NewUser_CkrdqW

Sharp drop for OCBC today with the analyst's downgrade and partnership with Ant. The recent reduced board lot size also allows for investors to participate in increased trading volume since they have the flexibility to now buy/sell with lesser capital needed. Hence why we are seeing the huge increase in trading volume and the huge drop of as much as 6% for OCBC. This has also dragged the local index as well as DBS & UOB down by 1%+, which is probably the steepest drop in quite some time

SpaceX in my opinion is a big risk medium reward type of stock. Couple of red flags here: Just IPO not long ago without proving sustainability and profitability, too much hype from the rich etc. Swing trades could be done for those experiences traders but a no no for me

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)

Context: Elon Musk confirmed discussions with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. over possible cooperation on the Terafab chip project. Musk said the talks remain preliminary, leaving the final structure of any partnership unsettled. The discussions follow reports that TSMC is considering ways to participate in Terafab, a planned semiconductor manufacturing initiative tied to Musk's companies. Terafab is intended to provide custom chips for Tesla, SpaceX and xAI as their demand for computing capacity expands. TSMC could potentially operate a Texas factory or provide manufacturing technology while Musk's companies retain a controlling stake.

My Trade: One of my favourite stocks to DCA and just hold as TSMC continues to dominate and expand its partnerships with numerous top companies.

Takeaway: Perhaps one of the regrets is not getting in earlier for TSMC. I was too focused on finding valued stocks at fair prices, and hence saw a few opportunities to enter slip by. I learnt that not all good investments have to be bought at fair prices; learning to read the overall trend line and giving yourself a buffer indicator can allow you to grab hold of opportunities better. @Captain's Treasure

I think we will be seeing a sideways market for some time without any major catalyst. Friday's job reports was weaker than expected, prompting October rate hike probability to plummet and S&P to recover 0.7%. Back home, the STI index is also just about holding on, without any major drawdown nor recovery

More opportunities for DCA reits investors as the struggle continues amidst a weaker week for the banks & broader STI Index as well. Tonight's job report is going to be a strong signal for FED'S position moving forward as well.

$Ps S&P 500 Mmtm(SPMO.US)

Context: US stocks turned higher on Thursday in choppy trade, with the S&P 500 falling early to a two-week low but then rebounding sharply as a global bond selloff reversed course after sending US Treasury yields to multi-decade highs. Stocks were under pressure in early trading as economic data kept pointing to a solid economy with persistent price pressures. The Labor Department said weekly initial jobless claims dipped to 197,000, below the 200,000 forecast of economists polled by Reuters. It was the latest in a string of reports this week that indicated the labor market was on solid footing, ahead of the government payrolls report on Friday.

My Trade: The SPMO in particular has been up around 28% this year, and I see little potential for any more significant gains for the year. My target is to accumulate and DCA when possible under $150.

Takeaway: The recent reallocation of holdings in SPMO saw the removal of Broadcom and Nvidia from top 10 holdings, with strong momentum over the past 6 months having Apple now being the 2nd largest holding behind Micron. @Captain's Treasure

A cooler PCE + Micron printing record quarter with impressive future guidance has the market reacting positively once more as tech stocks are currently up more than Micron itself in the overnight market. I do think we will see more upside to Micron's share price after the market opens tonight with more trading volume. On the other hand, strong GDP growth continued to push for higher yields and place pressure on non yielding assets like Gold & Bitcoin, despite October's rate hike odds dropping significantly.

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)

Context: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing could be preparing another major increase in advanced-chip capacity, and Wells Fargo says the biggest near-term beneficiaries may extend well beyond TSMC itself. The bank said reports that TSMC could expand 2-nanometer production should be viewed as a potential positive for semiconductor capital-equipment companies, which supply the machinery needed to build increasingly complex chips. Building additional 2nm capacity requires significant spending on lithography, deposition, etching, inspection and other highly specialized semiconductor-manufacturing equipment. That means higher TSMC capacity could translate into another layer of demand for the equipment suppliers supporting its fabs.

My Trade: Looking to accumulate and DCA into TSM as this is one of my favourite stable and moderate to high growth chip companies alongside Nvidia.

Takeaway: For investors, the important signal is not simply that TSMC may build more capacity. It is that demand for leading-edge manufacturing appears broad enough across smartphones, AI accelerators and custom chips to justify additional investment. That could extend the semiconductor spending cycle further into equipment suppliers. Micron's upcoming earnings could potentially give investors a glimpse of the forecasted future demand as well. @Captain's Treasure

The SG market remains resilient despite the Reits sector still sitting near 1 year lows and remaining weak ahead of 1 to 2 more potential rate hikes by the end of the year. Banks are still carrying the index - could we see a $80 DBS by the end of October?

$NU Holdings(NU.US)

Context: Nu is down by as much as 10% after reports emerged that the Brazilian fintech giant is in talks to acquire UK digital bank Monzo. The reported deal could value Monzo at between £8 billion and £10 billion, though talks are reportedly still at an early stage, with no deal agreed. Investors’ downbeat reaction appears to be down to concerns about the potential price tag and how Nu would fund such a large acquisition. Reports suggest a deal could involve both cash and Nu shares, raising the prospect of dilution for existing shareholders. There are also questions over whether paying as much as £10 billion for Monzo would generate an adequate return, particularly given that the UK digital bank was valued at around £4.5 billion in a 2024 share sale.

The deal could provide access to a scaled and profitable neobank in the UK and Europe with 15.2 million customers, £25.7 billion in deposits, and £1.7 billion in revenue. This can strengthen Nu’s financial profile by adding a mature business with room to expand.

My Trade: I am loading up on this dip. Long term wise, I do believe Nu has the opportunity and the capability to continue expanding its business, and the aggressive expansion outside of Latin America shows their ambition as well. The main concern is probably the dilution of existing shareholders.

Takeaway: Monzo is the country’s second-largest digital bank behind Revolut, with the vast majority of its customers based in the UK, although it also operates in Ireland and Spain. This an opportunity for the combined business to attract more customers in the UK, while Nu’s established brand in markets such as Brazil, Mexico and Colombia could also potentially provide an advantage. @Captain's Treasure

I think the Meta pullback is healthy as the bulls have over-carried for the past week since Muse went online. As much as I'm optimistic about it, I think now is the consolidation period post bullish momentum. Ofc, Trump's deal with Iran will affect the overall market as well.

Reports of a Trump deal with Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz last night sent the market into recovery mode, with the main indexes closing relatively flat and even slightly up in after hours. Though I remain cautious as it's Friday and anything can happen over the weekend when markets are closed.

The 10 year bond Yield is once again on the rise to new highs as markets crashed back down after a relief day. SG reits etfs are now on 52 weeks low and there's definitely more pain coming for reits investors.

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

Context: Cathie Wood's Ark Invest sold a combined 16,422 Class A shares of Alphabet. The sales came as analysts continued to examine whether Alphabet’s core search business can maintain its position as artificial intelligence changes how consumers find information online. Google Search remains the company’s key financial driver, accounting for more than half of Alphabet’s revenue and close to 70% of its profits. Alphabet had also regained search share after losing ground to OpenAI’s ChatGPT earlier in 2025.

My Trade: I think there is potential for swing trades for Alphabet between the price range of $330 to $360. Ideally, I am aiming for a price closer to 300 for accumulation and year end price target to be 370 and above.

Takeaway: Gemini AI platform is narrowing the gap with ChatGPT. Google’s next-generation Gemini models and growing adoption of its tensor processing units could be potential catalysts. However, the competitive leadership in artificial intelligence could shift as Alphabet, OpenAI and other technology companies continue developing their products. @Captain's Treasure

I think the MAS news that a stress test was conducted on SG listed companies and found that a third of them were at risk of severe AI downturn is a warning for corporations. The stress test subjected companies listed on the Singapore Exchange to revenue shocks of as much as 30 per cent and interest-rate shocks of up to 400 basis points, calibrated according to the individual firm’s exposure to the AI supply chain. MAS defined an at-risk company as one with an interest coverage ratio of below one, or negative cashflow with cash buffers that cover less than six months of the shortfall. However, most balance sheets are generally sound due to their earnings and cash reserves. But this is also a stark warning to corporations that rushing to adapt the latest technologies/strategies may not always be the most efficient as businesses need to evaluate how, the AI in this case, may bring benefits along their supply chain against the costs of adapting this new technology.