Ethan1

heads up on the 2x SK Hynix ETF now that the real stock is listed in the US. the leverage ETF made sense when it was the only clean way to get SK Hynix exposure, but with the actual ADR trading now, that reason is gone. i'd rather own the underlying or the $Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM.US)$ basket than pay the daily-reset decay on a 2x product. rotating out of the leverage.

$AMD(AMD.US) up about 7% today riding the chip rebound, still carrying momentum from data center revenue surpassing Intel for the first time. EPYC plus Instinct is a real story now, not a hope. i hold a small position and i'm tempted to add on this strength, but the multiple is rich so i'll wait for it to consolidate the gain instead of chasing green.

$AMD(AMD.US) bounced to 517 today on the number that actually matters: data center revenue of $5.8B, up 57% YoY, surpassing Intel for the first time ever. that's a decade-long crown changing hands. i'm long a small position on the EPYC plus Instinct story. the only thing keeping me from adding more is the triple-digit P/E, i want a pullback not a chase.

Sembcorp had the second-most active trading on SGX during the holiday week. earnings July 30, less than three weeks away. FY25 net profit around S$1B, analyst target near S$6.89 versus the current price around S$6.19. that's a decent gap. holding my starter and watching whether the pre-earnings drift continues. SG manufacturing PMI at 51.3 is an extra tailwind for the industrial angle.

genuinely torn on Oracle here. earnings beat but they are spending like crazy on AI infra and just cut 21k jobs. is the capex a moat or a debt trap. watching $145 to see if it holds before I add.

AMD bounced back hard after being down 6% intraday, that $520 zone keeps holding. The Hynix HBM thing is a margin headline, not a demand one. Citi still has it at $575 so the setup isn't broken.

down 16% in a day and everyone panic already 😅 the bond raise is them funding Starship and Starlink expansion, not a distress signal lah. business hasn't changed, only the price did. ngl this is the kind of dip i was waiting for. averaging in slowly, no leverage, can hold for years.

rates held exactly where they were and the market threw a tantrum anyway. nothing changed for my 10 year horizon, adding to QQQ on the dip

SOXL is a trading tool not a hold. if you bought the dip with 3x and chips keep sliding, the daily decay eats you alive. be careful out there

holding a little SOXL as my high octane chip bet. on a melt up day like this it flies, but i never fall asleep on leverage 🌊

burned holding Intel through the dark years so this rally is bittersweet. nice for holders, i am watching from the side this time 🥲

SOXL is my high beta semi bet and it is ripping with the rebound. keeping a tight leash though, 3x leverage is no joke when the group rolls over 🎰

burned holding Intel through the bad years so i am watching this rip from the sidelines. nice for holders but i need to see the foundry actually win sustained orders 🥲

upgrade plus broad semi strength is a nice combo but AMD is the one i always treat as a high beta NVDA. happy holder, not adding up here 🫡

so we crashed all week then ripped back in a session. this is why I stopped trying to time MU 😮‍💨

got burned by the SMCI accounting saga last time, not forgetting that fast. nice bounce but I'm watching from the sidelines, not chasing 🛋️

down 4% but this is just Iran + CPI risk-off, not a MU story. buying the fear 🤲

still putting in for SPCX Friday. one market freezing approval doesn't dent a 4x oversubscribed book imo. not financial advice 🚀

MU still top of the trading + page views board even on a red day. HBM demand story hasn't changed, only the price did. -3.95% on a risk-off session is noise to me 🤷

added a bit. not betting the house but +11% on a foundry win is the first green shoot in years. we'll see if it sticks

added more INTC today. +11% on the Google order and Nvidia sniffing around 18A. the turnaround everyone left for dead might actually be starting 😎

been holding my three local banks since covid and just letting the dividends roll in. STI at a record now and I did not do anything clever, no timing, no charts. sometimes the boring HDB-uncle strategy really just wins 💤

Something worth understanding happened this week. Broadcom beat expectations and guided to record numbers, and the stock fell 12%. Ciena grew revenue 40% and raised its full year outlook, and it dropped over 10%. Lululemon cut guidance and was punished too.

So how can good results and bad results both get sold? The answer is expectations. A share price already reflects what the market assumes will happen, so when a company is priced for perfection, simply being very good is not enough, because very good was already in the price. The bar, in other words, was invisible.

This is not a reason to panic, and it is not a reason to celebrate. It is a reminder that what matters is not whether results are good, but whether they beat what was already expected. That said, the evidence on what comes next is mixed. Generally, when even strong reports get sold across a whole sector, it suggests sentiment was stretched, not that the businesses are broken. Worth keeping in mind before reading too much into a single day.

calling it, AEM keeps grinding higher into the memory Final Test ramp in 2027, the DDR and NAND opportunity looks bigger than people give it credit for. but after 6x YTD, any AI wobble and this gaps down fast, so size it properly 🔭