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2025.09.03 06:06

Who instilled the lie that U.S. stocks fell in September? Why do you keep losing money?

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I'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

What is the real reason for losing money in the U.S. stock market?

The real reason is that we don't understand Wall Street well enough and don't have enough insight into the actual situation of companies. For retail investors like us, it's quite difficult to access very detailed information about many companies, and much of the news we receive is deliberately released for us to see.

For example, sudden after-hours positive news about companies like Google and Apple is hard to catch, but we can vaguely sense other major positives. For instance, Apple has a product launch event, and this year Apple's returns are still negative by eight points, so holding it seems relatively safe.

Google's Gemini AI system is really, really useful, and even Apple is considering using it, so holding Google is unlikely to be a bad move.

But no one expected the market to drop so sharply—it turns out Wall Street was deliberately selling off, only to release good news immediately after the close. Google's antitrust case was dropped—why was this news released at this time?

Because retail investors have already sold at a loss. Many have already given up their positions. In recent days, hasn't all the news been negative? Whether it's the seasonal September correction, Nvidia's various horror stories, waning retail enthusiasm, institutional CTAs pulling out, or the UK's debt crisis causing bond yields to spike, triggering a stock market crash and a chain reaction—many people sold off during the night session.

Then the market opened higher, but profit-taking during the session accelerated retail exits. However, the market rebounded strongly by the close, and after-hours, major positive news was released.

Many regretted selling after-hours—why couldn't they hold on?

The reason they couldn't hold is a lack of confidence in these companies. And why is there no confidence?

The lack of confidence comes from not having made money on these companies. If you've made money on a company, you'll naturally have unwavering confidence. Remember this: if you've made money on it, and made a lot, you'll have unshakable confidence.

Conversely, if you've made a lot of money going long in U.S. stocks, you'll also hold with conviction.

So sometimes, the wild 10-20% swings in U.S. stocks are just setups, orchestrated by institutions to shake out weak hands. Once you understand the market's nature, you'll be able to hold.

Especially if you're not trading options, there's no question of holding or not. Option traders face agonizing choices: should I cut losses? Should I exit? Because options can really go to zero!

Stock traders and option traders face entirely different dilemmas. With stocks, you can uninstall the app and play dead—wait a month or two, and the market may recover. But option losses are unbearable for many.

Looking at U.S. market adjustments, many stocks are resistant to further drops—like AI software stars PLTR, APP, TEM, which have strong support. We can also see what institutions and retail are buying: these AI software application companies.

When the broader market is weak, speculative stocks like OPEN, IREN, CIFR get pumped, with strong retail follow-through.

If all else fails, you can buy gold/precious metals-related companies or ETFs—whether in A-shares or U.S. stocks, they've been rising lately.

Even U.S. healthcare and consumer staples have buyers—S&P biotech has been surging fiercely.

Many small caps in the Russell 2000 have rallied big, but intraday volatility is extreme, which many can't stomach.

So opportunities abound. Experts also hedge by shorting indices or buying volatility (VIX), and many A-share traders short index futures to protect long positions.

In A-shares, outside of CPO, other sectors are meat grinders—and CPO happens to follow U.S. stocks. So once Nvidia stabilizes, these will soar again.

Its earnings are the most certain, so followers will emerge. Lately, solid-state batteries and biotech have also been hot, alongside rock-solid precious metals.

Markets, East or West, are always structural. Misstep, and it's a bloodbath. But don't be misled—many seemingly professional bearish arguments are just noise. Some writers spin tales so convincing you'd never dare buy stocks for years, since risk is ever-present.

Their articles stitch together secondhand info—much of it planted by Wall Street via media. Fall for it, and you'll miss countless opportunities.

I stick to the simplest logic: buy low, sell high. So when stocks hit my levels, I buy—ensuring I never lose. In good times, I win. I'll keep sharing which stocks hit levels in our community.

2025 will be volatile, digesting the prior two years' gains. Discipline is paramount—strict position management is key. Those who value discipline should join our community.

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