📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: TSMC Develops AI Chip Packaging Tech to Counter Intel - Information - $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Intel(INTC.US)
GraniteShares 2x Long TSM Daily ETF
TSMU61.47812.37% ( +6.768 )
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Are we ready for another spin ?
Can’t help it, I wanted to hold this stock long term!
My little baby when are your rolling back upwards as a roller coaster does !$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)
🎢🛼🆙⬆️🙏😝
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - A
TSMC’s 1.4nm fab construction in central Taiwan is ahead of schedule despite the summer heat, and the first will be done by April, 2027, media report. The 1st phase of piling work is already done and construction of the central utility plant (CUP) and office buildings has already begun. Contracts for the first 2 of four fabs have been awarded to Dacin Construction and Fu Tsu Construction. Media cite Central Taiwan Science Park Director-General Maw-Shin Hsu for the information. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
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TSMC’s operation in Kumamoto, Japan is recovering and will need some time to recalibrate equipment after the 7.1-magnitude earthquake, tripping safety systems and halting production, media report. TSMC said the fab structure, water supply, power and safety systems are all normal, and detailed inspections continue. Construction of the 2nd fab has resumed.
Japan’s Sony Semiconductor, Renesas and Tokyo Electron also halted production and are undertaking safety inspections. (Note: TSMC is no stranger to earthquakes. The Kumamoto fab could be back in full production in a week. The amount of time it takes will tell us a lot about the damage.) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Sony(SONY.US) $RNECY $Tokyo Electron(TOELY.US) #Japan #Kumamoto #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
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TSMC evacuated all fab workers at its Japan subsidiary in Kumamoto after a 7.1-magnitude earthquake struck the prefecture, media report, adding all are safe and accounted for. Employees returned to the fab after its structural integrity was confirmed and began inspecting lines and assessing damage. Nearby construction has stopped due to expected aftershocks. Taiwan officials say investments in the area remain so far unaffected. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #Kumamoto #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
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Sold some $BRK.B to raise some cash💰
Bought more $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Tesla(TSLA.US) long calls
Not investment advice!
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TSMC’s hometown in Japan is building the ‘Kumamoto Science Park’ and has already inked an MOU to work with Taiwan’s Hsinchu Science Park to cooperate in semiconductors, startup development, industrial exchange, supply chain resilience and more, media report, adding Taiwan’s Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI) also signed an MOU to work with the science park to strengthen industrial, academic and research kinks between Taiwan and Japan. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) #semiconductors #SciencePark #Kumamoto
Source: Dan Nystedt
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MediaTek and Qualcomm are both raising prices on smartphone chips in the 3rd quarter due to rising costs across the supply chain – including wafers, packaging materials, services, etc. – caused by the AI data center build out, media report, with MediaTek price increases already in place and Qualcomm’s due Sep. 1.
-MediaTek’s latest Dimensity 9600 Pro chip, made on TSMC’s 2nm process, rumored at US$216 per chip, up 8%-20% vs Dimensity 9500. -Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 Pro, also TSMC N2, is said to cost over $300 each, aimed at high end handsets. -Smartphone prices are already starting to rise. $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) #Mediatek #semiconductorsSource: Dan Nystedt
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BofA: United Microelectronics
Rating & Price Objective Changes> Price Objective (PO): Raised from NT$63 to NT$120 (and ADR PO raised from US$9.96 to US$18.97), based on a 17x target 2027E P/E multiple (up from 15x, sitting in the upper half of its historical 2x–25x range). Earnings & Financial Forecasts> EPS Estimates: Adjusted to NT$5.11 for 2026E, NT$7.09 for 2027E, and NT$9.60 for 2028E, driven by improving capacity utilization and wafer pricing. > Revenue & Margins: Gross margins are projected to lift to 31.9% in 2026 and 36.9% in 2027 (based on 85% and 90% utilization rates, respectively), though analysts note these sit below overly aggressive market expectations of 40–45% GMs at full capacity. Core Investment Thesis & Skepticism> Overhyped Thematic Optimism: While UMC's foundational mature-node business is recovering, BofA believes market expectations are overly inflated regarding:1. Silicon Photonics: Projected to represent only a small fraction (3% in '27 and 6% in '28) of UMC's total sales. Specialty Memory Production: Viewed merely as a cyclical fab filler. 2. Intel Collaboration (12nm): Limited customer traction is anticipated. 3. Traditional Tech Exposure: Over 80% of UMC's sales remain tied to traditional tech products, presenting downside risks if inventory builds moderate and customer pushback on pricing intensifies. Industry & Mature Node Fundamentals> Supply & Demand Dynamics: Mature 12-inch industry utilization (ex-China) is projected to improve from the low-80% range in 2026 to 85–90% in 2027. 8-inch node fundamentals look even more encouraging, moving from high-80% utilization in 2026 to 90–95% in 2027. > Capacity Adjustments: Capacity output is influenced by decoupling trends, TSMC retiring older 6", 8", and mature 12" equipment (-130k WPM through 2025–2027), and Samsung cutting back 8" and selective mature 12" operations. Recent Performance & Near-Term Outlook> 2Q26 Tracking Stronger: Sales grew 13% QoQ, aligning with resilient consumer demand reported by major fabless players. > Caution Ahead: While 3Q26 could see resilient early builds (+10%) as customers try to get ahead of cost hikes, analysts advise caution regarding year-end inventory adjustments and pricing pushback.$United Microelectronics(UMC.US)
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The AI bubble might soon be popping:
$Sandisk(SNDK.US): -11.65%$AMD(AMD.US): -8.04%$Lam Research(LRCX.US): -7.19%$ASML(ASML.US): -7.04%$Intel(INTC.US): -7.89%$NVIDIA(NVDA.US): -5.25%$Applied Materials(AMAT.US): -5.99%$Micron Tech(MU.US): -5.36%$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US): -4.08%$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US): -2.53% - A
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)
Sellers took control today as tech sentiment turned cautious after recent highs. This looks more like profit-taking than a shift in institutional confidence.
Demand for advanced foundry capacity remains unmatched. Most major AI hardware players still rely on TSMC, reinforcing its long-term competitive edge.
I’m staying quiet through the weakness and focusing on the bigger picture. Short-term volatility rarely changes the value of essential infrastructure.
@Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - H
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
Nvidia looks tired at these levels. For the past two weeks, she has been consolidating in a tight channel undecided where to go. AMD looks much stronger consolidating at around the ATH levels. AVGO looks similar to Nvidia as well as TSM.
And Tech is looking for a direction as well. It looks like it wants to bottom. The bounce will be telling to see if it will make rally to new high.
@Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - H
📊 𝐈𝐍𝐕𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐑 𝐍𝐎𝐓𝐄: Bernstein Reaffirms Bullish View on Memory Chipmakers After Major AI Partnerships - $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $SK Hynix(SKHY.US) $Micron Tech(MU.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) $Western Digital(WDC.US) $Seagate Tech(STX.US)
👉 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀:➤ 𝗕𝗲𝗿𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗶𝗻 reiterates a bullish outlook on 𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗽𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗿𝘀.➤ 𝗦𝗞 𝗛𝘆𝗻𝗶𝘅 and 𝗡𝗩𝗜𝗗𝗜𝗔 announced a partnership worth over $𝟱𝟬𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻.➤ 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝘀𝘂𝗻𝗴 and 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱𝗰𝗼𝗺 signed a $𝟮𝟬𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 memory and foundry agreement.➤ SK Group is pursuing an additional $𝟮𝟱𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 in memory partnerships.➤ Bernstein says AI leaders are securing long-term 𝗛𝗕𝗠 memory supply.➤ Analysts expect around $𝟭.𝟯 𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 in annual memory revenue for 2027 and 2028.➤ Bernstein says recent memory sector weakness presents a 𝗴𝗼𝗼𝗱 𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝘆 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁.➤ Bernstein rates 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝘀𝘂𝗻𝗴, 𝗦𝗞 𝗵𝘆𝗻𝗶𝘅, and 𝗠𝗶𝗰𝗿𝗼𝗻 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺.➤ Analysts expect minimal impact on 𝗧𝗦𝗠𝗖 from the announced agreements.👉 𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗠𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀:➤ Reinforces 𝗛𝗕𝗠 as the key bottleneck in AI infrastructure expansion.➤ Long-term supply deals improve visibility for memory makers' future revenue.➤ Securing memory supply supports AI growth plans at 𝗡𝗩𝗜𝗗𝗜𝗔 and 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱𝗰𝗼𝗺.➤ Positive outlook could strengthen investor sentiment toward AI memory stocks.👉 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗿𝘁 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁:𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝗟𝗶, Bernstein Analyst:"We believe the announced amounts are more for memory and indicate the need for NVIDIA & Broadcom to secure memory supply." - A
Taiwan’s semiconductor industry will account for 24.34% of Taiwan’s total power consumption in 2030, up from 17.71% this year, media report, citing state-run Taipower. That means 80 billion kWh by 2030, from 52 billion kWh this year. By 2035, the semiconductor industry’s power use will hit 110 billion kWh, or 30.38% of Taiwan’s electricity. TSMC, the biggest chip maker in Taiwan, operates 19 advanced fabs and packaging plants in Taiwan now, with 13 more under construction across Taiwan. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $United Microelectronics(UMC.US) $Micron Tech(MU.US) $Advanced Semiconductor Engineering(ASX.US) #semiconductors
Source: Dan Nystedt
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Nvidia’s first 'Made in USA' GB300 AI chips have rolled off the line at TSMC Arizona, media report, noting CoWoS advanced packaging will be the final step to fully localizing the GB300. The 4nm chip is also known as Grace Blackwell Ultra. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) #semiconductors #Arizona
Source: Dan Nystedt
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TSMC’s first 2nm fab hit a production milestone of 20,000 wafers-per-month (wpm), the best among 5 fabs ramping 2nm capacity in Taiwan, media report, citing unnamed industry sources. Fab 20 in Hsinchu sits by TSMC’s main R&D fab, giving it a prime position in the rollout of new process technologies. Analysts are optimistic the strong 2nm ramp up along with a diverse group of customers, from AI accelerators and smartphone chips, to CPUs and GPUs. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Apple(AAPL.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) #Mediatek
Source: Dan Nystedt
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Nomura Research: TSMC CoWoS
TSMC CoWoS Capacity Expansion Trend> Aggressive Upward Revision: According to Nomura estimates, TSMC has turned significantly more aggressive on its CoWoS capacity expansion compared to previous targets (Dec 2025 baseline).> Growth Trajectory: Quarterly capacity is projected to scale up dramatically from around 200 thousand pieces (kpcs) in late 2025/early 2026 to near 600 kpcs per quarter by late 2027.> Divergence from Older Projections: While previous estimates flattened out near 330 kpcs per quarter through 2026 and 2027, current forecasts show continuous sequential expansion starting from mid-2026 onwards.CoWoS Output Breakdown (Volume Growth)> Total Volume Surge: Total output volume is scaling multifold, expanding rapidly from 2023 levels to an estimated peak approaching 2,000 kpcs annually by 2027F.> NVIDIA Dominance in Volume: NVIDIA remains the single largest consumer of TSMC's CoWoS capacity by a wide margin, scaling from a minority share in 2023 to over 1,000 kpcs by 2027F.> Diversification of Hyperscalers: Volume is increasingly supporting customized accelerators and ASICs from major cloud service providers, notably Google and AWS, alongside AMD+Xilinx and Meta.CoWoS Output Allocation Share (%)> NVIDIA Share Stabilization: NVIDIA’s relative share of total CoWoS allocation stabilizes in the 55% to 58% range from 2025F to 2027F, after peaking earlier relative to its initial 2023 baseline.> Google's Expanding Footprint: Google captures the second-largest share of allocation, maintaining a steady slice around 24% to 26% of total capacity through the forecast window.> Other Players: AMD+Xilinx, AWS, Meta, and other networking/FPGA applications split the remaining allocation, with hyperscaler custom silicon taking up a stable overall proportion of advanced packaging lines.$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Meta Platforms(META.US) $Amazon(AMZN.US)
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Morgan Stanley: Soitec
Financial Performance & Estimates> F1Q27 Beat: Revenue came in at €113 million, beating street estimates by 6% and marking a 23% year-over-year growth ( outpacing the company's 15% guide). > Strong Guidance: F2Q27 revenue growth is guided at more than 30% year-over-year, blowing past the 4% consensus expectations. > Significant Earnings Upgrades: Morgan Stanley raised its revenue estimates for FY27–FY29 by 8–19% and upgraded EPS for FY28 and FY29 by 43% and 32% respectively, projecting almost €8 of EPS by FY29. 💡 Core Investment Drivers (Photonics-SOI)> The Growth Engine: The stellar performance and guidance are heavily driven by Photonics-SOI demand for high-speed optical interconnects in AI data centers. > Doubling Revenue: Management explicitly noted that Photonics-SOI FY27 revenue is expected to more than double, acting as the catalyst the market had been anticipating. > Secular Alignment: Soitec’s stellar outlook mirrors broader industry tailwinds from major players scaling up silicon photonics (SiPho) capacity—such as Tower Semiconductor, STMicroelectronics, and TSMC. Photonics is expected to scale from roughly 8% of Soitec's revenue in FY25 to about one-third in the current fiscal year. Scenario Analysis (Price Target Cases)> Bull Case (€300.00): Assumes a stronger recovery in RF-SOI alongside more aggressive, accelerated growth in Photonics-SOI, paving the way for €10 in earnings power.> Base Case (€200.00): Assumes multi-year growth in Photonics-SOI and normalization in RF-SOI, applying a 25x multiple to CY28 (FY29) EPS.> Bear Case (€80.00): Assumes a slower RF-SOI recovery and weaker Photonics growth, applying a 20x multiple to discounted bear-case earnings.
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Last night I have predicted 4 shares will goes up after a few weeks sliding down already, but my guess only 1 was UP but not this stock. That shows me how volatile and yet unpredictable the markets is facing right now in midst of more
Chaos than not.
SO invest wisely and tighten up your seat belt while 👀 at the screen. For me I can only quickly go bed as they are so boring for weeks instead of wasting more time doing either the wrong things or unpredictable things for now.
Later I need to continue to look out 3 other stocks just a glance will do this time.
Lol😅😹😅😹
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - D
INTC: CPU price hikes as a 'stopgap', turnaround still hinges on foundry?
INTC reported Q2 2026 results after the US close on Jul 24 (Beijing time). The quarter covered the period ended Jun 2026.
Key points: 1) Core metrics. $Intel(INTC.US) delivered revenue of $16.1bn (+25% YoY), well above company guidance of $13.8–14.8bn.
Growth was driven by the Client business and the Data Center & AI segment, with CPU price increases the largest factor.
GPM was 40.4%. That was above the Street's 37.6%...
+12
IntelFinancial Analysis
