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  • A
    amit1 day ago, 11:50 AM

    GOOD MORNING & WELCOME TO FOMC DECISION WEEK.

    In addition to a potential rate hike, the fears over the weekend caused by Dario’s essay have led to a long software/short semis premarket.

    Nvidia, Marvell, Sandisk, AMD, Nebius, Micron, CoreWeave, Intel are all red from 3-7%.

    Palantir, Atlassian, Crowdstrike, Service Now, Adobe, Intuit are all green from 2-5%.

    Personally, I think the market is having a knee jerk reaction to the headlines over the weekend.

    In the past 24 hours, Anthropic themselves have signed multiple new compute deals (one with Rumble for $14B yesterday) and are preparing for their IPO by officially picking the Nasdaq as their exchange. In the face of all the “pace the frontier” slowdown news, the company creating that news is not slowing down their compute obligations.

    So why is the market reacting like this? Well, the entire AI trade is rooted in capex. Until there is more clarity on what it means to slow down model training and recursive learning, the market is assuming that means there is a closer end to the growth in capex than expected which obviously is bad for the AI names. Great for software as more money gets allocated to the application layer and great for hyperscalers since they can generate more FCF which is why those names are green premarket.

    I think this fear could flip within days if not within hours, but if you match this fear with a rate hike that might be priced in but still is not good for high-beta growth (which is what the AI trade is composed of) then you start to see how the market can make sense of taking these names down further.

    Jensen speaks at the All-In Summit today, he’s likely either going to completely reject Sam/Dario’s fear-inducing message by giving a more optimistic approach to think about AI or agree with it and still make the claim that compute obligations, even if not needed to train new models as fast as possible, are not slowing down.

    Going to be a big week.

    $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) $Micron Tech(MU.US) $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US)

    Source: amit

    图片 1,共 1 张
  • F
    FattycatCommunity StarBABA Diamond Holder1 day ago, 01:47 AM

    $TENCENT(00700.HK)

    🔷 My Tencent Hold: Long-Term Conviction Over Short-Term Fluctuations☺️

    Ihave been holding Tencent since August 24, buying 100 shares at an average cost of HKD 439.7. Right now it trades at HKD 434.60, down roughly 1.16% from my entry price.

    Short-term price wobbles do not worry me because I have done with my homework.

    Why I Bought & Why I Hold

    I invested in Tencent because I see massive long-term potential. It is an incredibly diversified, cash-rich company with deep roots across social, gaming, fintech, cloud and digital services.

    WeChat alone reaches nearly every person in China . Once China’s growth engine picks up momentum again, I believe Tencent is perfectly positioned to benefit.

    💡 Key Takeaway

    Do your own research, then trust your analysis. Be comfortable with what you own. Short-term red numbers are just noise when you’re holding quality for the long run. 💪

    Let’s go my green dragon 🐉

    Fattycat 2026-09-1409:34:03 TENCENT00700 P/L% -1.16% Market 434.600 HKD, Cost 43
    08.24 Stock Out 70.40 2026 purchase 0.00 fee 08.24 Stock Buy 100 Out 43900.00 20
    Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
  • N
    NewUser_Unm6iRate Of ReturnTotal AssetsSep 11 at 09:03 AM

    Oracle’s Shares fell and suddenly jump due to their cloud infrastructure revenue increases 121%. Followed by Apple shares rise and Corning signed a new deal with Verizon. Taiwan Semiconductor revenue increases 53.3%.

    However, other US stocks, Hang Seng Hong Kong shares and Singapore Straits Times Index and DBS Bank decrease. OCBC Bank still maintains their flat rate. But UOB Bank slightly rises.

    Suddenly, Tencent-backed AI chipmaker Enflame surges.

    Hope things can go well.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Oracle Sinks, Then Soars 7% on Cloud Blowout

    Oracle fell -5.4% in Wednesday's session, dragged down by a hot US PPI print — then jumped as much as +7% after hours once its actual results landed: cloud infrastructure revenue +121%. That same PPI ...

  • R
    RainwijayaGo Beyond!CommemorativeSep 9 at 01:52 PM

    $Tencent 5xLongSG270930(PSJW.SG)Context: Tencent remains under pressure and my leveraged position has slipped further since my last update. The recovery I was hoping for hasn’t happened yet.

    My trade: I’m still holding my Tencent 5xLong position at a cost of 0.045. It is currently trading at 0.030, putting me down 33.33%. I haven’t added to the position as I prefer to wait for clearer signs of a recovery.

    Takeaway: This trade is a good reminder of how quickly leverage can amplify losses. Next time, I need to be more disciplined with my entry and risk management. @Captain's Treasure

    图片 1,共 1 张
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  • F
    FattycatCommunity StarBABA Diamond HolderSep 5 at 12:58 PM

    $TENCENT(00700.HK)$BILIBILI-W(09626.HK)

    🔄 Tencent’s Bilibili Exit: Capital Recycling in Action

    Tencent’s near-total divestment from Bilibili is not about a sudden profit windfall, it is a smart capital discipline.

    📉 Actually Not a big gain but small losses 😔

    The stake is marked to market, so quarterly profit impact is negligible.

    Sale price HK$115.38 was below the June valuation (~HK$131.70), leading to an estimated US$84M–US$98M loss ( just ~1% of one quarter’s net profit, immaterial for Tencent ).

    🎯 The real strategy: capital recycling

    • Converts minority stake into US$393M net cash to fund AI growth, buybacks and dividends.

    • Takes US$200M in convertible notes: downside protection, plus upside if Bilibili tops HK$155.79.

    • It is a repositioning and not a split. Tencents is still partner with Bilibili but capital goes where it matters most now.

    A masterclass in financial agility: prioritizing liquidity and focus over short-term optics. ✅️

    Refer to the infographic for more information ☺️☺️

    Not financial advice. Do your own DD ☺️.

    Tencent's Bilibili Exit: Strategic Recycling, Not an Earnings Play A strategic cLong image
  • R
    RainwijayaGo Beyond!CommemorativeSep 2 at 12:09 PM

    $Tencent 5xLongSG270930(PSJW.SG)Context: Tencent has been weak recently and my leveraged position has taken a big hit. The price continued dropping more than I expected.

    My trade: I am still holding my Tencent 5xLong position, currently down 31.11%. I haven’t added more yet as I want to see whether Tencent can stabilize and recover before deciding my next move.

    Takeaway: Leveraged trades can move very quickly, so I need to be more careful with my entry and manage the downside better next time. @Captain's Treasure

    图片 1,共 1 张
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  • F
    FattycatCommunity StarBABA Diamond HolderAug 28 at 05:55 AM

    $KUAISHOU-W(01024.HK)$BILIBILI-W(09626.HK)

    🚨 Tencent Sold - But Kuaishou & Bilibili Are Fine! Here’s Why

    Are Kuaishou and Bilibili in trouble after Tencent trimmed its stakes? The short answer is absolutely not. ✅

    The market reacted with short-term anxiety. Their latest earnings tell a very different story.

    These divestments are secondary-market transactions. Zero cash changes hands at the company level and founders keep full operational control. 🤝

    Why They Remain Strong:

    ✅ Partnerships Unchanged:

    Core collaborations - advertising, cloud, gaming and payments are completely unaffected.

    Tencent even recently backed Kuaishou’s AI unit, Kling AI! 🤖

    ✅ Financially Independent & Solid:

    Both are profitable, cash-positive and self-sustaining:

    • Kuaishou: Q2 revenue RMB 35.5B, profit RMB 3.1B, liquidity RMB 62.3B 💰

    • Bilibili: Liquidity RMB 24.3B, Q1 adjusted profit +62% YoY 📈

    Short-term sentiment and share supply may pressure prices but realistically and operationally nothing has changed.

    These are mature, self-sustaining businesses.

    Don’t let market noise overshadow strong fundamentals! 📊

    See the real numbers in the infographic below 👇

    Not financial advice. Please do your own DD😉.

    The Tencent Divestment: Market Sentiment vs. Operational Reality OPERATIONAL REA
  • N
    NewUser_CkrdqW Rate Of ReturnAug 26 at 04:13 AM

    An interesting opinion I read the other day when someone said the typical Singaporean "safe investment" of chasing STI etf/ 3 local banks could be riskier than one would think it is. The heavy concentration in the banking sector and lack of diversification could prove risky from time to time as the financial sector is tightly linked to interest rate cycles, property markets and non wealth products. On the flipside, the blue chip companies have been proven over time to generate decent and stable returns (including consistent dividend payouts).

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia Snaps Its Losing Streak on Earnings Eve

    Nvidia snapped its seven-day losing streak Tuesday, closing up 2.2% to $213.05, hours before its most anticipated earnings report in years drops after today's close. The rally came alongside a third s...

  • V
    Vt3NVIDIAAug 26 at 03:30 AM

    In short as said many times, trust your thesis love your leader, all things will comes into flow cos the leader cannot lose more than us. We are nothing compared to their own reputation. Swings is inevitable as this is a stock market. Bottom line love your leader !💪🇺🇸🤺🎢⛳️😎❤️

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia Snaps Its Losing Streak on Earnings Eve

    Nvidia snapped its seven-day losing streak Tuesday, closing up 2.2% to $213.05, hours before its most anticipated earnings report in years drops after today's close. The rally came alongside a third s...

  • C
    Captain's WatchAug 26 at 02:52 AM

    Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia Snaps Its Losing Streak on Earnings Eve

    Nvidia snapped its seven-day losing streak Tuesday, closing up 2.2% to $213.05, hours before its most anticipated earnings report in years drops after today's close. The rally came alongside a third s...

    Trump Calls Huang Live, But NVDA Falls Anyway