复利进行时
2026.03.26 10:46

$PDD(PDD.US) You say it's bad, but Pinduoduo and Temu still have a massive scale and strong user loyalty. You say it's stable, but as soon as the earnings report comes out, the market starts picking it apart. PDD just released its latest quarterly results on March 25th: Q4 revenue was 123.9 billion yuan, slightly lower than the market expectation of 124.4 billion yuan; net profit was 24.5 billion yuan, down about 11% year-over-year; adjusted earnings per ADS were 17.69 yuan, also below expectations. The company itself mentioned that domestic competition is getting more intense, and overseas it still faces uncertainties like taxes and compliance.

To put it bluntly, PDD is now very much like this: its core business is strong, but the market is more concerned about whether it can keep running in the future. Temu's overseas growth is still there, but regulatory pressure is also increasingly on the table. Domestically, Pinduoduo is still the king of low prices, but at the end of the day, the low-price business model can easily see profits eroded by subsidies and competition.

So my take on PDD is very down-to-earth:

It's not the kind of stock that gets your blood pumping. Instead, it's more like a large-cap stock that 'looks cheap but actually makes you uneasy inside.'

Bulls will focus on its scale, cash flow, and globalization. The cautious will fear slowing growth coupled with a volatile external environment. Anyway, my own conclusion is: You can keep an eye on PDD stock, but don't automatically project its 'past glory' onto the future. As it is now, it's more like a top student who's starting to get picked on by the whole class.

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