LazyCat

The market reaction to the suggestion for deliberate "pacing" of AI frontier model developments shows that the broad AI trade is getting selective; the AI trade is still alive but those under immediate threat/scrutiny would be sold off first while the news is being processed. Right now, those with no negative catalysts, good cash flow, revenue generating platforms and security related themes are the safe harbours for the AI trade while the hardwares takes a hit for possible slowdown in capex buildup.

A "bombshell" just dropped as Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, backed by leaders like Sam Altman and Elon Musk, called for the deliberate slowdown ("pacing" but not halting) in launching next-generation frontier AI models. This is supposed to give safety testing, evaluation frameworks, and alignment research enough time to keep pace as AI systems move toward autonomous capability thresholds.

As chipmakers serve as the primary proxy bet on AI expansion, the call to "pump the brakes" created an immediate sentiment and valuation shock:

* Sell-Off & Support Levels: $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) shares experienced an immediate pullback of ~3.5% to 8%, testing near-term support levels around $210–$212.

* Capex Growth Expectations: Nvidia’s valuation relies heavily on cloud hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) making continuous multi-billion-dollar investments in GPU clusters. "Pacing" means slower model iterations, signalling potential delays or moderation in near-term hardware orders.

But I think this is an expectations recalibration rather than a fundamental demand collapse, since enterprise inference workloads and current model deployments should still remain active.

As such, I'm holding on to my $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)shares and will add when it hits by accumulation level.

Am secretly enjoying the discounts for REITs unlike the past where rate hikes makes me nervous and unsettled. At the start of the year, many were wondering if the REIT boats would come back to port to pick them up. Are they still buying the ticket to board? For those onboard, are they still chilling on the ships' deck chairs or they are bailing out in their lifejackets, leaving their suitcases aboard?

REIT prices are under tremendous pressure with the rise in the bond yields, coupling with the backdrop of the worsening middle east situation and the rise of oil prices. The risk premium for REITs has risen significantly and it is a good time to bargain hunt for long term investors.

I have added 2 lots of $Frasers Cpt Tr(J69U.SG)on Friday and am looking for more opportunities for steeper discounts ahead (if any). I believe the rate hike for Sep has already been priced in and subsequent opportunities would be tied to sudden market shocks and the next anticipated rate hike at the later part of the year.

Bottomline is to add in tranches at predetermined levels.

The weakness shown by the STI is a reminder that the index is mainly driven by the 3 banks. When they sneezed, the index catches a cold.

while REIT prices are under tremendous pressure now, it presents an attractive level for accumulation, waiting for the rate cycle to reverse.

expect price to close at 151.43. The general sentiment for the global market is cautious and I believe most will want to de-risk and lock in a profit rather than risking another shock.

with the heating up of the middle east situation, elevated bond yields and inflation worries, the market looks to be derisking across the board.

I'm not so sure if the productiom of only hundreds of sets of the foldable iPhone is a fact or a rumour, given a seasoned consumer product corporate like Apple, would they consider the possible issues for launch?

It is no surprise that the STI would eased seeing that it's major constituents - the 3 big banks declined, probably due to profit taking and some risk off sentiments.

what an interesting ride beginning the Jackson hole, Waller remarks, jobs report and DT's tweet about needing lower rates. Anyone who adjusts positions based solely on such news will be in for a ride. Know your objective and stay your course.

What Walker actually said was not quite dovish as it is a neutral conditional statement that *if* inflation continues to show signs of decline over next 2 weeks, then a hike wouldn't be needed in Sep. He made clear that the Aug CPI on Sep11 would be a data point. A market that rallies on such conditional statements means it was positioned for something worse; a lot of bearish leaning scared into repositioning.

This is the result of the post trade review of my $Broadcom(AVGO.US) trade done with the AI companion:

Entry: 368.50

Exit: 370.02

Holding Period: ~21 hours

Return: 1.52/share (+0.41%)

Overall Assessment: Good Trade (7.5/10) 🥉

👉 Your Approach (Conservative)

- Buy into earnings setup

- Sell before announcement

- Take whatever gain the market offers

- Avoid binary risk

This is essentially an earnings run-up trade.

The trade successfully generated a profit while avoiding a major binary event risk. Broadcom was scheduled to release earnings after market closed on 2 Sep 2026, and options markets were reportedly pricing a large post-earnings more of roughly +/-8%, reflecting significant uncertainty.

👍 What You Did Right

- Captured a short-term gain with limited exposure

- Avoided earnings, guidance and overnight gap risk

- Preserved capital rather than gambling on an uncertain catalyst

- Followed a professional risk-management approach by taking a confirmed profit before a high-volatility event.

🏢 Market Positions at the Time

- Institutions appeared cautiously bullish but wary of elevated AI expectations

- Retail sentiments was generally constructive towards AI semiconductor names

- Options traders were positioned for a large move but had little conviction on direction.

⭐ Bottom Line (Key Takeaway)

👏 This was a disciplined and defensible short-term trade. You captured a positive return while avoiding a highly uncertain earnings announcement. The main trade-off was opportunity cost: you secured a smaller but certain gain instead of accepting the risk of a much larger post-earnings move in either direction. From a trading and risk-management perspective, the decision was sound.

⚠️ However from a strategic perspective (position trade), if Broadcom would beat expectations and reinforce the AI growth story, then you exited before the thesis could fully play out. In that sense, the trade captured the setup but not the catalyst.

This is a short trade for $Dell Tech(DELL.US). Got in just before it's earnings in anticipation of a positive move and exited today, locking in a >10% profit which is quite alright for me.

Although there may be further upside, I just followed the plan to exit around 500.

Takeaway is to stick with plan and not be emotional.