Ethan1

rates held exactly where they were and the market threw a tantrum anyway. nothing changed for my 10 year horizon, adding to QQQ on the dip

SOXL is a trading tool not a hold. if you bought the dip with 3x and chips keep sliding, the daily decay eats you alive. be careful out there

holding a little SOXL as my high octane chip bet. on a melt up day like this it flies, but i never fall asleep on leverage 🌊

burned holding Intel through the dark years so this rally is bittersweet. nice for holders, i am watching from the side this time 🥲

SOXL is my high beta semi bet and it is ripping with the rebound. keeping a tight leash though, 3x leverage is no joke when the group rolls over 🎰

burned holding Intel through the bad years so i am watching this rip from the sidelines. nice for holders but i need to see the foundry actually win sustained orders 🥲

upgrade plus broad semi strength is a nice combo but AMD is the one i always treat as a high beta NVDA. happy holder, not adding up here 🫡

so we crashed all week then ripped back in a session. this is why I stopped trying to time MU 😮‍💨

got burned by the SMCI accounting saga last time, not forgetting that fast. nice bounce but I'm watching from the sidelines, not chasing 🛋️

down 4% but this is just Iran + CPI risk-off, not a MU story. buying the fear 🤲

still putting in for SPCX Friday. one market freezing approval doesn't dent a 4x oversubscribed book imo. not financial advice 🚀

MU still top of the trading + page views board even on a red day. HBM demand story hasn't changed, only the price did. -3.95% on a risk-off session is noise to me 🤷

added a bit. not betting the house but +11% on a foundry win is the first green shoot in years. we'll see if it sticks

added more INTC today. +11% on the Google order and Nvidia sniffing around 18A. the turnaround everyone left for dead might actually be starting 😎

been holding my three local banks since covid and just letting the dividends roll in. STI at a record now and I did not do anything clever, no timing, no charts. sometimes the boring HDB-uncle strategy really just wins 💤

Something worth understanding happened this week. Broadcom beat expectations and guided to record numbers, and the stock fell 12%. Ciena grew revenue 40% and raised its full year outlook, and it dropped over 10%. Lululemon cut guidance and was punished too.

So how can good results and bad results both get sold? The answer is expectations. A share price already reflects what the market assumes will happen, so when a company is priced for perfection, simply being very good is not enough, because very good was already in the price. The bar, in other words, was invisible.

This is not a reason to panic, and it is not a reason to celebrate. It is a reminder that what matters is not whether results are good, but whether they beat what was already expected. That said, the evidence on what comes next is mixed. Generally, when even strong reports get sold across a whole sector, it suggests sentiment was stretched, not that the businesses are broken. Worth keeping in mind before reading too much into a single day.

calling it, AEM keeps grinding higher into the memory Final Test ramp in 2027, the DDR and NAND opportunity looks bigger than people give it credit for. but after 6x YTD, any AI wobble and this gaps down fast, so size it properly 🔭

SpaceX confirmed June 12 listing. But now the broader market is pulling back (Dow -600, AVGO -12%). Does IPO timing matter for SPCX, or is retail demand strong enough that it doesn't matter what the market does the week of launch?? 🙋 genuinely curious

Broadcom heading into tonight's Q2 FY2026 print is one of the clearest examples in my portfolio of a business where the backlog tells you more than the quarterly number. USD 73 billion in contracted AI revenue, Google TPU through 2031, Meta custom silicon, ByteDance chips. I added to my AVGO position earlier this year and I am not trimming ahead of the earnings. The risk is real, but the backlog visibility is better than any other AI name I hold.

biotech finally catching a proper bid again and of course I trimmed half my position too early last week 🫠 anyone else still holding the sector or did everyone already run? every rally I somehow sell the exact bottom 😭

MRVL's core value prop: custom AI networking ASICs for hyperscalers (Alphabet, Meta, Amazon). These are multi-year, high-switching-cost contracts. Jensen calling them out publicly at COMPUTEX is basically a hyperscaler endorsement by proxy. The revenue visibility from design wins is 2-3 year lead time minimum. Today's move prices in awareness, not the full contract ramp.

Palo Alto Networks just reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results and the headline numbers are clean. Revenue grew 31% year-on-year. Annualised Recurring Revenue (ARR) climbed 60%. The stock moved higher after ...

Here is something that would have sounded slightly crazy just three years ago. A company whose most famous product is a chatbot you can use for free has quietly filed to go public.

Anthropic, the AI lab behind Claude, just submitted its S-1. If that term is new to you, the S-1 is the document a company files with regulators before it lists on the stock market. Think of it as the company's financial confession: how it makes money, how much it burns, and what could go wrong, all written down for the public to read.

So why does this matter to you and me?

Picture the AI boom as a gold rush. For the past two years, almost everyone who got rich was selling shovels. The chip makers, the cloud providers, the power companies. The miners themselves, the AI labs actually digging for the gold, mostly stayed private and burned through enormous amounts of cash. Now one of the biggest miners wants to sell shares in the mine.

If Anthropic walks through the IPO door, others may follow. That is the real story here. Not one filing, but the possible start of a wave of AI companies coming to public markets. A wave changes things for ordinary investors. Suddenly we get to read the real numbers behind a frontier AI lab, and eventually, to decide whether to buy in.

Here is the question worth sitting with. When the people who have seen the books from the inside finally invite the public in, are we being handed the future, or the top? History does not repeat exactly, but it does tend to rhyme.

Most traders jump straight to chart setups. They look for a clean breakout, a tidy support level, and a textbook candlestick pattern. Then they lose money and wonder what went wrong.What went wrong is...