小明05
2026.03.19 17:15

$Microsectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN(GDXU.US)I really don't get it, what's there to be afraid of? 🥚

Statistical patterns (last 20 years)

1. After a single-day drop of over 6%:

• Probability of rising the next day: 3/3 (100%)

• Average gain the next day: +2.4%

• 5-day average gain: +4.1%

• Divergence:

◦ Panic sell-off (2026, 2006): Strong rebound

◦ Bear market breakdown (2013): Weak rebound, prone to further decline

2. After a two-day cumulative drop of over 10% (extreme crash):

• Next day always rebounds: 100%

• Next day average: +2~+3%

• 5-day:

◦ Liquidity crisis (2026, 2008): Rebound +5%~+10%

◦ Fundamental downturn (2013): Weak rebound followed by further drop of -2%~-5%

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