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2025.03.21 12:31

Is the U.S. stock market at the bottom now?

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Recently, many friends have been asking whether the U.S. stock market has bottomed out. To be honest, anyone with some sensitivity to the market would have felt panic last week. Especially when seeing all kinds of news about global economic and stock market turmoil, it was really hard to control emotions. But upon calm reflection, the U.S. stock market has likely bottomed out at this stage.

The reality behind the panic. Speaking of panic, especially last week, many people fantasized about a stock market crash, feeling like the market was about to plunge into an abyss. I was a bit worried myself at the time. However, analyzing the current reality, it becomes clear that the U.S. stock market is really not likely to experience another significant decline. Some might think I’m too optimistic, but that’s just the way it is.

Trump's tariff policies and domestic troubles can’t get much worse than they are now. First, Trump's tariff policies and a host of domestic troubles are already obvious and cannot be ignored—we’ve seen plenty of their impacts. Even if some hope for the stock market to keep falling, these issues are already among the worst the market has faced, and it’s hard to imagine anything worse happening.
Tesla being boycotted and Tesla owners' information being leaked online—this definitely has a significant impact on Tesla, but it won’t make the situation worse than it is now. After all, many companies facing PR crises find effective ways to respond, and the market will surely react accordingly.

This crisis is man-made, and that man is Trump. These policies and his decisions have indeed brought a lot of uncertainty to the market, but from another perspective, crises caused by human factors are not as uncontrollable as natural disasters. So there’s no need to panic excessively.

A rational analysis shows the depth and scope of the crisis won’t be as severe as people think. $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US) $SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US) $NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US)

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