The dominoes are falling
Breaking: Blackstone just restricted withdrawals from its $77 billion private credit fund for the second consecutive quarterThey have only returned 50% of investors requestCompanies capping withdrawals:• Blackstone• Blue Owl Capital• Apollo Management• Ares Management• BlackRock• Starwood Capital
Share your thoughtsWhat's on your mind?
0 / 2,000
- N
ContextNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) continues to dictate the pace of the broader technology sector, trading around $217 per share as Wall Street anticipates its fiscal Q2 earnings report on August 26, 2026. The company has solidified its AI moat beyond hardware by partnering with dominant institutional giants like BlackRock and Apollo to launch a $500 billion infrastructure financing platform, alongside providing a massive $105 billion credit guarantee for OpenAI’s upcoming data center campus in Ohio. Despite severe sector-wide volatility and rising competition from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), hyperscaler capital expenditure budgets remain robust, keeping Nvidia’s quarterly revenue growth projections near a staggering 97% year-over-year.
My TradeGiven the heightened implied volatility ahead of the earnings announcement, I am executing a long equity position combined with out-of-the-money protective put options to hedge against a short-term sell-off. I have accumulated NVDA shares near the current support level of $215, planning to ride the anticipated rollout momentum of the next-generation Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures. Simultaneously, purchasing September $195 strike puts offers an asymmetric risk-reward profile, shielding the core position from the “show me” market sentiment that occasionally punishes mega-cap tech stocks even after an earnings beat.
Takeaway
The key takeaway is that Nvidia is successfully transitioning from a pure-play semiconductor manufacturer into the foundational capital and structural anchor of global AI compute. While its current trailing price-to-earnings ratio sitting near 33x may seem elevated to conservative investors, its compounding cash generation and unmatched ecosystem lock-in support an undervaluation narrative. Investors must look past short-term quarterly noise and monitor hyperscaler multi-year commitments, as Nvidia remains uniquely positioned to capture the lion’s share of structural AI expansion.
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - S
Just some TLDRs of stuff I found interesting:
- $Sandisk(SNDK.US) 80% adjusted gross margins projections through 2030, ~75% operating margins and ~50% adjusted FCF margins from investor day. LTAs already 2/3rd of 2028 output. Minimum contracted revenue reaches $93B (MC is currently ~$239B)... Hard to be a cyclical stock when your revenue/targets are expected to continue 4Y later into 2030.- $Coreweave(CRWV.US) signs contracts for 6Y old $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) A100 GPUs through 2029. For Neoclouds like Nebius/Iren, this is positive, since it's a counterargument for eg. Burry depreciation short thesis- conventional DRAM gross margins eg. Micron is estimated to reach an unprecedented 95% by 2027, surpassing HBM GMs per UBSread through for legacy/standard dram players like Nanya/Winbond should go brrrr if projections are correct. - Anthropic reportedly achieved 14x+ YoY growth and roughly 2.4x sequential revenue growth q2 to >$11.5B,. estimating growth to $190–200B in 2028r evenue numbers.Your frontier labs keep growing at stupidly fast paces, it would be worrisome if they didnt. - $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) reportedly in talks to invest $3B in SB Energy (Softbank subsidiary), creates a >$500B compute financing push with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman, and others. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) Feynman reportedly moves to TSMC A16 + SoIC + custom HBM + CPO in H2 2028Just more nvidia news every day- $Microsoft(MSFT.US) Maia 300 discussed $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) capacity for >300k units in 2027, with expansion to 1m+. Unveils as soon as September. Likely $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) should be more happy from this news. For what's happening right now:- maybe GUC for Microsoft current ASIC ramp. - For the Amazon party, stuff like Alchip (I do own shares), likely is ramping now with $Amazon(AMZN.US) ASIC program H2 2026...So might be a good idea to look at hyperscaler ASIC ramp timelines + their beneficiaries. - $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) VP of Advanced Packaging stated "the industry is likely to face not only memory shortages but also tight ABF substrate supply over the next few years"... Emphasis on few years for memory + ABF substrates for bottlenecks. Even upstream abf substrate equipment providers are happy, eg. Eternal Precision which uses vacuum lamination equipment stated orders surged, their plants have been running at full capacity, and 20%+ price hikes. - $Applied Materials(AMAT.US) expects advanced packaging revenue to grow >70% in 2026, versus prior >50%, and said customer discussions now extend all the way to 2030(not too familiar with this company, but found their growth rate from 2025 Q4 $6.8B ->$7.01B -> 7.91B -> $9.12B -> $10.25B Q4 2026 projections pretty interesting)- Google said at OCP APAC said conventional 48V is running out of headroom. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) detailed an 800VDC MGX-compatible rack H2 2026 (timeline, Delta / Lite-On beneficaries)- Aside from $Sandisk(SNDK.US), Nanya LTAs cover 50% of capacity. CXMT signed multi-year DRAM agreements last month, so entire memory industry seems to be following same playbook as ur big 3. - Probe cards remain a bottleneck, MPI(6223) said their probe card capacity remains fully utilized because demand exceeds supply. Already covered the CW laser bottleneck with $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI.US), $SIVE, and $Lumentum(LITE.US) earlier this week, but that's another fun one.- some MLCC/component lead times have hit 36 weeks per Nichidenbo.Your Samsung Electro-Mechanics, Taiyo Yuden, Murata, players should be very happy to hear this. TLDR: AI supply chains go brrr. - N
Alphabet’s shares lower and hope @TheRaccoonAnalysis is right though it is right also for @NewUser_ThinkSwim to mention to trade systematically. Coreweave’s revenue doubled. But good to know the net profit. Though hours later, its shares surged 8 to 14%. There are shares rose for Super Micro Computer, Lumentum, Intel, KKR, Apollo Global, Nvidia, Straits Times, DBS, and OCBC Bank. Good for SGX net profit rose 24.6%.
China company shares reported lesser. Hope they can pull through.
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Alphabet Slides Again as AI Spending Widens$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) fell another 3.6% Tuesday, extending its slide as investors weigh a raised 2026 capex guidance of up to $205B and a new $25B debt offering against genuinely strong Q2 numbers, reve...
- N
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) Nvidia late Monday announced a partnership with six Wall Street financial institutions designed to raise more than $500 billion of third-party capital to fund the buildout of AI infrastructure. The chipmaker said in a statement it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Apollo (APO), BlackRock (BLK), Blackstone (BX), Brookfield (CA:BN), Goldman Sachs (GS) and KKR (KKR) to create partnerships that would allow Nvidia's (NVDA) customers to finance the cost of computing power at a global scale. That would include frontier AI labs, enterprise and AI clouds, Nvidia said. "AI has reached an inflection point," Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said in a social-media post announcing the deal. "It is moving from research into production. AI is creating real value, and the infrastructure behind it is becoming one of the world's most productive assets. In AI, compute is revenue.These financing platforms will help customers access scarce compute at scale and build the DSX AI factories that will power every industry and country in the age of AI." @Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - A
FINANCIAL TIMES:
- Nvidia is partnering with Apollo, Blackstone, Goldman Sachs and others on a massive $500B AI Financing Deal. - Deal could be announced as soon as today $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Goldman Sachs(GS.US) $Apollo Global(APO.US) $Blackstone(BX.US)looks like some more money is getting ready to help build out these datacentersSource: amit
- C
Broadcom didn't just sell chips today, it became the bank. a 35B platform with Apollo and Blackstone to fund Anthropic's buildout. the picks-and-shovels guy is financing the miners now 🏦
- R
AVGO teaming with Apollo and Blackstone on a 35 billion AI financing platform with Anthropic as first customer. the picks and shovels guy is becoming the bank too 💰
- H
📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: Broadcom Launches AI XPV Platform With Apollo and Blackstone - $Apollo Global(APO.US) $Blackstone(BX.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US)
👉 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬:➤ Broadcom launches 𝐀𝐈 𝐗𝐏𝐕 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦 with Apollo and Blackstone as anchor investors.➤ Platform targets deployment of 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝟐𝟎 𝐆𝐖 of AI compute capacity by 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖.➤ Initial $𝟑𝟓𝐁 tranche led by 𝐀𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐨 in partnership with 𝐁𝐥𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐧𝐞.➤ Funding supports Anthropic’s expansion of over 𝟏 𝐆𝐖 of AI infrastructure.➤ Platform leverages Broadcom 𝐗𝐏𝐔𝐬 and networking solutions for frontier AI labs.➤ Customers include 𝐀𝐧𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜 and 𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐀𝐈, with deployments beginning mid-2026.➤ Framework aims to lower AI training and inference costs through scalable infrastructure.💬 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭:“We are at a historic inflection point where the demand for AI compute is fundamentally reshaping the global economic landscape,” said Hock Tan, President and CEO of Broadcom Inc.“This strategic Platform with Apollo and Blackstone synchronizes the world's most sophisticated capital with Broadcom's advanced technological roadmap to meet this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity by enabling our rapidly scaling customers, starting with Anthropic, to realize their most ambitious AI visions with speed and certainty.”“The sheer scale of the global AI opportunity requires a bold, collaborative model,” said Jim Zelter, President, Apollo.“Our investment in this Platform reflects our conviction in Broadcom's technology leadership and Anthropic's frontier roadmap. We are proud to deliver the capital foundation that allows this ecosystem to scale efficiently.”“The demand for compute has created an unprecedented opportunity to invest at scale across the AI infrastructure ecosystem, including providing financing through our credit and insurance business,” said Jon Gray, President, Blackstone.“We are proud to support this powerful combination of Broadcom's exceptional technology and Anthropic's pioneering models.”
