NewUser_CkrdqW

I would be lying if I say I'm not worried about Netflix's stock performance over the past year. However, EPS is still growing strongly. People like to conveniently say that growth is slowing because they included the breakup fee from the WBD deal, but if we exclude that one time payment, Netflix's growth is still intact, with room to grow for the advertisement portion as well.

$Meta Platforms(META.US) Anthropic is holding very preliminary discussions on leasing computing capacity from Meta. After The New York Times reported that the two sides are discussing a potential transaction valued at around USD10 billion, shares of the social media giant rebounded. The discussions come weeks after Anthropic announced a similar agreement with Elon Musk-owned SpaceX to use computing capacity at its Colossus 1 data center to enhance service capacity for paid subscribers. This highlights that Anthropic, as one of the major AI laboratories, continues to engage in large-scale collaborations with other AI labs to access AI chips produced by Nvidia. In my opinion, this could help spur the recovery of Meta stock, but the main focus comes next week earnings. @Captain's Treasure

$Grab(GRAB.US) Grab runs a super app across Southeast Asia that brings together ride-hailing, food and grocery delivery, digital payments, and financial services in one platform, connecting millions of consumers, drivers, and merchants in daily transactions. Its services range from GrabFood and GrabMart to GrabPay, GrabFin, and GrabInsure, making it a central digital utility across eight countries. Grab generates most of its revenue from Deliveries at US$1.9b and Mobility at US$1.3b, with smaller contributions from Financial Services at US$379m and Others at US$4m. Grab Holdings stands out because it combines a super app footprint across eight Southeast Asian markets with fundamentals that fit well with a screener focused on financial resilience. @Captain's Treasure

🥇 Spain

🥈 Argentina

🥉 England

Market sell-off is not the only thing continuing into the weekend; the US-Iran war is too. South Korea's margin plays backfire for their traders and some are even forced to liquidate their accounts to stop the losses. This effect spirals into the US market as well, causing many big names and high beta stocks to drop massively. Heading into earnings season, we have also seen barely hitting analysts' expectations is not enough - investors are pricing in not just the fundamentals but also the future forward guidance.

$Netflix(NFLX.US) Netflix's Q3 revenue forecast of $12.86 billion and diluted earnings of 82 cents fell short of analyst expectations, leading to a huge drop in share price. The company is shifting focus from viewing-hours reports to prioritizing revenue and operating profit, aiming for new growth avenues including advertising and video games. Competition is intensifying, but Netflix remains confident in its performance, highlighting healthy engagement and plans to leverage technology and live events to support its growth strategy. The problem wasn't the headline numbers, but rather the forward guidance. In this era of the market, when forecast disappoints, the price reprices immediately, even if the results were just fine. I'm definitely going to load the dip, but it's not going to be a pretty ride. @Captain's Treasure

PayPal - the typical undervalued falling knife that one should avoid. As a long term investor myself, I haven't touched the stock since $60-$80 range and I'm glad to have exited my position long ago. Yes it is an undervalued stock with a reasonable p/e ratio. However, PayPal's earnings have been incredibly unstable, with declining revenue growth and margin pressures being the main reasons behind its drop off. Despite the reported takeover, I still think this could be a value trap until I finally start seeing solid fundamentals in its earnings report and a growth direction set by the company or whoever that eventually buys over.

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) Investors reacted positively to a lower CPI in June, indicating a month over month inflation decrease of 0.4%, primarily due to falling energy prices. This decline benefits rate-sensitive sectors like fintech, REITs, and homebuilders, as the likelihood of an imminent rate hike diminished significantly after the CPI release. Sofi earns most of its income from lending, especially personal and student loans, but demand for these loan refinancing had been dormant during the high-rate regime. A steady-rate environment may not trigger a stampede of refinancings, but it could help revitalize the company’s sleepy student loan refinance program. I am still targeting a long term recovery to the mid $20s before the next bullish cyclical cycle. @Captain's Treasure

1A, 2A, 3A

June CPI came in lower than expected and the markets cheered slightly. Software stocks turned positive by closing while massive capital was flowing back into chips and memory stocks. However, I still hold a neutral stance as the macro risk is still very real. With companies starting to report earnings from the end of the month, I will be paying close attention to what they have to say.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) While a host of AI names have delivered massive gains, MSFT stock has shed 24% by being on the wrong side of the AI trade. Essentially, investors are worried that its massive AI infrastructure build-out won't generate the desired profits, while concerns that AI models could reduce the value of traditional software have also weighed on sentiment. Cloud computing and data centers are the keys. Msft remains a leader in cloud computing, a market expected to reach roughly $1.3 trillion in 2026 and potentially expand to $2.28 trillion by the end of the decade. The company is also positioned right at the heart of the data center boom, with that market forecast to grow from around $425 billion in 2026 to $902 billion by 2033, representing an 11% CAGR. Long term potential is still intact. @Captain's Treasure

1B, 2A, 3A

Oil spiked above $80/barrel as the war threat is back on. Bearish pressure looms with June CPI report coming out later as well. Now may be a good time to DCA into etfs or even look to start a position in a stock that you like at a more reasonable price following the pullback. However, I would still keep most of my cash ready for a further pullback when it comes later on.

$NIO Inc(NIO.US) Nio shares rose approximately 2% following Goldman Sachs analyst Tina Hou's upgrade to Buy with a price target of $7.00. Hou foresees strong growth for Nio, predicting a 43% increase in volume and a 60% increase in revenue for 2026, despite a 14% decline in the Chinese NEV market. She emphasizes the stock's attractive valuation compared to competitors, noting it is trading at significant discounts relative to expected price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios. With significant improvements and clear directions in every earnings call so far, I believe the recent dip is an accumulation period for those who missed out buying when it was $3 or those who bought at slightly higher prices of $6. @Captain's Treasure

In an AI era where everyone is actively leveraging on the latest technology for accessibility, my imagination for the integration of AI into investing can be discussed through 3 points:

1. Personal Assistant - I believe majority of the people have a regular 9 to 5 job without having the time or energy to keep a close lookout for stocks information or to research a company's performance thoroughly. That's where AI steps in to act like a PA to help swiftly consolidate any information/news for us on the go. Brief review of our holdings after a session, breaking headlines and how they could affect us, or even the hottest momentum stocks that are surging. This info could be crucial for investors who lack the time & effort to do every minute detail by himself.

2. Acting on behalf through commands - Aside from investors, many traders, especially the amateurs who just started out, wish they have an AI/robot that could help them to carry out trades throughout the session without having them to glue themselves to the screen for hours. I imagine AI to eventually be able to do simple but accurate coding based on commands to be able to build a software to allow traders to key in their conditions and let AI do the work. Ofc this would require AI to be advanced and efficient.

3. Personalised Recommendations - I imagine AI to be able to understand me through my search & chat history, portfolio holdings as well as personality. This would then allow AI to know my risk tolerance, what kind of portfolio I want to build, and more importantly, providing insightful and personalised recommendations. Not just say memory sector is imploding right now, and you should invest early; I imagine AI to be able to give more than just surface information, but more of when and why I should enter a trade/investment into a certain sector or equity.

I am genuinely amazed at how efficient Longbridge is in improving its platform and is looking forward to the presentation on 15 July!

@Captain's Watch

This week could be a volatile week with CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Wed. With Iran closing Strait of Hormuz again, precious metals continue to slide. I'll also be tuning in to Netflix's earnings on Friday morning to learn more on the past quarter's results as well as their ambitions and targets moving forward, particularly with their 2 times failed M&A in the first half of the year.