$Tesla(TSLA.US) some support at 280 but 265 is the level I am watching.
TSLA260109C430000.US
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Update: It's been 29 days since Michael Burry publicly went bearish on Tesla $Tesla(TSLA.US)
It's down ~27% since
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A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.
Here's a full recap:1. SK Hynix $SK Hynix(SKHY.US) reported Q2’26 revenue of $54.6B vs $57.7B expected, up 257% YoY and 51% QoQ, while operating profit came in at $41.6B vs $44.2B expected, up 557% YoY. Operating margin hit a record 76%, with gross margin at 83% and EBITDA of $44.4B, or an 81% margin. Pricing remained extremely strong, with DRAM ASP up ~30% QoQ and NAND ASP up mid-50% QoQ, while Q3 guidance calls for DRAM bit growth of about 10% QoQ and NAND bit growth in the low-single digits. SK Hynix also said HBM4 shipments began in Q2 with a full ramp planned in 2H, while HBM4E samples were supplied to a major customer in 1H. Net profit surged to $64.6B, boosted by $43.5B of investment-asset gains, meaning net income exceeded revenue due to $42.8B of non-operating profit.2. The Trump administration is proposing a change that would allow the FAA to waive certain environmental review requirements for commercial launch sites, rocket launches, and spacecraft reentries, according to WSJ. The move could speed up approvals as annual launches and reentries are expected to rise from 214 this fiscal year to more than 500 over the next decade. SpaceX $SpaceX(SPCX.US), Rocket Lab $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US), Blue Origin, and Stoke Space could benefit, though the proposal still has to go through public comment.3. U.S. Central Command said IRGC forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran today in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces stationed in the Middle East. CENTCOM said all Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted and that U.S. forces remain on high alert and ready to respond. Oil was up 5% after hours on the news even though it went down 4% today on earlier reports that Egypt, Qatar, and Pakistan were working to bring back the original MOU between the US and Iran. No updates on that original MOU coming back are in place yet, but the attacks after hours showcased further escalation. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 2.4M contracts, $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 1.7M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 1.0M contracts, $Intel(INTC.US) with 820K contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 750K contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 737K contracts, $AMD(AMD.US) with 573K contracts, $SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) with 558K contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 495K contracts, and $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) with 461K contracts.5. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) CEO Jensen Huang reportedly met with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick as Nvidia faces growing scrutiny over China chip exports, per Axios. The meeting comes while the Commerce Department investigates potential violations tied to Nvidia’s Blackwell shipments to China, though the details of their discussion were not disclosed. Huang is also meeting with lawmakers from both parties as Washington prepares a broader AI framework covering advanced models, open-source AI, and China, expected by August 1.6. OpenAI and Anthropic are reportedly lobbying the Trump administration ahead of an August 1 deadline for deciding which frontier AI models should face government evaluation, per The Information. The companies want rival models from players like Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US) and SpaceXAI included as well. Qualifying models could be subject to review at least 30 days before release if they raise cybersecurity or national-security concerns. OpenAI and Anthropic are also warning about Chinese open-source models allegedly built in part using their outputs, citing privacy, IP theft, and cybersecurity risks.7. Moonshot AI is reportedly looking for more Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) Blackwell chips as it discusses Kimi K4, a model expected to be significantly larger than its 2.8T-parameter Kimi K3, per The Information. K3 was reportedly trained partly in China using Blackwell chips accessed through multiple Chinese cloud providers, with Moonshot linking separate 8-chip servers across providers and data centers because no single provider had enough capacity. Inference is now another constraint, with Moonshot pausing new subscriptions within 48 hours of launch as demand overwhelmed capacity. The company reportedly uses Nvidia H20 chips for inference and recommends at least 64 chips to host K3. The report also says Alibaba trained its 2.4T-parameter Qwen3.8-Max using Nvidia chips, including Blackwell.8. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said a compute oversupply could emerge within 2 years if AI models become efficient enough to handle most tasks while human attention becomes the real bottleneck. He also said oversupply risk could rise if the industry hits a scaling wall and costs stop falling, making additional compute less economically attractive.9. Bloom Energy $Bloom Energy(BE.US) crushed Q2’26 earnings, with revenue rising 166% YoY to $1.07B vs $827.6M expected and adjusted EPS jumping 680% YoY to $0.78 vs $0.41 expected. Product revenue surged 215.4% YoY to $935.4M, while adjusted gross margin expanded 604 bps to 34.3%. Bloom also raised FY26 guidance, now expecting revenue of $3.9B–$4.2B vs $3.73B expected and adjusted EPS of $2.55–$2.85 vs $2.16 expected. Management said all major U.S. hyperscalers, plus over a dozen neoclouds, AI labs, and data center operators, have approved Bloom’s power solutions for AI factories, calling Bloom a new standard for AI onsite power.10. ADP data shows U.S. private hiring has slowed for the fifth straight week, averaging just 15,000 jobs per week through July 11, less than half the 35,750 weekly pace seen in early May. At the same time, Visa $Visa(V.US) is reportedly cutting 7% of its workforce, or about 2,600 jobs, adding to signs that labor-market momentum is cooling.11. Retail investors are leaning heavily into Big Tech upside, with call options on U.S. Big Tech stocks now making up roughly 55% of all new retail options positions on a 20-day average basis, near the highest level on record. This tracks newly opened call positions, not total volume, making it a clearer read on directional retail bets. The figure is up 10 percentage points since the late-March market bottom, compared with a 57% peak during the 2020 pandemic rebound and a 35% low during the 2022 bear market.12. Every component in the semiconductor index $SOX is now trading below its 50-day moving average for the first time since April 2025, a sharp reversal from early June when all 30 members were above that level. The SOX is down 18.9% so far in July, putting it on pace for its worst monthly decline since 2008, and now trades 11% below its 50-day moving average, the widest gap since March 30. Despite the pullback, semis remain up 63% YTD. Meanwhile, the semiconductor ETF $SMH has seen $1.3B of outflows month-to-date, tracking toward its second-largest monthly outflow on record.WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.Source: amit
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Sold some $BRK.B to raise some cash💰
Bought more $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Tesla(TSLA.US) long calls
Not investment advice!
- 菜
$Tesla(TSLA.US)Tesla remains one of the most exciting companies to follow because it continues to innovate in electric vehicles, autonomous driving, and AI technology. Although the share price has been quite volatile recently, I still believe Tesla has strong long-term growth potential. The expansion of its Robotaxi business and continuous software improvements show that the company is investing in the future. In my opinion, Tesla is still worth investing in if I am prepared for short-term price fluctuations and focus on its long-term vision rather than daily market movements.
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - G
U.S. stocks slipped as a deepening chipmaker rout spurred by the plunge in Korean semiconductor stocks and AI spending doubts outweighed gains from lower oil prices and treasury yields. Brent crude fell 3.5% to $85 amid an extended U.S.-Iran pause and Hormuz talks; 10-year yields eased to 4.61% ahead of a Fed meeting widely expected to hold rates. Big Tech and consumer earnings loom, with focus on AI capex. S&P 2026 EPS estimates have risen +25% YoY to $346 (21.4x P/E). I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) due to declining forward earnings estimates, the likely commoditization of unsupervised autonomy technology, and a seemingly excessive valuation.
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🔥 Earnings Season Challenge #2: MSFT, META, AAPL & AMZN — Who Wins the Week?
📊 How Challenge #1 went33 valid calls came in. All three stocks fell — so the "winner" was simply whoever fell least:🥇 INTC −5.4% 🥈 GOOGL −8.9% 🥉 TSLA −18.9%✅ 76% of you named INTC the winner. The cro...
Earnings Week: MSFT, META, AAPL & AMZN Report - F
Tesla’s Optimus could become its most valuable business over the next decade—if execution matches ambition. I’m bullish long term, but commercialization, manufacturing scale, and AI reliability remain the biggest hurdles.
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Retakes the Crown as Nvidia, SK Hynix Slide
Nvidia's biggest bet is looking shaky. Nvidia (NVDA) sank about 5%, its worst day since February, on fears its reported $250B OpenAI financing guarantee is circular financing in disguise, handing Appl...
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I expect $Tesla(TSLA.US) to fall below $300/share and $SpaceX(SPCX.US) to break $100/share in the coming weeks on valuation concerns. Both trade at FY’26 P/E in excess of 175x which seems excessive as AI-related valuations continue to unravel.
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As I have mentioned before, this market is long overdue for a proper correction and memory stocks could be the first to lead it down.
CXMT’s upcoming listing isn’t just another semiconductor IPO. It’s a direct challenge and a far bigger threat to SK Hynix, Micron and every other player in this space. Yesterday’s sharp drop in memory stocks?
It could be a healthy correction or it could already be pricing in this new competition. Either way, the market has spoken and we can all see it.
How far will this pullback go? I expect it to be short‑term. But over the medium run, memory stocks must deliver on their growth story ,just like Tesla. If cannot deliver, the market will punish them hard.
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Retakes the Crown as Nvidia, SK Hynix Slide
Nvidia's biggest bet is looking shaky. Nvidia (NVDA) sank about 5%, its worst day since February, on fears its reported $250B OpenAI financing guarantee is circular financing in disguise, handing Appl...
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$SpaceX(SPCX.US)
🤖 Is SpaceX’s AI Being Valued At Zero?
That’s the big question facing SPCX as it keeps sliding post‑IPO.
⏰ The $100 Inflection Point:
The idea that hitting $100 means SpaceX’s AI business is worth zero comes directly from top Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas.
At that price level, the market would effectively value all AI projects including Grok and the Cursor acquisition at absolutely nothing.
⏰ Why The Doubt?
Investors worry about the massive capital needed for AI infrastructure, especially compared to the proven cash flow from its Space & Starlink operations.
⏰Where It Stands Now:
After peaking at $225.64, shares have fallen sharply to ~$110.85 (well below the $135 IPO price) .
⏰ More Supply Coming:
Coming 6 August brings the first major lock‑up expiry, releasing up to 911.5 million shares. It is effectively doubling current free float and adding more pressure.
Even so, Morgan Stanley stays bullish with a $300 price target, calling current levels an attractive entry point.
They point to recent wins like the 13th Starship test flight and next year’s NASA moon mission as proof execution stays firmly on track.
Is the market overreacting or has the AI hype run too far ahead? 🛰️🤔
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$SpaceX(SPCX.US) merger with $Tesla(TSLA.US) looks less likely today.
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Before 1896, British law required that each car be driven by at least three people, with a speed limit of no more than 3 miles per hour, and that a person carrying a red flag run in front of the car.
Whenever new technology emerges, various laws and regulations are introduced to constrain it; the current Robotaxi is no exception.
Looking back years from now, this might seem incredible 🤔
- 菜
$Tesla(TSLA.US)Tesla shares dropped sharply following a disappointing second-quarter earnings report, which missed profit expectations, showed negative free cash flow, and highlighted massive spending increases on artificial intelligence and robotics.
Earnings and Profit Miss
Lower profit per share: Reported adjusted earnings of $0.33 per share vs. $0.51 to $0.54 expected by Wall Street.
Shrinking margins:
Automotive gross margins compressed due to vehicle price cuts and lower regulatory credit revenue.
Profit decline:
Total net income fell roughly 5% year-over-year.
Heavy Cash Burn and SpendingSurging capital expenditures:
Capital expenses more than doubled to $5.79 billion for the quarter.
Negative free cash flow:
The company burned through over $1.1 billion during the quarter.
Aggressive future guidance:
Executives stated that full-year spending will exceed $25 billion to fund robotaxis, AI infrastructure, and the Optimus humanoid robot.
Investor Concerns Over TimelineDelayed payoff: Investors grew worried about the slow rollout and heavy costs of Elon Musk’s long-promised robotaxi and robotics projects.
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - F
$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)$Intel(INTC.US)
Big Tech Pullback: What Changed and What Didn’t?
Over a week :
* 🔻 Tesla: -18.92%
* 🔻 Alphabet: -7.10%
* 🔻 Intel: -5.41%
The market reacted sharply to earnings, rising AI investment, higher capital expenditure and a more cautious investor sentiment. The underlying stories for each tech stocks are different for each company.
📌 Tesla faces greater execution risks as it ramps up AI and robotics spending.
📌 Intel continues its turnaround, with improving fundamentals despite the sell-off.
📌 Alphabet’s core business remains strong, although investors are concerned about the scale of its AI infrastructure investment.
Is this the start of a longer downturn or simply a valuation reset after high expectations?
The infographic summarised the key reasons behind the share price movements, whether fundamentals have changed and what it could mean for long-term investors.
👉 Refer to the infographic for a detailed breakdown and comparison.
Earnings Week: MSFT, META, AAPL & AMZN Report - T
$Tesla(TSLA.US)
I started averaging into Tesla recently and originally planned to trim the position before earnings. What I didn’t expect was how negatively the market would react to another quarter of negative free cash flow. It wasn‘t just about Tesla—the broader message was that investors have become far less tolerant of cash-burning AI and growth stories.
This really highlights how important interest rates are. When the cost of capital stays high, the market puts much more weight on near-term cash generation than long-term potential. Even companies with compelling growth narratives can struggle if free cash flow deteriorates.
For now, it feels like rates are driving valuations more than fundamentals. Until financing conditions ease, stocks investing heavily for future growth may continue to face an uphill battle, regardless of how attractive their long-term story looks.
@Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - K
🌟🌟🌟The simultaneous drop in $Tesla(TSLA.US)and $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US)share price coupled with Brent Crude oil piercing USD 100 signals a brutal macro change.
I would build immediate exposure to $SPDR Energy Select(XLE.US)as they represent the best US Energy giants like $ExxonMobil(XOM.US)and $Chevron(CVX.US)which would benefit from rising oil prices.
I would also pivot to $SPDR FD Consumer Staples(XLP.US)as this ETF serves as the ultimate safe haven equity anchor during periods of high stakes market volatility.
Consumers will cut back on buying tech gadgets and EVs before they stop buying groceries, medicine and household essentials.
XLP is a great defensive Buy as it is the perfect low cost vehicle to generate passive income and shield my capital from geopolitical inflation shocks.
While XLP is not an exciting play for explosive gains, it is a great strategy to protect my capital until the broader macro storm clears.
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Intel Soars as Big Tech Sheds $800B, Oil Breaks $100
It was the wildest night of earnings season. After the close Intel (INTC) roared back, jumping about 12% on its fastest revenue growth since 2011, but the rest of Big Tech went the other way: Tesla (T...
