GraniteShares 2x Long AMZN Daily ETF

I think $Vistra(VST.US) looks compelling here.

Source: amit

Updating safety and preventive of accident mobile transport are always better if it saves lives in an emergency. The other good comfort or convenience functions are good to have.

A buddy asked me to do a post on how to analyze a specific asset.

Here's a quick overview: Buffett, Munger, and Aswath Damodaran have all explained the methodology clearly.

1. Buying stocks is buying the company and its future cash flows.

2. Key areas to evaluate: business model (sustainability of profitability), moat, team culture (long-term viability), and the CEO (integrity and problem-solving skills).

For example:

1. I buy $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) because I believe it has a strong moat and sustainable profitability.

2. For $Tesla(TSLA.US), I'm bullish on the future business models of Robotaxis and humanoid robots, as well as Elon Musk as CEO; he has overcome countless challenges over the years and will continue to do so. The same logic applies to $SpaceX(SPCX.US).

3. With $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US) and $Amazon(AMZN.US), I'm betting on Cloud + AI and their ability to generate profits in the AI era.

I won't list every example, but the core idea is believing in the company's products and its future earning power.

Understanding this means that when volatility hits, you still stand by your thesis and happily add to your position 🤔

$Amazon(AMZN.US)Context: Amazon is turning its long-delayed drone-delivery dream into a much larger business. The company plans to expand Prime Air to nearly 500 U.S. cities and towns by the end of 2026, a sixfold increase from its current footprint. The Prime Air expansion is strategically important, even if it does not immediately move Amazon's earnings. Amazon currently operates Prime Air from 11 locations and plans to reach nearly 500 cities and towns by year-end. The drones can carry packages weighing up to five pounds, with eligible orders arriving in as little as 30 minutes. Amazon says it has already completed hundreds of thousands of drone deliveries this year and expects roughly 1 million deliveries in 2026.

My Trade: I am still holding on to my position bought earlier during the dips last year. I am currently targeting a $230-$240 range before I add more.

Takeaway: Prime Air could make Amazon more valuable. Faster delivery can encourage customers to order more frequently, particularly groceries, medicines, and everyday essentials. With Amazon competing with other rivals like Walmart, this innovation, if scaled appropriately and efficiently, can take them to the next level in the transportation.

@Captain's Treasure

CONTEXT

Amazon.com Inc ($Amazon(AMZN.US)) trades at $261.43, showcasing immense operational momentum. In its recent Q2 earnings blockbuster, total revenue surged 20% year-over-year to $200.6 billion, crushing Wall Street estimates.The clear star of the show was Amazon Web Services (AWS), which re-accelerated to a spectacular 37% YoY growth rate, reaching $42.2 billion. AWS now boasts a $496 billion remaining contract backlog and generates over 60% of Amazon’s total operating income ($16.6B) at a massive 39.4% operating margin. Simultaneously, high-margin advertising revenue jumped 26% to $19.8 billion.While management aggressively scaled up 2026 cash CapEx to a projected $220 billion for AI server infrastructure, pushing trailing 12-month free cash flow into a brief $7.6 billion deficit, the market rewarded the spend. CEO Andy Jassy highlighted the rapid, predictable payback period on these servers, with 2027 and 2028 customer compute capacity already heavily reserved.

MY TRADE

I am executing a structured Long Position on $Amazon(AMZN.US), setting a primary technical price target of $315 over the next 6 to 12 months, tracking current institutional fair-value models. Rather than chasing the post-earnings spike, I am setting limit orders to build exposure in tiers during short-term macroeconomic pullbacks. This positioning captures the explosive, triple-digit growth across Amazon’s custom AI chips (Trainium) and core cloud ecosystem.

TAKEAWAY

Amazon is successfully transitioning from a low-margin e-commerce giant into a highly profitable AI and enterprise cloud powerhouse. The market no longer fears heavy CapEx because Amazon’s cash generation from operations remains an absolute fortress at $161.4 billion. Short-term cash flow contractions are an intentional trade-off to lock in long-term cloud dominance.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) remains the worst YTD performer (-20%) of all Mag 8 stocks, with only $Meta Platforms(META.US) (-15% YTD) which is facing an existential threat to its core business given a $1.4 trillion consumer liability trial that got underway this week also in the red. NDX overall is up +16% YTD, fueled by $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) (+16%), $Apple(AAPL.US) (+15%.), and $Amazon(AMZN.US) (+12%). TSLA’s troubles are due to lower than expected auto gross margins in its core EV business and a slower than expected scale up of its unsupervised autonomy efforts due to efficacy and safety concerns/an abundance of caution.

Well as much as the narrative keeps pointing to yields and I agree yields are a sticky point and that is why the Feds are doing a ‘stealthy YCC’. (Look at what Bessent just added to what he said the day earlier. I mean he is hinting at YCC without saying it. Those who get the hint will plan accordingly. Those who are waiting for a clear cut announcement and definition will be behind the curve. Even crypto is hinting at something. Hint: They flourish with liquidity. And look at USD. It is devaluing in response. Price action precedes narratives.)

Again, I am just sharing my opinion. To the ‘textbookists’, let’s agree to disagree. Peace! 😊

Jackson hole is a key point but not sure what stuff Fed will say

Crypto was the buzz just when Trump took office and it took a bow and languished in the dark shadows for the most of the year. Now the president is back in action again to pump it up again such that funds have another avenue to rotate around, scything the retail FOMO hords.

📌 Last session supposed many 👀 at the hottest hits for this month. I also got it though few months ago was searching what to invest. If the prices came tumbling downward, I will also consider to buy more, not worrying about the short term swings as the purpose of it is indeed worth more meaning than just AI Era as we will see how it could further transformed in the medical sciences too, another TGIF hope to close it steadily to mark a good week! It is Friday baby! 👏🏻🆙📈🆒🆕💊💫🌟🌟

Interesting that the news are not quite reporting the surge in the crypto markets and the crypto related stocks. Shall see if the rally can be sustained.

Daily market talk discussion is here!

I think $Walmart(WMT.US)Walmart’s 9% drop is a useful warning that the US consumer is becoming more selective, rather than simply collapsing. A 2.6% comparable-sales growth rate, despite a strong earnings beat and raised guidance, suggests that spending momentum is cooling, especially when the profit beat was partly helped by a one-off tariff refund. I’m watching Costco, Home Depot and Amazon closely because weakness across these names could signal a broader normalization in consumer demand rather than an isolated Walmart issue.

For me, the bigger picture remains mixed rather than outright bearish. Long-end Treasury yields moving back up show that investors are still demanding a higher risk premium, while AI-related memory and optical names such as Micron, SK Hynix and Lumentum continue to show strong underlying demand. Alibaba is another good example: AI/cloud growth is accelerating, but heavy capex is compressing near-term profits. I’m therefore staying patient and selective, especially ahead of NVIDIA earnings and Jackson Hole, because the next catalyst could determine whether this pullback is simply a healthy correction or the start of a deeper valuation reset.

$Apple(AAPL.US) While other 'Magnificent Seven' companies spend big on AI, Apple's more conservative strategy has turned the stock into a valuable portfolio hedge against volatility. Apple's "business is built on a consumer hardware and services ecosystem rather than cloud infrastructure or ad-supported platforms." Analysts have speculated for months that Apple could be one of the most resilient Big Tech names. While Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet pour hundreds of billions of dollars into capital expenditures for AI initiatives, Apple hasn't participated in the same level of spending. Earlier attempts to roll out Apple Intelligence back in 2024 largely failed, leading many to see the company as an AI laggard. But Apple's "go-slow" strategy comes in handy on days when investor concerns about AI overspending flare up, insulating the stock from downturns that hit the semiconductor space. By focusing on its hardware products instead of chasing emerging AI technologies, Apple has grown its installed base to over 2.5 billion active devices. As a result, the company now has an unrivaled distribution network to monetize on-device. This is the main reason why I'm holding on to my position in Apple. In the new AI era, Apple has managed to stay relatively competitive even when it does not engage in the AI war with the other Mag 7 companies. I will be looking to add if the share price retraces back to around $280. @Captain's Treasure

Meritz Securities: CSPs flooding requests to secure HBM supply for 2028.