Fattycat

📊 Jobs report beat expectations. 🤗 what does it mean for your portfolio?

The latest US labor market data shows surprising strength:

1️⃣ Nonfarm payrolls surged to 162K (vs. 55K expected)

2️⃣ Unemployment held steady at 4.1%

3️⃣ Private sector hiring led the charge with 127K jobs

Strong economy. Strong job report. What’s next for rates?

Now the markets are split ~50/50 on whether the Fed will raise or hold steady at their next meeting

🔷 Market Reaction:

Potential rate hikes typically create short-term headwinds for non-yielding assets like Gold (as bond yields rise) and risk-on assets like Crypto (as liquidity tightens).

Below is the breakdown infographic.

How do you position for portfolio now? 🙄🙄

Not financial advice. Please do your own DD 😘.

$Seagate Tech(STX.US)

🤔 Is Seagate (STX) Too Pricey to Buy Now?

I came across a post about Seagate and decided to dig deeper as I am always on the hunt for value stocks!

Here is what I found:

🔷The Turnaround Story Is Impressive

1️⃣ FY2026 revenue: US$12.2B

2️⃣ Gross margin surged from 32.9% → 52.3% in just 8 quarters 🚀

3️⃣ Free cash flow: ~US$3.1B ✅

But the Stock Has Rerated Hard and I realise that there is NO Margin of Safety ⚠️

At US$798.61, Seagate trades at 56x trailing P/E and 23.3x forward P/E.

There is effectively no margin of safety here. A margin of safety means buying at a discount to intrinsic value to protect you if things go slightly wrong, no buffer to protect you. The current share price already assumes perfect execution.

🔷 Compared to peers:

• Western Digital: 22.7x forward P/E

• Micron: 13.2x

• SanDisk: 7.1x

• Seagate: 23.3x — 🏆 the highest of the group!

On EV/Operating Income, the gap is even clearer:

Seagate at 42.8x 🏆 ,

Western Digital at 34.3x

Micron and SanDisk at just 17.9x.

So yes, Seagate is trading at a clear premium and that premium leaves no room for error.😔

🔷 The Big Question: Can Earnings Justify the Price?

The market is already pricing in a strong FY2027. The consensus EPS is around US$34.33. If EPS reaches US$38–41.50, the valuation becomes more reasonable.

But here’s the risk: because there’s no margin of safety, any earnings miss has an oversized impact.

Currently, STX is down 30% from June’s US$1,144 peak. It looks cheaper than before but it is not exactly cheap based on the valuation ratio compare to peers.

Great business momentum but expensive valuation with very high expectations already built in plus and no margin of safety to fall back on.

Would you buy STX at US$798 or wait for a better entry point that offers a real margin of safety? 👇

Not financial advice. Do your own DD.

Tonight is damn critical. Kevin Warsh likes data. Hence, NFP will rock the market tonight. Only two ways: way up or way down.

Choose wisely ☺️. Cannot take stress. Close your app 😆😆and drink kopi.

Also, I fully back Canada’s retaliatory tariffs against US. Sovereignty isn’t up for compromise and it can still be win-win! Canadian is so lucky that they have Mark Carney as PM.Firm and decisive.

$BYD COMPANY(01211.HK)

BYD (1211.HK): Short-Term Pain or Global Pivot in Progress?

As a BYD shareholder, I admit that I am worrying to see the share price drift lower day after day. 😟

Is BYD falling because China’s market is saturated ……or it is building a solid base before its next global leg higher?

Here’s the full 1H 2026 breakdown:

🔷 Fundamentals - Price War Pressure and its Overseas Strength

• Revenue -7.13% YoY to RMB 344.82B; Net Profit -20.54% YoY to RMB 12.33B, hit hard by fierce domestic price wars

• Overseas revenue crossed 52.57% of total for the first time! Gross margin overseas: 21.71% vs domestic 15.67%. Exports +67.8% YoY → 792,000 units 🌍

• R&D investment: RMB 28.9B, reinvesting heavily in next-gen Blade Battery and charging infrastructure 🔋

🔷 Technicals - Are Institutions Buying the Dip?

• Daily Delta Volume +11.87%, more buying than selling, signaling institutional accumulation ☺️

• Immediate support: HK$81.93

• Resistance: HK$90.11 (20-week SMA), then HK$95.00–97.50

Overseas growth is now BYD’s margin shield as China nears peak saturation.

Are you accumulating at these support levels, or waiting for a breakout above resistance? 👇

I am confident with my holding and ride the green dragon to global frontiers 🐉.

Part 2:

And that, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note has reached a three-year high and is hovering near the 5% level now.

Further to that, small to big “little action”, The Dutch central bank has shifted a “SIGNIFICANT” portion of its gold reserves out of the U.S. and Canada to London, citing growing geopolitical instability.

This move is part of a broader trend across Europe. France, which repatriated all its gold held at the New York Fed between July 2025 and January 2026. 📦🌍

Anything for us to deep dive further to the above news beside corporate news?

Part 1 :

STI index may be performing exceptionally good now but do aware the following news that may concern you as investor. Market can surprise everyone when institutions investors decided to pullback their investment funds anytime. I seen that many times.

According to today’s headline in The Straits Times, the bond sell-off is deepening as concerns over inflation and oil prices continue to grow. Is it a warning sign to stock market investors?

To continue….

$Gold.com(GOLD.US)

🪙📉 Gold Deep Dive: Buy Now, or Wait?

Gold has tumbled from the mid-$4,600s. It is around $4,307 now.

Let’s deep dive into 4H chart and the fundamentals:

📊 Technical View (4H Chart)

• Price broke well below the 20 SMA ($4,415) and is testing the lower Bollinger Band near $4,246

• 14-period RSI = 25.83. It is in deep oversold territory. Downside is stretched, so a short-term bounce could happen anytime ✨

🏛️ What’s Moving Gold Now

• Markets price a 35%–60% chance of a Fed rate hike in September.

Higher rates weigh heavily on non-yielding gold😔

• NFP = THE big catalyst this Friday: strong jobs → USD up → gold down; weak jobs → gold could rebound sharply

💡 3 Ways to Play It

• Buy now (pre-NFP): High risk — but catches the oversold bounce early

• Wait for NFP result: Medium risk — confirm support around $4,300 first

• Wait post-Fed: Lowest risk — trade the confirmed trend, don’t catch a falling knife

What’s your move before NFP? Let me know! 👇

Not financial advice. Personal view. Please do your DD.

$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SG)

🚀 Keppel DC REIT Goes Big in Tokyo - What It Means for Unitholders!

Huge move in the data centre space!

Keppel DC REIT is buying an 88.62% stake in two fully-occupied hyperscale data centres in Greater Tokyo, a S$1.37 billion deal!

🔑 What You Need to Know:

1️⃣ Strategic Growth :

Japan’s rental share jumps from 9% → 23%, deepening its footprint in one of the world’s top digital hubs.

2️⃣ How It’s Funded :

S$600M+ private placement at S$2.10/unit (4.4% discount) + JPY debt = natural currency hedge!

3️⃣ DPU Accretive :

Unit base up 12.2% but pro forma DPU still rises +2.6% (from 10.381¢ → 10.649¢) ✅

4️⃣ Leverage Up :

Gearing climbs from 34.0% → 38.0%, leaving less room for future buys.

5️⃣ Track Record :

This is the 7th equity raise in 10 years.

And based on historically data, DPU has recovered and grown over time!

Full breakdown in the infographic 👇

The financials, dilution history and key watch items!

Not financial advice . Please do your own DD 😘and love you 🥰.

$JD-SW(09618.HK)

JD.com Update -In the Red and I remain Convicted! 🧭

Bought 100 shares of JD-SW (09618) at HK$110.50 on Aug 28. It is currently at HK$107.50, down roughly -2.8%.

The current P/E at ~16.9x, dividend yield ~3.7%. It is looking increasingly reasonable for a top Chinese e-commerce giant.

Short-term price wobbles do not change the long-term story. I am watching closely for it to go lower. If the fundamentals stay strong, this could be a great entry point to add more! 💪

Who is holding JD too? What is your thoughts? Let’s discuss😁

Economists has just raised Singapore's 2026 growth forecast to 5% according to MAS survey. Does your company doing well now 🤔. I think only Electronics , Memory and AI business doing well .

Traditional business are suffering . Do you agree?

Gold, silver , REITs, Hang Seng Tech …… all dropping like nobody business🫣 .

All feeling the heat after Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.😔 Coming NFP will be scary numbers 🫣….

$CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SG)

CapLand Ascendas REIT -Added Another 500 Shares! 🛒

Just bought another 500 units of CapLand Ascendas REIT at S$2.42! 😁

Current total holding now stands at 1,900 shares and I prepared to keep accumulating while SG REITs are under pressure.

Weak market = bargain prices 😁

My plan: Keep adding gradually over the next few months. REITs are long-term plays. Volatility is my good friend. Volatility just means better entry points for income investors! 💪

Who’s also accumulating SG REITs at these levels? 🤣

Scare don’t buy. Buy don’t scare🥹🫣😂

I expect Shein to underperform in its upcoming IPO. There’s been a lot of negative news surrounding the listing and it is likely take years for them to truly deliver on expectations. I think buy tech stock and REITs 🤭

Anyway, SG REITs are bleeding now! 🫢 Looks like bargain-hunting season for me 😂 Anyone buying 🙄