Beyond the principles you mentioned, there must be two or three backup plans as well, since the market is constantly changing and adjusting. While developing your own style is important, what kind of flexibility does that entail?
“I lost my army allowance on penny-stock tips. Then I became an accountant.” — Bridgers’ Stories #01 is live.
As one of the three largest local banks, DBS is most valued for its high dividend yield. Wondering what exactly happened?
The rate hike landed and the S-REIT aisle filled up rather than emptied — plus who benefits from an "AI slowdown", and what an ex-dividend date actually costs.
+1The Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00%, with a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first hike since 2023. The dot plot shows: 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more rate hike this year.
Chairman Wash cited a strong economy, inflation above target, and Middle East tensions as reasons for the unanimous vote.
The next two Fed meetings before year-end are also expected to discuss rate hikes. Another 25-bps increase cannot be ruled out.
The US stock market has already priced in the expectation of this rate hike, with calm market performance.
The Fed delivered its first rate hike in three years: 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, unanimous 12-0, with the dot plot pointing to at least one more hike this year. Trump said rates should be at 1% or lower. Le...
A 20-year government bond auction attracted a record yield of 5.420%, breaking the October 2023 high—a weak auction (the largest tail risk since 2024, with indirect bid share hitting a record low).
The market now prices in over a 90% probability of a rate hike at 2 AM tomorrow, marking the first increase in three years.
Long-term bond auction prices have been hammered; with the odds of a rate hike jumping, the future of the stock market remains unclear.
At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond broke through 5% intraday, marking the first time since October 2023; the probability of a Fed rate hike is now around 92% (CME).
Headwinds to stock market prospects include pressure from rising rate expectations, the upward momentum in oil prices, and market skepticism regarding AI investments.
Anthropic, OpenAI and xAI's CEOs called for slower AI development this weekend — Trump dismissed it as a "hoax" live with Nvidia's Jensen Huang. Chip stocks crashed while cybersecurity surged as the "...
Saudi Arabia closed its east-west pipeline (from Abqaiq to the Red Sea port of Yanbu) following a weekend drone strike—the route had previously absorbed crude blocked by the Strait of Hormuz; reportedly, Yanbu's inventory can only sustain 5-7 days of exports.
Brent crude weekly close rose over 8%, reclaiming the $100 level.
With oil prices surging, bonds weakening, optimistic CPI data, and forced rate hike signals, will the stock market crash? Exercise extreme caution.
US core CPI ran hot at +0.3% MoM (vs 0.2% expected), pushing September rate-hike odds from 69% to nearly 90% — Goldman's chief economist flipped his own call to a hike. The 10-year yield hit 4.957%, i...
US PPI rose 5.4% YoY (above the expected 5.3%), pushing the probability of a September rate hike to 71%.
The European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points.
Houthi forces seized the Red Sea port of Al-Mokha in Yemen, advancing toward the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—this conflict continues to keep oil prices elevated.
Considering these factors combined, future expectations should not be overly optimistic.
Oracle fell -5.4% in Wednesday's session, dragged down by a hot US PPI print — then jumped as much as +7% after hours once its actual results landed: cloud infrastructure revenue +121%. That same PPI ...
Apple unveiled the iPhone Duo — its first foldable iPhone and CEO John Ternus's keynote debut — priced from $1,999 to a record $3,199. AAPL closed nearly flat, down -0.28% at $315.34.
A new phone launch alone is no longer enough to move the stock; whether Apple has other core technologies will determine the company's future and investor appetite.
I'm quite worried about Apple's future prospects.
Apple's iPhone Duo — its first foldable iPhone — launched at 1am SGT, priced up to a record $3,199. $Apple(AAPL.US) barely budged. Brent crude also broke $100/barrel for the first time since July, and...
Houthi forces attacked Saudi Aramco facilities and a Royal Saudi Air Force base, injuring 73 people, while the US stated it destroyed five Iranian oil tankers.
Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude to $98.61, with Goldman Sachs raising its Brent/WTI crude forecasts by $5.
Airlines have raised fuel surcharges for flights after year-end; this trend may drag down stock prices of aviation fuel and related sectors.
Apple's foldable iPhone launches tonight (1am SGT) in what Morgan Stanley calls its most consequential event since the iPhone X — but production is reportedly stuck at just hundreds of units a day. Se...
Iran announced the establishment of a maritime "no-navigation zone" near the Strait of Hormuz; shipping traffic there has reportedly collapsed to its lowest level in five months, pushing US gasoline and diesel prices to record highs.
The shipping market is fueling the fire: amid soaring oil prices, large vessels rerouting, and an impending tariff war, freight rates can only be raised further, thereby becoming a driver of inflation.
OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Nvidia's "AGI has arrived" moment are the most visible face of an AI compute boom so intense it's pushed global memory chip inventories down to just 10 days' worth. Separately...
The August non-farm payrolls released last week increased by 162k, roughly triple the consensus estimate of 56k, marking the strongest performance since March.
This has pushed the probability of a September rate hike to 60.3%. A pullback in the early trading session is anticipated.
The Singapore stock market opened lower on Monday, but should stabilize as the three major banks find footing, facilitating a smooth transition for the Straits Times Index.
US markets are closed today for Labor Day, so let's recap Friday's session: August non-farm payrolls blew past estimates, pushing September rate-hike odds to 60%. Tesla's Cybercab officially launched ...
Fed Governor Waller stated that if August inflation continues to improve, he supports keeping interest rates unchanged in September, lowering the probability of a rate hike from 63% the previous day to 52%.
The main focus remains on tonight's non-farm payroll results.
Prior expectations for rate cuts or a hold were merely derailed by the odds of a rate hike.
Snowflake surged 16.55% on a blowout earnings beat, and Fed Governor Waller's dovish tilt sent September rate-hike odds tumbling. All three US indices closed up more than 1%. Tesla's Cybercab official...
NVIDIA shares rose +3.21% to $224.41, hitting a new high since late August. Various rumors regarding investments in startups and the actual launch of strategic alliance agreements have been driving the stock. However, as the largest tech chip company by volume, it has matured and its volatility is now contained within limits, leaving little room for significant further upside.
Dell surged 15.8% Wednesday as its AI-server refresh story kept building. Broadcom fell despite revenue growing 86% and AI chip sales more than tripling — its guidance simply wasn't enough. A weak ADP...
