definitely immediately jump up and rise, because the two sectors are actually hedging against each other now."

Longbridge - 巴菲Te北京分特
巴菲Te北京分特

Yes, Brother Cai is relatively objective and rational. I want to say that in the stock market, gains and losses depend on expectations and narratives, and declines are also part of the market. When investing in individual stocks, you have to accept such outcomes. The stock you choose is highly likely to underperform the index for a very long period. 🥲

Many hold the view that M7 is not worth continuing to invest in. I can't refute that right now; time will tell. However, big tech is cheap now. I'll buy whichever is cheap and has a wide and high moat.

Many in big tech are "cash cows" (or deep-pocketed backers). They are willing to sacrifice cash flow to expand infrastructure. If one day they feel they've built enough, or if they can't make ends meet and reduce expenses, free cash flow will also increase rapidly immediately. The market will definitely pay for companies with high cash flow and a high moat.

Another point in the comments is that AI infrastructure is a "death spiral"; once it stops, it will definitely crash and die together. How is that possible? First of all, some companies in the SaaS sector, which is currently suppressed by AI, will definitely jump up and rise immediately because these two sectors are actually hedging against each other now.

Before AI started, wasn't the reason big tech became "big" precisely because of good business, high barriers, and the ability to make money? Why assume that if the cash cows stop spending, there will still be a crash?

Time will prove whether each investment decision can bring long-term returns.

Personal opinion only, friendly discussion is welcome.

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