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Dolphin ResearchJun 29 at 11:53 AM

SOFI Has Plenty of Red Flags — Is the Premium Justified?

In Part I, we unpacked SoFi's business framework and identified its growth engines: expansion of the Loan Platform Biz. (LPB) and the revival of student lending.

In Part II, guided by Muddy Waters' short case, we surfaced several 'hidden wounds' — shifting credit losses on/off balance sheet to manage the NPL ratio, profit inflation from fair value accounting, and equity dilution.

Put together, a somewhat contradictory picture emerges: despite inherent flaws under constant market scrutiny, SoFi still spiked to a $42bn market cap in H2 2025...

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SoFi Tech

SoFi Tech

USSOFI

SoFiAppraisal valueDeep Research
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Dolphin ResearchApr 27 at 01:24 PM

ORCL: Big Bet on AI Compute — Are the Odds Good Enough?

Per Dolphin Research's prior note on Oracle, our core takeaway is that Oracle is essentially a scaled-up CoreWeave. The bull case hinges on explosive AI compute demand that could lift its compute-rental revenue by 10x or more.

The key risk is the mismatch between uncertain AI demand and fixed upfront capex and leverage, which could lead to sizable credit losses if the AI cycle unwinds. Overall, visibility is limited...

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Oracle

Oracle

USORCL

OracleAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchJan 2 at 11:24 AM

Kunlun Chip IPO fast-tracks: Is BIDU's Google moment here?

Long-rumored Kunlun Chip spin-off is now official as $Baidu(BIDU.US) announced it.

On Jan 2, BIDU proposed to spin off Kunlun Chip Technology for an independent listing on the HKEX Main Board, while retaining control (59.45%).

BIDU has filed confidentially, and the detailed prospectus is not yet public.

Based on available information, Dolphin Research will first outline a few key questions.

1. Kunlun Chip's origins and evolution? It traces back to BIDU's FPGA accelerator project launched in 2011...

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HKEX

HKEX

HK00388

BaiduHot topicAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchDec 26, 2025 at 12:19 PM

Meitu: A bumpy 'small‑but‑beautiful' story — where is the bottom?

In the prior piece, Dolphin Research reviewed Meitu's history, product suite, and competitive landscape in depth. This follow-up focuses on Meitu's growth potential.

1) Will large models eat Meitu's lunch? To evaluate its growth, we must ask how vertical platforms defend against general-purpose platforms.

As seen across internet cycles, a few lucky players evolved into 'small but mighty' vertical champions. Tencent Music, Kanzhun, and even Bilibili endure thanks to distinctive attributes. Most others faded into the background, becoming stepping stones as tech giants broadened their ecosystems...

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TENCENT

TENCENT

HK00700

MeituDeep ResearchAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchDec 19, 2025 at 08:56 AM

GOOGL vs. NVDA: Is the comeback thesis credible?

Google’s full-stack AI strategy has been unfolding for over a month, and cracks in OpenAI’s circular financing narrative have prompted a seemingly sudden shift in the AI storyline.

For Google, this is a build-and-breakthrough arc: incremental upgrades compounded into a step-change, and more importantly, its business positioning has fundamentally shifted.

As Anthropic places another 11bn TPU order and Meta advances a collaboration with Google on foundational language models...

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Alphabet

Alphabet

USGOOGL

GoogleHot topicDeep ResearchAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchDec 1, 2025 at 10:52 AM

"AI Darling" Quickly Becomes a "Spendthrift", Can Meta Make a Comeback?

These days, it's rare to see trillion-dollar giants fluctuating by 10% or 20% in a single day, but Meta is an exception. It took Meta just one quarter to fall from grace. After the Q3 earnings report, investors' panic seemed to have just been digested. Recently, with the expectation of interest rate cuts rising, $Meta Platforms(META.US) has rebounded 10% from the bottom. In terms of narrative, first, Meta has the most extensive application scenarios, and the AI investment process will be accompanied by accelerated revenue, the "AI darling" narrative; then came the Q3 combination of increased investment and slowed revenue growth guidance...

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Meta Platforms

Meta Platforms

USMETA

Meta/FacebookAppraisal valueHot topic
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Dolphin ResearchOct 10, 2025 at 12:44 PM

Dongpeng Beverage: After the energy drink, where is the 'next billion-dollar secret'?

A good company also needs a good price.

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EASTROC BEVERAGE

EASTROC BEVERAGE

SH605499

Dongpeng BeverageDeep ResearchAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchOct 9, 2025 at 12:23 PM

After missing the cryptocurrency wave, can 'Old Deng' Charles Schwab really make a comeback?

Through the previous article, we can attribute the ability of $Charles Schwab(SCHW.US) to achieve intergenerational growth across users to two key factors: (1) "product innovation" centered around all customers, and (2) timely and aggressive promotion of "price reduction." After developing into a comprehensive financial platform with a complete ecosystem, Schwab leveraged its scale advantage to fully play the cost-effectiveness card. However, in 2022, due to improper handling of asset liquidity (misjudging the timing of interest rate hikes and locking too much short-term liquidity into long-term government bonds for small gains, which greatly increased the risk of a run)...

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Robinhood

Robinhood

USHOOD

SchwabDeep ResearchAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchJul 11, 2025 at 11:32 AM

Boosted by a Double Dose of AI, Is Dell Heading for a Comeback?

In the previous article "Dell: AI Wave Rising, Is the Old Giant Making a Comeback?", we mainly discussed Dell's historical ups and downs, as well as its current competitiveness in the server market. In this article, we will focus on the investment value perspective, discussing the following two questions: 1) Transitioning from PC to AI PC, how much potential does this really have? 2) With the support of AI servers and AI PCs, how much investment value does Dell truly hold? Regarding $Dell Tech(DELL.US) in the next article...

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Dell Tech

Dell Tech

USDELL

DELLAppraisal value
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Dolphin ResearchJun 26, 2025 at 06:07 PM

Xiaomi Auto: Can the Blazing Start of YU7 Dethrone Tesla's Dominance?​

At this Xiaomi launch event, a range of hardware products including AI glasses were introduced. However, the market's primary focus is on the YU7. Although the company disclosed the main parameters of the YU7 configuration in last month's communication, the specific price remains 'secretive.' For this event, the market is mainly anticipating the specific price of $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) YU7 and the market performance of order locking. a) The final price of YU7: 253,500 RMB (Standard Edition) / 279,900 RMB (Pro Edition) / 329,900 RMB (Max Edition)...

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XIAOMI-W

XIAOMI-W

HK01810

XiaomiConference MinutesAppraisal value

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